The Most Important Games for Toulouse are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the team's table probabilities. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Toulouse fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Toulouse Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season Finish | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
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| Stade de Reims (8‑15‑9) vs Saint-EtienneSt-Etienne (7‑19‑6) |
0 | Stade de Reims Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 33% | 42% | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 33% | 42% | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Saint-EtienneSt-Etienne Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 33% | 41% | 26% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nice (16‑7‑9) vs Stade Rennais (12‑18‑2) |
0 | Nice Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 36% | 52% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 33% | 42% | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Stade Rennais Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 27% | 28% | 44% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nantes (7‑14‑11) vs Auxerre (11‑13‑8) |
0 | Nantes Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 57% | 25% | 18% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 33% | 42% | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Auxerre Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 19% | 52% | 29% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Angers (9‑17‑6) vs Strasbourg (16‑7‑9) |
0 | Angers Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 33% | 42% | 24% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 33% | 42% | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Strasbourg Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 33% | 41% | 26% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| AS Monaco (17‑8‑7) vs Lyon (16‑10‑6) |
0 | AS Monaco Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 33% | 42% | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 33% | 42% | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lyon Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 33% | 42% | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Brest (14‑13‑5) vs Lille (16‑7‑9) |
0 | Brest Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 33% | 42% | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 33% | 42% | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lille Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 33% | 42% | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Le Havre (9‑19‑4) vs Marseille (18‑9‑5) |
0 | Le Havre Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 33% | 42% | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 33% | 42% | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Marseille Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 33% | 42% | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Paris SG (24‑2‑6) vs MontpellierMontpellir (4‑24‑4) |
0 | Paris SG Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 33% | 42% | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 33% | 42% | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| MontpellierMontpellir Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 33% | 42% | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Toulouse (10‑14‑8) vs Lens (14‑12‑6) |
0 | Toulouse Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 55% | 36% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 33% | 42% | 25% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lens Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 6% | 44% | 48% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||