The Most Important Games for the UMass Minutemen are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Minutemen final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UMass Minutemen fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UMass Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | |||
| Kent State (3‑7) vs Miami OH (6‑4) |
0 | Kent State Wins | X | X | X | X | 5% | 9% | 13% | 19% | 16% | 26% | 11% | 2% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 2% | 11% | 17% | 23% | 21% | 17% | 8% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Miami OH Wins | X | X | X | X | X | 11% | 19% | 25% | 23% | 14% | 7% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Ohio (7‑3) vs Ball State (3‑7) |
0 | Ohio Wins | X | X | X | X | 2% | 10% | 18% | 23% | 22% | 19% | 6% | 1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 2% | 11% | 17% | 23% | 21% | 17% | 8% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Ball State Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 12% | 13% | 21% | 21% | 14% | 15% | 2% | ^ | ||
| Western Michigan (7‑3) vs Eastern Michigan (4‑6) |
0 | Western Michigan Wins | X | X | X | X | 2% | 13% | 15% | 23% | 21% | 17% | 8% | 1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 2% | 11% | 17% | 23% | 21% | 17% | 8% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Eastern Michigan Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 4% | 18% | 26% | 24% | 19% | 7% | 1% | ^ | ||
| UMass (5‑5) vs Akron (1‑9) |
0 | UMass Wins | X | X | X | X | 2% | 13% | 21% | 22% | 24% | 14% | 3% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 2% | 11% | 17% | 23% | 21% | 17% | 8% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Akron Wins | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 24% | 19% | 30% | 20% | 4% | ^ | ||
| Buffalo (7‑3) vs Central Michigan (5‑5) |
0 | Buffalo Wins | X | X | X | X | 2% | 13% | 18% | 19% | 21% | 17% | 7% | 1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 2% | 11% | 17% | 23% | 21% | 17% | 8% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Central Michigan Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 12% | 30% | 23% | 18% | 8% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Toledo (8‑2) vs Bowling Green (3‑7) |
0 | Toledo Wins | X | X | X | X | 2% | 11% | 17% | 23% | 20% | 17% | 8% | 1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 2% | 11% | 17% | 23% | 21% | 17% | 8% | 1% | ^ | ||
| Bowling Green Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 10% | 15% | 15% | 29% | 20% | 9% | 1% | ^ | ||