The Bowling Green Falcons What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Bowling Green plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Win Next Game | 5 | 9 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 9% | 15% | 72% |
| Current Standings | 4 | 9 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 86% |
| Lose Next Game | 4 | 10 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 89% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Best Case Scenario | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 12% | 15% | 66% |
| Current Standings | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 8% | 86% |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% |
|
Best Case Scenario Bowling Green beats Toledo Buffalo beats Ball State Northern Illinois beats Eastern Michigan |
Worst Case Scenario Toledo beats Bowling Green Ball State beats Buffalo Eastern Michigan beats Northern Illinois |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | ||
| 5 of 5 | 100% | 9 | 9 | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 55% | 39% | 4% | <1% |
| 4 of 5 | 80% | 8 | 10 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 32% | 44% | 17% |
| 3 of 5 | 60% | 7 | 11 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 15% | 83% |
| 2 of 5 | 40% | 6 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | >99% |
| 1 of 5 | 20% | 5 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 5 | 0% | 4 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |