The Most Important Games for the Ball State Cardinals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cardinals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Ball State Cardinals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Ball State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Ball State (9‑19) vs Northern Illinois (9‑18) |
8 | Ball State Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 10% | 89% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 94% | ||
| Northern Illinois Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 98% | ||
| Bowling Green (16‑13) vs UMass (15‑14) |
8 | Bowling Green Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 9% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 94% | ||
| UMass Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% | ||
| Central Michigan (9‑19) vs Buffalo (16‑12) |
2 | Central Michigan Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 7% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 94% | ||
| Buffalo Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 5% | 95% | ||
| Miami OH (28‑0) vs Western Michigan (10‑18) |
1 | Miami OH Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 94% | ||
| Western Michigan Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 95% | ||
| Kent State (21‑7) vs Akron (23‑5) |
0 | Kent State Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 94% | ||
| Akron Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 94% | ||
| Ohio (15‑13) vs Toledo (15‑13) |
0 | Ohio Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 94% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 94% | ||
| Toledo Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 94% | ||