The Most Important Games for the Ball State Cardinals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cardinals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Ball State Cardinals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Ball State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Ball State (7‑15) vs Buffalo (14‑9) |
12 | Ball State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 9% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 92% | ||
| Buffalo Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 96% | ||
| Akron (19‑4) vs UMass (15‑9) |
1 | Akron Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 92% | ||
| UMass Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Northern Illinois (7‑14) vs Bowling Green (14‑9) |
1 | Northern Illinois Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 92% | ||
| Bowling Green Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Kent State (17‑6) vs Eastern Michigan (9‑14) |
1 | Kent State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 92% | ||
| Eastern Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 93% | ||
| Miami OH (23‑0) vs Ohio (13‑11) |
1 | Miami OH Wins | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 92% | ||
| Ohio Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 93% | ||
| Toledo (12‑11) vs Western Michigan (8‑14) |
0 | Toledo Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 92% | ||
| Western Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 92% | ||