The Most Important Games for the Ball State Cardinals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cardinals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Ball State Cardinals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Ball State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Ball State (1‑4) vs Kent State (3‑1) |
9 | Ball State Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 55% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 62% | ||
| Kent State Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 9% | 10% | 65% | ||
| Eastern Michigan (3‑2) vs Northern Illinois (2‑3) |
1 | Eastern Michigan Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 11% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 62% | ||
| Northern Illinois Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 63% | ||
| Toledo (4‑1) vs Western Michigan (2‑4) |
1 | Toledo Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 62% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 62% | ||
| Western Michigan Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 63% | ||
| Ohio (1‑4) vs Central Michigan (3‑2) |
0 | Ohio Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 62% | ||
| Central Michigan Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 63% | ||
| Miami OH (2‑2) vs Buffalo (2‑3) |
0 | Miami OH Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 62% | ||
| Buffalo Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 63% | ||
| Bowling Green (2‑3) vs Akron (1‑2) |
0 | Bowling Green Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 63% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 62% | ||
| Akron Wins | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 11% | 63% | ||