The Most Important Games for the Valparaiso Crusaders are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crusaders final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Valparaiso Crusaders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Valparaiso Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Valparaiso (15‑13) vs UIC (16‑12) |
45 | Valparaiso Wins | X | <1% | 5% | 15% | 26% | 34% | 19% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 2% | 7% | 12% | 36% | 36% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UIC Wins | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 40% | 49% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Southern Illinois (13‑15) vs Northern Iowa (18‑10) |
5 | Southern Illinois Wins | X | <1% | 4% | 10% | 11% | 35% | 27% | 14% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 2% | 7% | 12% | 36% | 36% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Northern Iowa Wins | X | <1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 37% | 41% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Murray State (19‑9) vs Illinois St. (17‑10) |
4 | Murray State Wins | X | X | 3% | 8% | 13% | 43% | 28% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 2% | 7% | 12% | 36% | 36% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Illinois St. Wins | X | <1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 29% | 45% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Belmont (24‑4) vs Indiana St. (10‑18) |
0 | Belmont Wins | X | <1% | 2% | 7% | 12% | 36% | 36% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 2% | 7% | 12% | 36% | 36% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Indiana St. Wins | X | <1% | 2% | 7% | 12% | 36% | 36% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||