The Most Important Games for the Valparaiso Crusaders are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crusaders final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Valparaiso Crusaders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Valparaiso Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Evansville (4‑7) vs Belmont (10‑1) |
1 | Evansville Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 2% | 4% | ||
| Belmont Wins | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Indiana St. (6‑4) vs Bradley (5‑4) |
1 | Indiana St. Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 2% | 4% | ||
| Bradley Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 12% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Murray State (8‑3) vs Drake (6‑5) |
0 | Murray State Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 2% | 4% | ||
| Drake Wins | 6% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Illinois St. (7‑3) vs Southern Illinois (6‑5) |
0 | Illinois St. Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 2% | 4% | ||
| Southern Illinois Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||
| Northern Iowa (8‑2) vs UIC (4‑6) |
0 | Northern Iowa Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 12% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 2% | 4% | ||
| UIC Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 13% | 13% | 14% | ?? | ?? | ?? | ||