The Most Important Games for the Ball State Cardinals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cardinals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Ball State Cardinals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Ball State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Ball State (3‑6) vs Miami OH (8‑0) |
7 | Ball State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 82% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 87% | ||
| Miami OH Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 89% | ||
| Ohio (3‑6) vs Bowling Green (7‑3) |
1 | Ohio Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 87% | ||
| Bowling Green Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 88% | ||
| Akron (8‑2) vs Eastern Michigan (6‑4) |
1 | Akron Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 87% | ||
| Eastern Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 88% | ||
| Buffalo (8‑1) vs Western Michigan (5‑5) |
0 | Buffalo Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 87% | ||
| Western Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 87% | ||
| Central Michigan (3‑6) vs Northern Illinois (3‑5) |
0 | Central Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 87% | ||
| Northern Illinois Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 87% | ||
| UMass (6‑3) vs Kent State (9‑2) |
0 | UMass Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 87% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 87% | ||
| Kent State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 87% | ||