The Most Important Games for the Ball State Cardinals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cardinals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Ball State Cardinals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Ball State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Ball State (13‑13) vs Buffalo (8‑18) |
17 | Ball State Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 28% | 28% | 24% | 12% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 24% | 26% | 27% | 18% | ||
| Buffalo Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 13% | 23% | 34% | 29% | ||
| Western Michigan (9‑17) vs Central Michigan (11‑15) |
6 | Western Michigan Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 18% | 28% | 34% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 24% | 26% | 27% | 18% | ||
| Central Michigan Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 29% | 24% | 19% | 21% | ||
| Toledo (16‑10) vs Bowling Green (10‑16) |
5 | Toledo Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 24% | 26% | 27% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 24% | 26% | 27% | 18% | ||
| Bowling Green Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 23% | 24% | 24% | 22% | ||
| Northern Illinois (5‑21) vs Eastern Michigan (13‑13) |
4 | Northern Illinois Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 29% | 28% | 22% | 15% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 24% | 26% | 27% | 18% | ||
| Eastern Michigan Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 22% | 25% | 28% | 19% | ||
| Ohio (14‑12) vs Akron (21‑5) |
0 | Ohio Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 24% | 27% | 27% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 24% | 26% | 27% | 18% | ||
| Akron Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 23% | 26% | 26% | 18% | ||
| Kent State (18‑8) vs Miami OH (19‑7) |
0 | Kent State Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 24% | 27% | 27% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 24% | 26% | 27% | 18% | ||
| Miami OH Wins | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 23% | 25% | 26% | 18% | ||