Are the UMass Minutemen going to play in the Conference Championship game? The UMass standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 8 game season |
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
| Buffalo | 5i Buffalo Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 17 vs UMass 25-18 Won Sat, Oct 24 vs Bowling Green 31-24 Won Tue, Nov 03 @ Miami OH 34-31 Won Wed, Nov 11 @ Ball State 28-7 Wed, Nov 18 vs C. Michigan Fri, Nov 27 @ Akron |
1 | 6 | 30% | 23% | 31% | 10% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Toledo | 5 Toledo Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 17 @ E. Michigan 34-14 Won Sat, Oct 24 vs W. Michigan 45-38 Won Wed, Nov 04 @ Sacramento St. 20-17 Won Wed, Nov 11 vs UMass 24-0 Fri, Nov 20 vs Bowling Green Fri, Nov 27 @ Ohio |
1 | 6 | 25% | 22% | 18% | 27% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Ohio | 5 Ohio Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 17 @ Sacramento St. 48-7 Won Sat, Oct 24 vs E. Michigan 24-20 Won Tue, Nov 03 @ Akron 28-20 Lost Tue, Nov 10 @ Miami OH 17-34 Tue, Nov 17 vs Ball State Fri, Nov 27 vs Toledo |
1 | 6 | 23% | 19% | 20% | 26% | 11% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Western Michigan | 5 Western Michigan Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 17 @ C. Michigan 21-14 Lost Sat, Oct 24 @ Toledo 38-45 Won Sat, Oct 31 vs Bowling Green 23-10 Won Tue, Nov 10 @ Akron 42-14 Tue, Nov 17 vs E. Michigan Tue, Nov 24 vs Miami OH |
1 | 6 | 21% | 32% | 18% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Miami OH | 4 Miami OH Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 17 vs Akron 34-14 Won Sat, Oct 24 @ C. Michigan 28-27 Lost Tue, Nov 03 vs Buffalo 31-34 Won Tue, Nov 10 vs Ohio 34-17 Tue, Nov 17 @ Kent State Tue, Nov 24 @ W. Michigan |
2 | 6 | 1% | 4% | 12% | 17% | 40% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Central Michigan | 3 Central Michigan Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 17 vs W. Michigan 14-21 Lost Sat, Oct 24 vs Miami OH 27-28 Won Wed, Nov 04 @ E. Michigan 35-7 Won Wed, Nov 11 vs Sacramento St. 28-7 Wed, Nov 18 @ Buffalo Sat, Nov 28 @ Ball State |
3 | 6 | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 9% | 28% | 22% | 16% | 9% | 9% | 4% | ^ | ^ |
| Bowling Green | 3 Bowling Green Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 17 vs Ball State 31-32 Lost Sat, Oct 24 @ Buffalo 24-31 Lost Sat, Oct 31 @ W. Michigan 10-23 Won Tue, Nov 10 vs Kent State 33-28 Fri, Nov 20 @ Toledo Sat, Nov 28 vs UMass |
3 | 6 | X | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 14% | 18% | 16% | 25% | 15% | 4% | ^ | ^ |
| Eastern Michigan | 3 Eastern Michigan Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 10 @ Akron 25-23 Lost Sat, Oct 17 vs Toledo 14-34 Lost Sat, Oct 24 @ Ohio 20-24 Lost Wed, Nov 04 vs C. Michigan 7-35 Tue, Nov 17 @ W. Michigan Tue, Nov 24 vs Kent State |
3 | 6 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 11% | 20% | 22% | 19% | 12% | 10% | 4% | ^ | ^ |
| UMass | 2 UMass Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 17 @ Buffalo 18-25 Lost Fri, Oct 23 @ UConn 16-35 Won Wed, Nov 04 vs Ball State 31-30 Lost Wed, Nov 11 @ Toledo 0-24 Wed, Nov 18 vs Akron Sat, Nov 28 @ Bowling Green |
4 | 6 | X | X | X | X | 2% | 11% | 17% | 23% | 21% | 17% | 8% | 1% | ^ |
| Kent State | 2 Kent State Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 17 @ South Florida 2-29 Won Sat, Oct 24 vs Akron 35-20 Lost Fri, Oct 30 @ Sacramento St. 10-31 Lost Tue, Nov 10 @ Bowling Green 28-33 Tue, Nov 17 vs Miami OH Tue, Nov 24 @ E. Michigan |
4 | 6 | X | X | X | X | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 15% | 37% | 25% | <1% | ^ |
| Ball State | 2 Ball State Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 17 @ Bowling Green 32-31 Won Sat, Oct 24 vs Sacramento St. 34-17 Lost Wed, Nov 04 @ UMass 30-31 Lost Wed, Nov 11 vs Buffalo 7-28 Tue, Nov 17 @ Ohio Sat, Nov 28 vs C. Michigan |
4 | 6 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 5% | 10% | 17% | 12% | 53% | 1% | ^ |
| Sacramento St. | 1 Sacramento St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 24 @ Ball State 17-34 Won Fri, Oct 30 vs Kent State 31-10 Lost Wed, Nov 04 vs Toledo 17-20 Lost Wed, Nov 11 @ C. Michigan 7-28 Sat, Nov 28 @ Hawaii |
7 | 8 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 79% | 21% |
| Akron | 0 Akron Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 17 @ Miami OH 14-34 Lost Sat, Oct 24 @ Kent State 20-35 Lost Tue, Nov 03 vs Ohio 20-28 Lost Tue, Nov 10 vs W. Michigan 14-42 Wed, Nov 18 @ UMass Fri, Nov 27 vs Buffalo |
6 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 2% | 19% | 79% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sacramento St. (2‑9) |
35‑6 | Away | Sat Sep 26, 9:00 pm |
| 5 | Eastern Michigan (4‑6) |
14‑38 | Home | Sat Oct 3, 3:30 pm |
| 6 | Miami OH (6‑4) |
19‑20 | Home | Sat Oct 10, 2:00 pm |
| 7 | Buffalo (7‑3) |
18‑25 (OT) | Away | Sat Oct 17, 1:00 pm |
| 10 | Ball State (3‑7) |
31‑30 (OT) | Home | Wed Nov 4, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | Toledo (8‑2) |
0‑24 | Away | Wed Nov 11, 7:30 pm |
| 12 | Akron (1‑9) |
Home | Wed Nov 18, 7:00 pm | |
| 13 | Bowling Green (3‑7) |
Away | Sat Nov 28, 12:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Rutgers (2‑7) |
Big 10Big 10 | 37‑21 | Away | Thu Sep 3, 6:00 pm |
| 2 | Sacred Heart | ‑‑ | 37‑10 | Home | Sat Sep 12, 3:30 pm |
| 3 | Stonehill | ‑‑ | 36‑14 | Home | Sat Sep 19, 3:30 pm |
| 8 | UConn (4‑5) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 16‑35 | Away | Fri Oct 23, 7:00 pm |