The Most Important Games for the Ball State Cardinals are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Cardinals final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Ball State Cardinals fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Ball State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Buffalo (11‑2) vs Northern Illinois (5‑6) |
0 | Buffalo Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 96% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Northern Illinois Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Toledo (6‑6) vs Western Michigan (6‑7) |
0 | Toledo Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Western Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Miami OH (13‑0) vs Bowling Green (10‑3) |
0 | Miami OH Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Bowling Green Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| UMass (9‑4) vs Eastern Michigan (6‑7) |
0 | UMass Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Eastern Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Central Michigan (4‑9) vs Ohio (6‑7) |
0 | Central Michigan Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||
| Ohio Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% | ||