Are the Toledo Rockets going to play in the Conference Championship game? The Toledo standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 8 game season |
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| Ohio | 0i Ohio Recent Games Lost Thu, Aug 28 @ Rutgers 31-34 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs West Virginia 17-10 Sat, Sep 13 @ Ohio St. Sat, Sep 20 vs Gardner-Webb Sat, Sep 27 vs Bowling Green Sat, Oct 04 @ Ball State |
0 | 0 | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% |
| Central Michigan | 0 Central Michigan Recent Games Won Fri, Aug 29 @ San José State 16-14 Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ Pittsburgh 17-45 Sat, Sep 13 @ Michigan Sat, Sep 20 vs Wagner Sat, Sep 27 vs E. Michigan Sat, Oct 04 @ Akron |
0 | 0 | 13% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% | 3% |
| Toledo | 0 Toledo Recent Games Lost Sat, Aug 30 @ Kentucky 16-24 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs W. Kentucky 45-21 Sat, Sep 13 vs Morgan State Sat, Sep 20 @ W. Michigan Sat, Sep 27 vs Akron Sat, Oct 11 @ Bowling Green |
0 | 0 | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 3% |
| Northern Illinois | 0 Northern Illinois Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Holy Cross 19-17 Lost Fri, Sep 05 @ Maryland 9-20 Sat, Sep 20 @ Mississippi St. Sat, Sep 27 vs San Diego State Sat, Oct 04 vs Miami OH Sat, Oct 11 @ E. Michigan |
0 | 0 | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 4% |
| Buffalo | 0 Buffalo Recent Games Lost Thu, Aug 28 @ Minnesota 10-23 Won Sat, Sep 06 vs Saint Francis 45-6 Sat, Sep 13 @ Kent State Sat, Sep 20 vs Troy Sat, Sep 27 vs UConn Sat, Oct 04 vs E. Michigan |
0 | 0 | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 4% |
| Kent State | 0 Kent State Recent Games Won Sat, Aug 30 vs Merrimack 21-17 Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ Texas Tech 14-62 Sat, Sep 13 vs Buffalo Sat, Sep 20 @ Florida St. Sat, Oct 04 @ Oklahoma Sat, Oct 11 vs UMass |
0 | 0 | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% |
| Bowling Green | 0 Bowling Green Recent Games Won Thu, Aug 28 vs Lafayette 26-7 Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ Cincinnati 20-34 Sat, Sep 13 vs Liberty Sat, Sep 20 @ Louisville Sat, Sep 27 @ Ohio Sat, Oct 11 vs Toledo |
0 | 0 | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 7% | 7% | 6% |
| Ball State | 0 Ball State Recent Games Lost Sat, Aug 30 @ Purdue 0-31 Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ Auburn 3-42 Sat, Sep 13 vs New Hampshire Sat, Sep 20 @ UConn Sat, Oct 04 vs Ohio Sat, Oct 11 @ W. Michigan |
0 | 0 | 5% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 8% | 8% |
| Miami OH | 0 Miami OH Recent Games Lost Thu, Aug 28 @ Wisconsin 0-17 Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ Rutgers 17-45 Sat, Sep 20 vs UNLV Sat, Sep 27 vs Lindenwood Sat, Oct 04 @ N. Illinois Sat, Oct 11 @ Akron |
0 | 0 | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 7% |
| Western Michigan | 0 Western Michigan Recent Games Lost Fri, Aug 29 @ Michigan St. 6-23 Lost Sat, Sep 06 vs North Texas 30-33 Sat, Sep 13 @ Illinois Sat, Sep 20 vs Toledo Sat, Sep 27 vs Rhode Island Sat, Oct 04 @ UMass |
0 | 0 | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% |
| Akron | 0 Akron Recent Games Lost Thu, Aug 28 vs Wyoming 0-10 Lost Sat, Sep 06 @ Nebraska 0-68 Sat, Sep 13 @ UAB Sat, Sep 20 vs Duquesne Sat, Sep 27 @ Toledo Sat, Oct 04 vs C. Michigan |
0 | 0 | 4% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 8% |
| Eastern Michigan | 0 Eastern Michigan Recent Games Lost Sat, Aug 30 @ Texas St. 27-52 Lost Sat, Sep 06 vs Long Island University 23-28 Sat, Sep 13 @ Kentucky Sat, Sep 20 vs UL Lafayette Sat, Sep 27 @ C. Michigan Sat, Oct 04 @ Buffalo |
0 | 0 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 19% |
| UMass | 0 UMass Recent Games Lost Sat, Aug 30 vs Temple 10-42 Lost Sat, Sep 06 vs Bryant 26-27 Sat, Sep 13 @ Iowa Sat, Sep 27 @ Missouri Sat, Oct 04 vs W. Michigan Sat, Oct 11 @ Kent State |
0 | 0 | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 16% | 22% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (1)Ohio | 0 | 0 | 5% |
| (5)Buffalo | 0 | 0 | 3% |
| (2)Central Michigan | 0 | 0 | 3% |
| (4)Northern Illinois | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (7)Bowling Green | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (6)Kent State | 0 | 0 | 2% |
| (9)Miami OH | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (10)Western Michigan | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (8)Ball State | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (11)Akron | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (12)Eastern Michigan | 0 | 0 | 1% |
| (13)UMass | 0 | 0 | <1% |
| Elimination | 77% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Western Michigan (0‑2) |
Away | Sat Sep 20, TBD | |
| 5 | Akron (0‑2) |
Home | Sat Sep 27, 3:30 pm | |
| 7 | Bowling Green (1‑1) |
Away | Sat Oct 11, TBD | |
| 8 | Kent State (1‑1) |
Home | Sat Oct 18, TBD | |
| 11 | Northern Illinois (1‑1) |
Home | Wed Nov 5, TBD | |
| 12 | Miami OH (0‑2) |
Away | Wed Nov 12, 7:00 pm | |
| 13 | Ball State (0‑2) |
Home | Sat Nov 22, TBD | |
| 14 | Central Michigan (1‑1) |
Away | Sat Nov 29, TBD |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kentucky (1‑1) |
SECSEC | 16‑24 | Away | Sat Aug 30, 12:45 pm |
| 2 | W. Kentucky (2‑1) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 45‑21 | Home | Sat Sep 6, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | Morgan State | ‑‑ | Home | Sat Sep 13, 3:30 pm | |
| 9 | Washington St. (2‑0) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | Away | Sat Oct 25, 3:30 pm |