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Mon Sep 14 4:15 am

Ligue 1 - Week 5 of 41

Toulouse What If?

The Toulouse What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Toulouse What If?

Next Game - Le Havre (0‑2‑2)

  Resultant Record Season Finish RelegationRel
  W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
Win Next Game 1 2 2 5 1% 2% 3% 3% 4% 6% 6% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 6% 8%
Current Standings 0 2 2 2 1% 2% 2% 3% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 10%
Lose Next Game 0 3 2 2 <1% 1% 2% 3% 4% 4% 5% 6% 7% 7% 8% 9% 8% 8% 8% 8% 11%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Finishing Spot RelegationRel
W L T Pts 1*
Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions
League Participant
2**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
3**
UEFA Champions League
Participant
4***
UEFA Champions League
Qualifier
5#
UEFA Europa League
Participant
6##
UEFA Conference League
Playoff Round
7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16###
Relegation
Playoff
30 of 30 100% 30 2 2 92 99% 1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
28 of 30 93% 28 4 2 86 87% 12% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
27 of 30 90% 27 5 2 83 73% 25% 2% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
26 of 30 87% 26 6 2 80 54% 39% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
25 of 30 83% 25 7 2 77 34% 46% 18% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
24 of 30 80% 24 8 2 74 17% 42% 31% 8% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
23 of 30 77% 23 9 2 71 6% 29% 39% 21% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
22 of 30 73% 22 10 2 68 2% 14% 34% 33% 14% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
21 of 30 70% 21 11 2 65 <1% 5% 20% 35% 28% 10% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
20 of 30 67% 20 12 2 62 <1% 1% 8% 24% 35% 24% 7% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
19 of 30 63% 19 13 2 59 <1% <1% 2% 10% 26% 34% 21% 6% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
18 of 30 60% 18 14 2 56 <1% <1% <1% 2% 12% 30% 33% 18% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
17 of 30 57% 17 15 2 53 <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 14% 30% 32% 16% 4% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
16 of 30 53% 16 16 2 50 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 15% 31% 32% 15% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
15 of 30 50% 15 17 2 47 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 16% 33% 31% 13% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
14 of 30 47% 14 18 2 44 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 17% 34% 30% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
13 of 30 43% 13 19 2 41 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 4% 18% 34% 29% 12% 2% <1% <1% <1%
12 of 30 40% 12 20 2 38 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 19% 35% 28% 10% 2% <1% <1%
11 of 30 37% 11 21 2 35 X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 5% 21% 36% 27% 9% 1% <1%
10 of 30 33% 10 22 2 32 X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 6% 23% 37% 26% 7% 1%
9 of 30 30% 9 23 2 29 X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 7% 26% 39% 22% 5%
8 of 30 27% 8 24 2 26 X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 9% 31% 39% 19%
7 of 30 23% 7 25 2 23 X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 14% 39% 45%
6 of 30 20% 6 26 2 20 X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 23% 74%
5 of 30 17% 5 27 2 17 X X X X X X X X X X X <1% <1% <1% <1% 8% 92%
0 of 30 0% 0 32 2 2 X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this spot
  • X means the team cannot win this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *   denotes Ligue 1 Champions and advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • **  denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League
  • *** denotes advancement to UEFA Champions League Qualifiers
  • #   denotes advancement to UEFA Europa League
  • ##  denotes advancement to UEFA Conference League Playoff Round
  • ###  denotes Relegation Playoff