The Ohio Bobcats What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Ohio plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |
| Win Next Game | 6 | 2 | 1% | 47% | 46% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | 5 | 2 | <1% | 29% | 28% | 11% | 10% | 21% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Lose Next Game | 5 | 3 | X | X | X | 18% | 26% | 54% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |
| Best Case Scenario | 2% | 37% | 19% | 6% | 18% | 16% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Standings | <1% | 29% | 28% | 11% | 10% | 21% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Worst Case Scenario | X | 27% | 31% | 13% | 6% | 23% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
|
Best Case Scenario Ball State beats Toledo |
Worst Case Scenario Toledo beats Ball State |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | ||
| 1 of 1 | 100% | 6 | 2 | 1% | 48% | 45% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 0 of 1 | 0% | 5 | 3 | X | X | X | 18% | 26% | 54% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |