The Most Important Games for the UMass Minutemen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Minutemen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UMass Minutemen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UMass Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |||
| UMass (4‑0) vs Eastern Michigan (2‑3) |
21 | UMass Wins | 27% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Eastern Michigan Wins | 9% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Ball State (1‑3) vs Toledo (3‑1) |
2 | Ball State Wins | 26% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Toledo Wins | 24% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Bowling Green (0‑4) vs Miami OH (2‑2) |
1 | Bowling Green Wins | 25% | 17% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Miami OH Wins | 24% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Akron (1‑3) vs Central Michigan (2‑2) |
1 | Akron Wins | 26% | 17% | 13% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Central Michigan Wins | 24% | 18% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Buffalo (2‑2) vs Western Michigan (2‑2) |
1 | Buffalo Wins | 25% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Western Michigan Wins | 24% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Kent State (2‑2) vs Ohio (2‑2) |
0 | Kent State Wins | 25% | 17% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 24% | 18% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 3% | 2% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Ohio Wins | 25% | 17% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 3% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | ||