Where are the Toledo Rockets going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Toledo standings table presents the probabilities of the Rockets winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 18 game season |
1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT |
| Miami OH | 11i Miami OH Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 27 vs UMass 86-84 Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Northern Illinois 85-61 Won Tue, Feb 03 @ Buffalo 73-71 Won Sat, Feb 07 @ Marshall 90-74 Fri, Feb 13 vs Ohio Tue, Feb 17 @ UMass Sat, Feb 21 vs Bowling Green Tue, Feb 24 @ Eastern Michigan |
0 | 11 | 91% | 9% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Akron | 10 Akron Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 27 vs Toledo 91-81 Won Fri, Jan 30 vs Kent State 69-52 Won Tue, Feb 03 @ Eastern Michigan 66-64 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ Troy 69-79 Fri, Feb 13 vs UMass Tue, Feb 17 @ Western Michigan Fri, Feb 20 @ Ball State Tue, Feb 24 vs Buffalo |
1 | 11 | 9% | 74% | 17% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Kent State | 9 Kent State Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 30 @ Akron 52-69 Won Tue, Feb 03 @ Toledo 75-72 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ Southern Miss 65-66 Won Wed, Feb 11 vs Eastern Michigan 95-91 Sat, Feb 14 @ Ball State Tue, Feb 17 @ Bowling Green Tue, Feb 24 vs Central Michigan Sat, Feb 28 vs Akron |
3 | 12 | <1% | 17% | 81% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Toledo | 7 Toledo Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Ball State 73-55 Lost Tue, Feb 03 vs Kent State 72-75 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ James Madison 71-73 Won Wed, Feb 11 @ Western Michigan 90-79 Sat, Feb 14 @ Bowling Green Sat, Feb 21 vs Eastern Michigan Tue, Feb 24 vs Northern Illinois Sat, Feb 28 @ Ohio |
5 | 12 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 37% | 24% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 2% |
| Ohio | 7 Ohio Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 27 @ Kent State 57-72 Won Sat, Jan 31 @ Buffalo 95-83 Won Tue, Feb 03 vs Western Michigan 91-71 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ Old Dominion 72-78 Fri, Feb 13 @ Miami OH Tue, Feb 17 vs Ball State Sat, Feb 21 @ Northern Illinois Sat, Feb 28 vs Toledo |
5 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 25% | 27% | 23% | 15% | 7% | 2% |
| Bowling Green | 6 Bowling Green Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ Central Michigan 59-62 Won Tue, Feb 03 vs Ball State 77-52 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ Arkansas St. 54-91 Won Wed, Feb 11 @ Northern Illinois 68-52 Sat, Feb 14 vs Toledo Tue, Feb 17 vs Kent State Sat, Feb 21 @ Miami OH Tue, Feb 24 vs Western Michigan |
6 | 12 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 15% | 20% | 20% | 20% | 18% | 6% |
| UMass | 6 UMass Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 27 @ Miami OH 84-86 Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Eastern Michigan 70-67 Won Tue, Feb 03 vs Central Michigan 95-89 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ Coast.Car. 91-94 Fri, Feb 13 @ Akron Tue, Feb 17 vs Miami OH Sat, Feb 21 vs Buffalo Tue, Feb 24 @ Ball State |
6 | 12 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 15% | 18% | 20% | 21% | 19% | 6% |
| Buffalo | 5 Buffalo Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Ohio 83-95 Lost Tue, Feb 03 vs Miami OH 71-73 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ South Alabama 69-81 Won Wed, Feb 11 @ Ball State 63-53 Tue, Feb 17 vs Northern Illinois Sat, Feb 21 @ UMass Tue, Feb 24 @ Akron Sat, Feb 28 vs Central Michigan |
7 | 12 | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 11% | 18% | 24% | 27% | 14% |
| Ball State | 3 Ball State Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ Toledo 55-73 Lost Tue, Feb 03 @ Bowling Green 52-77 Won Sat, Feb 07 @ UL Monroe 73-68 Lost Wed, Feb 11 vs Buffalo 53-63 Sat, Feb 14 vs Kent State Tue, Feb 17 @ Ohio Fri, Feb 20 vs Akron Tue, Feb 24 vs UMass |
8 | 11 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 96% |
| Northern Illinois | 3 Northern Illinois Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 27 vs Western Michigan 85-65 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ Miami OH 61-85 Won Sat, Feb 07 @ Georgia St. 75-74 Lost Wed, Feb 11 vs Bowling Green 52-68 Sat, Feb 14 @ Central Michigan Tue, Feb 17 @ Buffalo Sat, Feb 21 vs Ohio Tue, Feb 24 @ Toledo |
