Where are the Ball State Cardinals going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Ball State standings table presents the probabilities of the Cardinals winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT |
| Miami OH | 12i Miami OH Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Northern Illinois 85-61 Won Tue, Feb 03 @ Buffalo 73-71 Won Sat, Feb 07 @ Marshall 90-74 Won Fri, Feb 13 vs Ohio 90-74 Tue, Feb 17 @ UMass Sat, Feb 21 vs Bowling Green Tue, Feb 24 @ Eastern Michigan Sat, Feb 28 @ Western Michigan |
0 | 12 | 92% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Akron | 11 Akron Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 30 vs Kent State 69-52 Won Tue, Feb 03 @ Eastern Michigan 66-64 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ Troy 69-79 Won Fri, Feb 13 vs UMass 99-92 Tue, Feb 17 @ Western Michigan Fri, Feb 20 @ Ball State Tue, Feb 24 vs Buffalo Sat, Feb 28 @ Kent State |
1 | 12 | 8% | 80% | 12% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Kent State | 10 Kent State Recent Games Won Tue, Feb 03 @ Toledo 75-72 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ Southern Miss 65-66 Won Wed, Feb 11 vs Eastern Michigan 95-91 Won Sat, Feb 14 @ Ball State 75-68 Tue, Feb 17 @ Bowling Green Tue, Feb 24 vs Central Michigan Sat, Feb 28 vs Akron Tue, Mar 03 @ Northern Illinois |
3 | 13 | <1% | 12% | 87% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Toledo | 7 Toledo Recent Games Lost Tue, Feb 03 vs Kent State 72-75 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ James Madison 71-73 Won Wed, Feb 11 @ Western Michigan 90-79 Lost Sat, Feb 14 @ Bowling Green 70-80 Sat, Feb 21 vs Eastern Michigan Tue, Feb 24 vs Northern Illinois Sat, Feb 28 @ Ohio Tue, Mar 03 @ Miami OH |
6 | 13 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 26% | 24% | 19% | 17% | 13% | 1% |
| Bowling Green | 7 Bowling Green Recent Games Won Tue, Feb 03 vs Ball State 77-52 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ Arkansas St. 54-91 Won Wed, Feb 11 @ Northern Illinois 68-52 Won Sat, Feb 14 vs Toledo 80-70 Tue, Feb 17 vs Kent State Sat, Feb 21 @ Miami OH Tue, Feb 24 vs Western Michigan Sat, Feb 28 vs UMass |
6 | 13 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 28% | 25% | 20% | 15% | 9% | 2% |
| Ohio | 7 Ohio Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 31 @ Buffalo 95-83 Won Tue, Feb 03 vs Western Michigan 91-71 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ Old Dominion 72-78 Lost Fri, Feb 13 @ Miami OH 74-90 Tue, Feb 17 vs Ball State Sat, Feb 21 @ Northern Illinois Sat, Feb 28 vs Toledo Tue, Mar 03 @ UMass |
6 | 13 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 24% | 24% | 18% | 8% | 1% |
| UMass | 6 UMass Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Eastern Michigan 70-67 Won Tue, Feb 03 vs Central Michigan 95-89 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ Coast.Car. 91-94 Lost Fri, Feb 13 @ Akron 92-99 Tue, Feb 17 vs Miami OH Sat, Feb 21 vs Buffalo Tue, Feb 24 @ Ball State Sat, Feb 28 @ Bowling Green |
7 | 13 | X | X | <1% | 13% | 15% | 19% | 24% | 23% | 6% |
| Buffalo | 5 Buffalo Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Ohio 83-95 Lost Tue, Feb 03 vs Miami OH 71-73 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ South Alabama 69-81 Won Wed, Feb 11 @ Ball State 63-53 Tue, Feb 17 vs Northern Illinois Sat, Feb 21 @ UMass Tue, Feb 24 @ Akron Sat, Feb 28 vs Central Michigan |
7 | 12 | X | X | <1% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 22% | 29% | 12% |
| Central Michigan | 4 Central Michigan Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Bowling Green 62-59 Lost Tue, Feb 03 @ UMass 89-95 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ LA Lafayette 80-85 Won Sat, Feb 14 vs Northern Illinois 88-46 Tue, Feb 17 @ Eastern Michigan Sat, Feb 21 vs Western Michigan Tue, Feb 24 @ Kent State Sat, Feb 28 @ Buffalo |
8 | 12 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 9% | 88% |
| Ball State | 3 Ball State Recent Games Lost Tue, Feb 03 @ Bowling Green 52-77 Won Sat, Feb 07 @ UL Monroe 73-68 Lost Wed, Feb 11 vs Buffalo 53-63 Lost Sat, Feb 14 vs Kent State 68-75 Tue, Feb 17 @ Ohio Fri, Feb 20 vs Akron Tue, Feb 24 vs UMass Sat, Feb 28 @ Northern Illinois |
