The Most Important Games for the Bowling Green Falcons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Falcons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bowling Green Falcons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bowling Green Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |||
| Bowling Green (3‑4) vs Kent State (2‑5) |
7 | Bowling Green Wins | 1% | 7% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Kent State Wins | <1% | <1% | 2% | 7% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | ||
| Eastern Michigan (2‑6) vs Ohio (4‑3) |
3 | Eastern Michigan Wins | 1% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Ohio Wins | <1% | 4% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | ||
| UMass (0‑7) vs Central Michigan (4‑3) |
2 | UMass Wins | 1% | 6% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Central Michigan Wins | 1% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Akron (2‑6) vs Buffalo (4‑3) |
1 | Akron Wins | 1% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Buffalo Wins | 1% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Northern Illinois (1‑6) vs Ball State (3‑4) |
1 | Northern Illinois Wins | 1% | 5% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Ball State Wins | 1% | 4% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Miami OH (4‑3) vs Western Michigan (4‑3) |
1 | Miami OH Wins | 1% | 5% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| Western Michigan Wins | 1% | 4% | 9% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||