The Most Important Games for the Bowling Green Falcons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Falcons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Bowling Green Falcons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Bowling Green Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |||
| Bowling Green (2‑4) vs Ball State (1‑5) |
11 | Bowling Green Wins | 7% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Ball State Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Sacramento St. (1‑5) vs Ohio (4‑2) |
2 | Sacramento St. Wins | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Ohio Wins | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Akron (1‑5) vs Miami OH (3‑3) |
1 | Akron Wins | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 5% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Miami OH Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Central Michigan (3‑3) vs Western Michigan (4‑2) |
1 | Central Michigan Wins | 6% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Western Michigan Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 3% | <1% | ||
| UMass (4‑2) vs Buffalo (3‑3) |
1 | UMass Wins | 5% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Buffalo Wins | 5% | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Toledo (4‑2) vs Eastern Michigan (4‑3) |
0 | Toledo Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Eastern Michigan Wins | 6% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% | 3% | 1% | ||