9 | 12 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 97% |
| Northern Illinois | 3 Northern Illinois Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ Miami OH 61-85 Won Sat, Feb 07 @ Georgia St. 75-74 Lost Wed, Feb 11 vs Bowling Green 52-68 Lost Sat, Feb 14 @ Central Michigan 46-88 Tue, Feb 17 @ Buffalo Sat, Feb 21 vs Ohio Tue, Feb 24 @ Toledo Sat, Feb 28 vs Ball State |
9 | 12 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 97% |
| Western Michigan | 3 Western Michigan Recent Games Lost Tue, Feb 03 @ Ohio 71-91 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ TX St. 61-77 Lost Wed, Feb 11 vs Toledo 79-90 Won Sat, Feb 14 @ Eastern Michigan 76-62 Tue, Feb 17 vs Akron Sat, Feb 21 @ Central Michigan Tue, Feb 24 @ Bowling Green Sat, Feb 28 vs Miami OH |
9 | 12 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 98% |
| Eastern Michigan | 3 Eastern Michigan Recent Games Lost Tue, Feb 03 vs Akron 64-66 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ App. St. 60-65 Lost Wed, Feb 11 @ Kent State 91-95 Lost Sat, Feb 14 vs Western Michigan 62-76 Tue, Feb 17 vs Central Michigan Sat, Feb 21 @ Toledo Tue, Feb 24 vs Miami OH Tue, Mar 03 @ Buffalo |
10 | 13 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 97% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (1)Miami OH | 12 | 0 | 2% |
| (2)Akron | 11 | 1 | 1% |
| (3)Kent State | 10 | 3 | <1% |
| (4)Toledo | 7 | 6 | <1% |
| (5)Bowling Green | 7 | 6 | <1% |
| (6)Ohio | 7 | 6 | <1% |
| (8)Buffalo | 5 | 7 | <1% |
| (7)UMass | 6 | 7 | <1% |
| (9)Central Michigan | 4 | 8 | <1% |
| (11)Northern Illinois | 3 | 9 | <1% |
| (12)Western Michigan | 3 | 9 | <1% |
| (13)Eastern Michigan | 3 | 10 | <1% |
| Elimination | 97% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Miami OH (25‑0) |
77‑86 | Home | Sat Dec 20, 2:00 pm |
| 9 | Buffalo (15‑10) |
72‑85 | Away | Sat Jan 3, 2:00 pm |
| 10 | Eastern Michigan (9‑17) |
52‑74 | Home | Tue Jan 6, 7:00 pm |
| 10 | UMass (15‑11) |
71‑79 | Away | Sat Jan 10, 3:30 pm |
| 11 | Akron (20‑5) |
77‑87 | Away | Tue Jan 13, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | Ohio (13‑13) |
76‑71 | Home | Fri Jan 16, 8:30 pm |
| 12 | Central Michigan (8‑17) |
68‑67 | Away | Tue Jan 20, 7:00 pm |
| 12 | Northern Illinois (8‑16) |
58‑53 | Home | Sat Jan 24, 2:00 pm |
| 13 | Toledo (13‑13) |
55‑73 | Away | Sat Jan 31, 12:00 pm |
| 14 | Bowling Green (16‑10) |
52‑77 | Away | Tue Feb 3, 7:00 pm |
| 15 | Buffalo (15‑10) |
53‑63 | Home | Wed Feb 11, 7:00 pm |
| 15 | Kent State (19‑7) |
68‑75 | Home | Sat Feb 14, 2:00 pm |
| 16 | Ohio (13‑13) |
Away | Tue Feb 17, 7:00 pm | |
| 16 | Akron (20‑5) |
Home | Fri Feb 20, 6:30 pm | |
| 17 | UMass (15‑11) |
Home | Tue Feb 24, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Northern Illinois (8‑16) |
Away | Sat Feb 28, 4:00 pm | |
| 18 | Western Michigan (9‑16) |
Away | Tue Mar 3, 7:00 pm | |
| 18 | Central Michigan (8‑17) |
Home | Fri Mar 6, 7:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | LA Lafayette (9‑17) |
SunbeltSunbelt | 75‑64 | Home | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | Mansfield | ‑‑ | 84‑54 | Home | Fri Nov 7 |
| 2 | Wisconsin (18‑7) |
Big 10Big 10 | 55‑86 | Away | Tue Nov 11 |
| 2 | UALR (10‑17) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 62‑68 | Home | Sat Nov 15, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | Indiana St. (10‑16) |
Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley | 52‑70 | Away | Sat Nov 22, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | Monmouth (13‑12) |
CoastalCoastal | 73‑80 | Home | Fri Nov 28, 2:00 pm |
| 4 | Lafayette (8‑18) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 37‑55 | Away | Sat Nov 29, 4:30 pm |
| 4 | Le Moyne (14‑13) |
NortheastNorth East | 96‑85 | Home | Sun Nov 30, 12:00 pm |
| 5 | Evansville (6‑20) |
Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley | 52‑64 | Away | Wed Dec 3, 8:00 pm |
| 6 | South Dakota St. (11‑15) |
SummitSummit | 64‑68 | Home | Tue Dec 9, 7:00 pm |
| 6 | Campbell (12‑13) |
CoastalCoastal | 64‑69 | Away | Sun Dec 14, 2:00 pm |
| 9 | Earlham College | ‑‑ | 93‑30 | Home | Mon Dec 29, 7:00 pm |
| 14 | UL Monroe (4‑22) |
SunbeltSunbelt | 73‑68 | Away | Sat Feb 7, 3:00 pm |