The Most Important Games for the Ball State Cardinals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cardinals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Ball State Cardinals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Ball State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Ball State (8‑7) vs Ohio (9‑6) |
10 | Ball State Wins | 3% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 22% | ||
| Ohio Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 24% | ||
| Kent State (11‑5) vs Western Michigan (3‑12) |
1 | Kent State Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 22% | ||
| Western Michigan Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 23% | ||
| Miami OH (11‑4) vs Northern Illinois (4‑11) |
1 | Miami OH Wins | 2% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 12% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 22% | ||
| Northern Illinois Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 22% | ||
| Buffalo (5‑10) vs Bowling Green (6‑9) |
1 | Buffalo Wins | 2% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 22% | ||
| Bowling Green Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 22% | ||
| Central Michigan (6‑9) vs Eastern Michigan (7‑9) |
0 | Central Michigan Wins | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 21% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 22% | ||
| Eastern Michigan Wins | 2% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 22% | ||
| Akron (10‑5) vs Toledo (9‑6) |
0 | Akron Wins | 2% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 22% | ||
| Toledo Wins | 2% | 4% | 8% | 11% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 22% | ||