The Most Important Games for the Valparaiso Crusaders are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crusaders final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Valparaiso Crusaders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Valparaiso Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Valparaiso (12‑16) vs Southern Illinois (12‑16) |
0 | Valparaiso Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 25% | 73% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 12% | 88% | ^ | ||
| Southern Illinois Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 2% | 98% | ^ | ||
| UIC (16‑12) vs Evansville (11‑17) |
0 | UIC Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 12% | 88% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 12% | 88% | ^ | ||
| Evansville Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 12% | 87% | ^ | ||
| Illinois St. (16‑12) vs Missouri St. (9‑19) |
0 | Illinois St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 12% | 88% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 12% | 88% | ^ | ||
| Missouri St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 11% | 88% | ^ | ||
| Murray State (14‑14) vs Bradley (21‑7) |
0 | Murray State Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 12% | 87% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 12% | 88% | ^ | ||
| Bradley Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 12% | 87% | ^ | ||
| Belmont (18‑10) vs Indiana St. (13‑15) |
0 | Belmont Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 13% | 87% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 12% | 88% | ^ | ||
| Indiana St. Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 8% | 92% | ^ | ||
| Northern Iowa (19‑9) vs Drake (24‑3) |
0 | Northern Iowa Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 12% | 88% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 12% | 88% | ^ | ||
| Drake Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 12% | 88% | ^ | ||