The Most Important Games for the Toledo Rockets are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rockets final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Toledo Rockets fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Toledo Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Toledo (0‑3) vs Ohio (1‑0) |
15 | Toledo Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 51% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Ohio Wins | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 10% | 58% | ||
| Kent State (1‑2) vs Bowling Green (1‑0) |
1 | Kent State Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Bowling Green Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 57% | ||
| UMass (2‑1) vs Eastern Michigan (2‑1) |
1 | UMass Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Eastern Michigan Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Western Michigan (1‑1) vs Buffalo (0‑2) |
0 | Western Michigan Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 56% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Buffalo Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Miami OH (1‑0) vs Central Michigan (3‑0) |
0 | Miami OH Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Central Michigan Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Ball State (0‑2) vs Akron (1‑0) |
0 | Ball State Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 57% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 57% | ||
| Akron Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 56% | ||