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Sun Oct 18 10:45 am

MAC Football - Week 8 of 13

Ohio Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Ohio Bobcats are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bobcats final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Ohio Bobcats fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Ohio Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Ohio Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Ohio
(5‑2)

vs
Eastern Michigan
(4‑4)
31 Ohio Wins 40% 29% 13% 8% 4% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 33% 27% 13% 9% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Eastern Michigan Wins 14% 25% 17% 13% 11% 8% 5% 4% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Bowling Green
(2‑5)

vs
Buffalo
(4‑3)
3 Bowling Green Wins 34% 28% 13% 9% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 33% 27% 13% 9% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Buffalo Wins 33% 26% 14% 9% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Central Michigan
(3‑4)

vs
Miami OH
(4‑3)
2 Central Michigan Wins 35% 26% 13% 9% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 33% 27% 13% 9% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Miami OH Wins 33% 27% 14% 9% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Akron
(1‑6)

vs
Kent State
(2‑5)
1 Akron Wins 34% 27% 13% 9% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 33% 27% 13% 9% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Kent State Wins 34% 27% 13% 9% 7% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sacramento St.
(1‑6)

vs
Ball State
(2‑5)
0 Sacramento St. Wins 34% 27% 14% 9% 7% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 33% 27% 13% 9% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Ball State Wins 33% 27% 13% 9% 6% 5% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Western Michigan
(5‑2)

vs
Toledo
(5‑2)
0 Western Michigan Wins 30% 31% 13% 9% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 33% 27% 13% 9% 6% 4% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Toledo Wins 43% 18% 12% 9% 7% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant