The Most Important Games for the Valparaiso Crusaders are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crusaders final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Valparaiso Crusaders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Valparaiso Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Valparaiso (10‑7) vs Belmont (12‑5) |
13 | Valparaiso Wins | 2% | 5% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Belmont Wins | <1% | 2% | 4% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Evansville (6‑11) vs Northern Iowa (10‑7) |
1 | Evansville Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Northern Iowa Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Indiana St. (9‑8) vs Bradley (14‑3) |
1 | Indiana St. Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Bradley Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| UIC (11‑6) vs Murray State (9‑6) |
0 | UIC Wins | 1% | 3% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Murray State Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Southern Illinois (6‑11) vs Missouri St. (7‑10) |
0 | Southern Illinois Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Missouri St. Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Illinois St. (10‑7) vs Drake (14‑2) |
0 | Illinois St. Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Drake Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% | ||