8 | 11 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| Central Michigan | 3 Central Michigan Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 27 vs Eastern Michigan 100-65 Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Bowling Green 62-59 Lost Tue, Feb 03 @ UMass 89-95 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ LA Lafayette 80-85 Sat, Feb 14 vs Northern Illinois Tue, Feb 17 @ Eastern Michigan Sat, Feb 21 vs Western Michigan Tue, Feb 24 @ Kent State |
8 | 11 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| Eastern Michigan | 3 Eastern Michigan Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ UMass 67-70 Lost Tue, Feb 03 vs Akron 64-66 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ App. St. 60-65 Lost Wed, Feb 11 @ Kent State 91-95 Sat, Feb 14 vs Western Michigan Tue, Feb 17 vs Central Michigan Sat, Feb 21 @ Toledo Tue, Feb 24 vs Miami OH |
9 | 12 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 6% | 91% |
| Western Michigan | 2 Western Michigan Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 27 @ Northern Illinois 65-85 Lost Tue, Feb 03 @ Ohio 71-91 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ TX St. 61-77 Lost Wed, Feb 11 vs Toledo 79-90 Sat, Feb 14 @ Eastern Michigan Tue, Feb 17 vs Akron Sat, Feb 21 @ Central Michigan Tue, Feb 24 @ Bowling Green |
9 | 11 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 99% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (5)Ohio | 7 | 5 | 24% |
| (6)Bowling Green | 6 | 6 | 16% |
| (7)UMass | 6 | 6 | 16% |
| (3)Kent State | 9 | 3 | 16% |
| (2)Akron | 10 | 1 | 12% |
| (1)Miami OH | 11 | 0 | 9% |
| (8)Buffalo | 5 | 7 | 6% |
| (10)Northern Illinois | 3 | 8 | <1% |
| (9)Ball State | 3 | 8 | <1% |
| (11)Central Michigan | 3 | 8 | <1% |
| (12)Eastern Michigan | 3 | 9 | <1% |
| (13)Western Michigan | 2 | 9 | <1% |
| Elimination | 2% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Western Michigan (8‑16) |
84‑79 | Home | Tue Dec 30, 6:30 pm |
| 9 | Central Michigan (7‑17) |
78‑75 | Away | Sat Jan 3, 3:00 pm |
| 10 | Northern Illinois (8‑15) |
75‑61 | Away | Tue Jan 6, 8:00 pm |
| 10 | Miami OH (24‑0) |
73‑87 | Home | Fri Jan 9, 6:30 pm |
| 11 | Ohio (13‑12) |
101‑85 | Home | Tue Jan 13, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | Kent State (18‑7) |
84‑87 | Away | Fri Jan 16, 6:30 pm |
| 12 | UMass (15‑10) |
82‑84 | Away | Tue Jan 20, 6:00 pm |
| 12 | Bowling Green (15‑10) |
73‑72 | Home | Sat Jan 24, 5:00 pm |
| 13 | Akron (19‑5) |
81‑91 | Away | Tue Jan 27, 7:00 pm |
| 13 | Ball State (8‑16) |
73‑55 | Home | Sat Jan 31, 12:00 pm |
| 14 | Kent State (18‑7) |
72‑75 | Home | Tue Feb 3, 7:00 pm |
| 15 | Western Michigan (8‑16) |
90‑79 | Away | Wed Feb 11, 7:00 pm |
| 15 | Bowling Green (15‑10) |
Away | Sat Feb 14, 5:00 pm | |
| 16 | Eastern Michigan (9‑16) |
Home | Sat Feb 21, 5:00 pm | |
| 17 | Northern Illinois (8‑15) |
Home | Tue Feb 24, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Ohio (13‑12) |
Away | Sat Feb 28, 4:00 pm | |
| 18 | Miami OH (24‑0) |
Away | Tue Mar 3, 7:00 pm | |
| 18 | Buffalo (15‑10) |
Home | Fri Mar 6, 7:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | South Alabama (18‑7) |
SunbeltSunbelt | 74‑76 | Home | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | Marshall (16‑9) |
SunbeltSunbelt | 73‑85 | Home | Sat Nov 8 |
| 2 | Wright St. (16‑10) |
HorizonHorizon | 81‑71 | Away | Tue Nov 11 |
| 2 | Detroit (11‑13) |
HorizonHorizon | 90‑83 | Home | Sat Nov 15, 1:00 pm |
| 3 | Youngstown St. (13‑13) |
HorizonHorizon | 92‑75 | Home | Wed Nov 19, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | Troy (17‑9) |
SunbeltSunbelt | 75‑68 | Away | Mon Nov 24, 11:00 am |
| 4 | Belmont (23‑4) |
Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley | 72‑87 | Home | Wed Nov 26 |
| 5 | Central State (OH) | ‑‑ | 102‑58 | Home | Mon Dec 1, 6:30 pm |
| 5 | Oakland (14‑12) |
HorizonHorizon | 97‑98 | Away | Sat Dec 6, 3:00 pm |
| 6 | Robert Morris (17‑10) |
HorizonHorizon | 70‑75 | Away | Sat Dec 13, 1:00 pm |
| 7 | Michigan St. (20‑4) |
Big 10Big 10 | 69‑92 | Away | Tue Dec 16, 6:30 pm |
| 7 | Lourdes University | ‑‑ | 100‑67 | Home | Sat Dec 20, 12:00 pm |
| 14 | James Madison (13‑13) |
SunbeltSunbelt | 71‑73 | Away | Sat Feb 7, 4:00 pm |