The Toulouse What If table presents different table probabilities dependent upon how it plays future games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Season Finish | RelegationRel | |||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Win Next Game | 6 | 5 | 3 | 21 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 5 | 6 | 3 | 18 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
||
| Best Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Worst Case Scenario | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
|
Best Case Scenario Toulouse beats Saint-Etienne |
Worst Case Scenario Saint-Etienne beats Toulouse |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Finishing Spot | RelegationRel | ||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | T | Pts | 1* Ligue 1 Champions and UEFA Champions League Participant |
2** UEFA Champions League Participant |
3** UEFA Champions League Participant |
4*** UEFA Champions League Qualifier |
5# UEFA Europa League Participant |
6## UEFA Conference League Playoff Round |
7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16### Relegation Playoff |
|||
| 21 of 21 | 100% | 26 | 5 | 3 | 81 | 78% | 22% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 20 of 21 | 95% | 25 | 6 | 3 | 78 | 53% | 44% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 21 | 90% | 24 | 7 | 3 | 75 | 28% | 58% | 14% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 21 | 86% | 23 | 8 | 3 | 72 | 10% | 50% | 35% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 21 | 81% | 22 | 9 | 3 | 69 | 2% | 27% | 46% | 21% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 21 | 76% | 21 | 10 | 3 | 66 | <1% | 8% | 34% | 40% | 16% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 21 | 71% | 20 | 11 | 3 | 63 | <1% | 1% | 13% | 35% | 35% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 21 | 67% | 19 | 12 | 3 | 60 | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 35% | 34% | 13% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 21 | 62% | 18 | 13 | 3 | 57 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 14% | 35% | 35% | 12% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 21 | 57% | 17 | 14 | 3 | 54 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 15% | 37% | 35% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 21 | 52% | 16 | 15 | 3 | 51 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 16% | 41% | 31% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 10 of 21 | 48% | 15 | 16 | 3 | 48 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 19% | 40% | 29% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 9 of 21 | 43% | 14 | 17 | 3 | 45 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 20% | 39% | 28% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 8 of 21 | 38% | 13 | 18 | 3 | 42 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 21% | 37% | 28% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| 7 of 21 | 33% | 12 | 19 | 3 | 39 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 4% | 19% | 37% | 29% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| 6 of 21 | 29% | 11 | 20 | 3 | 36 | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 18% | 38% | 31% | 9% | 1% | <1% |
| 5 of 21 | 24% | 10 | 21 | 3 | 33 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 18% | 42% | 31% | 6% | <1% |
| 4 of 21 | 19% | 9 | 22 | 3 | 30 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 20% | 46% | 27% | 5% |
| 3 of 21 | 14% | 8 | 23 | 3 | 27 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 25% | 47% | 25% |
| 2 of 21 | 10% | 7 | 24 | 3 | 24 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 5% | 33% | 63% |
| 1 of 21 | 5% | 6 | 25 | 3 | 21 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 8% | 92% |
| 0 of 21 | 0% | 5 | 26 | 3 | 18 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |