The Most Important Games for the Toledo Rockets are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rockets final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Toledo Rockets fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Toledo Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Toledo (13‑13) vs Eastern Michigan (10‑17) |
3 | Toledo Wins | X | X | <1% | 41% | 24% | 18% | 12% | 5% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 35% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 2% | ||
| Eastern Michigan Wins | X | X | X | 19% | 19% | 23% | 21% | 15% | 4% | ||
| Ohio (14‑13) vs Northern Illinois (9‑16) |
1 | Ohio Wins | X | X | <1% | 33% | 21% | 21% | 16% | 9% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 35% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 2% | ||
| Northern Illinois Wins | X | X | <1% | 38% | 23% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Western Michigan (9‑17) vs Central Michigan (8‑18) |
0 | Western Michigan Wins | X | X | <1% | 35% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 9% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 35% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 2% | ||
| Central Michigan Wins | X | X | <1% | 35% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 2% | ||
| Buffalo (15‑11) vs UMass (15‑12) |
0 | Buffalo Wins | X | X | <1% | 39% | 21% | 17% | 13% | 8% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 35% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 2% | ||
| UMass Wins | X | X | <1% | 32% | 22% | 20% | 15% | 9% | 2% | ||
| Bowling Green (16‑11) vs Miami OH (26‑0) |
0 | Bowling Green Wins | X | X | <1% | 24% | 26% | 22% | 18% | 9% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 35% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 2% | ||
| Miami OH Wins | X | X | <1% | 36% | 21% | 18% | 15% | 8% | 2% | ||
| Akron (21‑5) vs Ball State (8‑18) |
0 | Akron Wins | X | X | <1% | 34% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | <1% | 35% | 22% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 2% | ||
| Ball State Wins | X | X | <1% | 35% | 21% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 2% | ||