The Most Important Games for the Bowling Green Falcons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Falcons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bowling Green Falcons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bowling Green Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Buffalo (16‑12) vs Central Michigan (9‑19) |
8 | Buffalo Wins | X | X | X | X | 6% | 28% | 41% | 22% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 8% | 32% | 36% | 20% | 3% | ||
| Central Michigan Wins | X | X | X | X | 14% | 42% | 22% | 13% | 9% | ||
| Bowling Green (16‑13) vs UMass (15‑14) |
7 | Bowling Green Wins | X | X | X | X | 15% | 52% | 34% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 8% | 32% | 36% | 20% | 3% | ||
| UMass Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 9% | 42% | 42% | 7% | ||
| Miami OH (28‑0) vs Western Michigan (10‑18) |
1 | Miami OH Wins | X | X | X | X | 8% | 32% | 36% | 20% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 8% | 32% | 36% | 20% | 3% | ||
| Western Michigan Wins | X | X | X | X | 8% | 32% | 37% | 20% | 4% | ||
| Toledo (15‑13) vs Ohio (15‑13) |
0 | Toledo Wins | X | X | X | X | 10% | 28% | 37% | 23% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 8% | 32% | 36% | 20% | 3% | ||
| Ohio Wins | X | X | X | X | 5% | 37% | 37% | 18% | 3% | ||
| Ball State (9‑19) vs Northern Illinois (9‑18) |
0 | Ball State Wins | X | X | X | X | 8% | 33% | 36% | 20% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 8% | 32% | 36% | 20% | 3% | ||
| Northern Illinois Wins | X | X | X | X | 8% | 32% | 37% | 20% | 3% | ||
| Kent State (21‑7) vs Akron (23‑5) |
0 | Kent State Wins | X | X | X | X | 8% | 32% | 36% | 20% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 8% | 32% | 36% | 20% | 3% | ||
| Akron Wins | X | X | X | X | 8% | 32% | 36% | 20% | 3% | ||