The Most Important Games for the Valparaiso Crusaders are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Crusaders final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Valparaiso Crusaders fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Valparaiso Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Murray State (16‑4) vs Northern Iowa (12‑8) |
4 | Murray State Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Northern Iowa Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Evansville (5‑15) vs Southern Illinois (8‑12) |
2 | Evansville Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 16% | 11% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Southern Illinois Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Belmont (17‑3) vs Illinois St. (14‑6) |
1 | Belmont Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 11% | 14% | 17% | 16% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Illinois St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 6% | 2% | ||
| Bradley (14‑7) vs UIC (10‑10) |
1 | Bradley Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 2% | ||
| UIC Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 11% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 12% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Indiana St. (9‑11) vs Drake (10‑10) |
0 | Indiana St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 17% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 7% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 2% | ||
| Drake Wins | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 12% | 6% | 2% | ||