The Most Important Games for the Bowling Green Falcons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Falcons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bowling Green Falcons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bowling Green Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Bowling Green (10‑16) vs Toledo (16‑10) |
17 | Bowling Green Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 72% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 86% | ||
| Toledo Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 89% | ||
| Buffalo (8‑18) vs Ball State (13‑13) |
4 | Buffalo Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 84% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 86% | ||
| Ball State Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 8% | 88% | ||
| Central Michigan (11‑15) vs Western Michigan (9‑17) |
3 | Central Michigan Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 10% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 86% | ||
| Western Michigan Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 88% | ||
| Northern Illinois (5‑21) vs Eastern Michigan (13‑13) |
2 | Northern Illinois Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 85% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 86% | ||
| Eastern Michigan Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 87% | ||
| Kent State (18‑8) vs Miami OH (19‑7) |
0 | Kent State Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 4% | 9% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 86% | ||
| Miami OH Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 86% | ||
| Ohio (14‑12) vs Akron (21‑5) |
0 | Ohio Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 86% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 86% | ||
| Akron Wins | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 86% | ||