The Most Important Games for the Valparaiso Crusaders are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crusaders final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Valparaiso Crusaders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Valparaiso Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Valparaiso (2‑2) vs Drake (5‑0) |
7 | Valparaiso Wins | 2% | 5% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% | ||
| Drake Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | ||
| Northern Iowa (3‑2) vs UIC (3‑2) |
0 | Northern Iowa Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% | ||
| UIC Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% | ||
| Missouri St. (3‑1) vs Indiana St. (2‑2) |
0 | Missouri St. Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% | ||
| Indiana St. Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 15% | ||
| Belmont (4‑1) vs Illinois St. (3‑1) |
0 | Belmont Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% | ||
| Illinois St. Wins | 2% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 15% | ||
| Bradley (4‑1) vs Southern Illinois (2‑2) |
0 | Bradley Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 11% | 11% | 13% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% | ||
| Southern Illinois Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 13% | 15% | ||
| Murray State (3‑1) vs Evansville (1‑4) |
0 | Murray State Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 14% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 14% | ||
| Evansville Wins | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 15% | ||