The Most Important Games for the Toledo Rockets are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rockets final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Toledo Rockets fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Toledo Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Toledo (1‑3) vs Ohio (1‑1) |
17 | Toledo Wins | 2% | 4% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 41% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 46% | ||
| Ohio Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 48% | ||
| Kent State (1‑3) vs Bowling Green (2‑0) |
1 | Kent State Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 46% | ||
| Bowling Green Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 46% | ||
| Central Michigan (4‑0) vs Miami OH (2‑0) |
1 | Central Michigan Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 46% | ||
| Miami OH Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 46% | ||
| Ball State (0‑3) vs Akron (2‑0) |
1 | Ball State Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 46% | ||
| Akron Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 46% | ||
| Buffalo (0‑2) vs Western Michigan (2‑1) |
1 | Buffalo Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 46% | ||
| Western Michigan Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 46% | ||
| Eastern Michigan (2‑1) vs UMass (2‑1) |
0 | Eastern Michigan Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 46% | ||
| UMass Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 46% | ||