Where are the Valparaiso Crusaders going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Valparaiso standings table presents the probabilities of the Crusaders winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| Bradley | 5i Bradley Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 01 @ Indiana St. 90-89 Won Sat, Jan 04 vs Missouri St. 69-60 Lost Wed, Jan 08 vs Drake 57-64 Won Sat, Jan 11 @ UIC 61-60 Wed, Jan 15 vs Indiana St. Sat, Jan 18 @ Murray State Tue, Jan 21 @ Belmont Sat, Jan 25 vs Illinois St. |
1 | 6 | 34% | 24% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Murray State | 4 Murray State Recent Games Lost Thu, Jan 02 vs Illinois St. 68-74 Won Sun, Jan 05 @ Drake 66-59 Won Wed, Jan 08 @ Northern Iowa 71-68 Won Sat, Jan 11 vs Valparaiso 58-47 Wed, Jan 15 @ UIC Sat, Jan 18 vs Bradley Wed, Jan 22 @ Southern Illinois Sat, Jan 25 vs Belmont |
2 | 6 | 7% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Northern Iowa | 4 Northern Iowa Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 01 vs Belmont 76-70 Lost Sat, Jan 04 @ Valparaiso 73-80 Lost Wed, Jan 08 vs Murray State 68-71 Won Sat, Jan 11 @ Illinois St. 85-84 Tue, Jan 14 vs Evansville Sat, Jan 18 @ Southern Illinois Tue, Jan 21 vs Missouri St. Sat, Jan 25 @ Indiana St. |
2 | 6 | 6% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Drake | 4 Drake Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 01 @ UIC 70-74 Lost Sun, Jan 05 vs Murray State 59-66 Won Wed, Jan 08 @ Bradley 64-57 Won Sat, Jan 11 vs Evansville 63-40 Wed, Jan 15 vs Illinois St. Sat, Jan 18 @ Indiana St. Wed, Jan 22 vs Valparaiso Sat, Jan 25 @ Missouri St. |
2 | 6 | 37% | 26% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Belmont | 4 Belmont Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 01 @ Northern Iowa 70-76 Won Sat, Jan 04 vs UIC 92-87 Won Wed, Jan 08 vs Southern Illinois 90-86 Won Sat, Jan 11 @ Indiana St. 84-79 Tue, Jan 14 vs Valparaiso Sat, Jan 18 @ Evansville Tue, Jan 21 vs Bradley Sat, Jan 25 @ Murray State |
2 | 6 | 12% | 19% | 21% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Valparaiso | 3 Valparaiso Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 01 @ Missouri St. 73-72 Won Sat, Jan 04 vs Northern Iowa 80-73 Won Wed, Jan 08 vs Indiana St. 98-95 Lost Sat, Jan 11 @ Murray State 47-58 Tue, Jan 14 @ Belmont Sat, Jan 18 vs UIC Wed, Jan 22 @ Drake Sat, Jan 25 vs Evansville |
3 | 6 | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 8% | 4% | 1% |
| Indiana St. | 3 Indiana St. Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 01 vs Bradley 89-90 Won Sat, Jan 04 @ Evansville 66-62 Lost Wed, Jan 08 @ Valparaiso 95-98 Lost Sat, Jan 11 vs Belmont 79-84 Wed, Jan 15 @ Bradley Sat, Jan 18 vs Drake Tue, Jan 21 @ Illinois St. Sat, Jan 25 vs Northern Iowa |
3 | 6 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 16% | 19% | 15% | 9% | 3% |
| Evansville | 3 Evansville Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 01 @ Southern Illinois 68-53 Lost Sat, Jan 04 vs Indiana St. 62-66 Won Wed, Jan 08 vs Illinois St. 69-51 Lost Sat, Jan 11 @ Drake 40-63 Tue, Jan 14 @ Northern Iowa Sat, Jan 18 vs Belmont Wed, Jan 22 vs UIC Sat, Jan 25 @ Valparaiso |
3 | 6 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 12% | 17% | 25% | 20% | 9% |
| UIC | 3 UIC Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 01 vs Drake 74-70 Lost Sat, Jan 04 @ Belmont 87-92 Won Tue, Jan 07 @ Missouri St. 80-63 Lost Sat, Jan 11 vs Bradley 60-61 Wed, Jan 15 vs Murray State Sat, Jan 18 @ Valparaiso Wed, Jan 22 @ Evansville Sat, Jan 25 vs Southern Illinois |
3 | 6 | 2% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 2% | <1% |
| Illinois St. | 2 Illinois St. Recent Games Won Thu, Jan 02 @ Murray State 74-68 Won Sun, Jan 05 vs Southern Illinois 85-54 Lost Wed, Jan 08 @ Evansville 51-69 Lost Sat, Jan 11 vs Northern Iowa 84-85 Wed, Jan 15 @ Drake Sat, Jan 18 vs Missouri St. Tue, Jan 21 vs Indiana St. Sat, Jan 25 @ Bradley |
4 | 6 | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 3% |
| Southern Illinois | 1 Southern Illinois Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 01 vs Evansville 53-68 Lost Sun, Jan 05 @ Illinois St. 54-85 Lost Wed, Jan 08 @ Belmont 86-90 Won Sat, Jan 11 vs Missouri St. 88-78 Wed, Jan 15 @ Missouri St. Sat, Jan 18 vs Northern Iowa Wed, Jan 22 vs Murray State Sat, Jan 25 @ UIC |
5 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 17% | 32% | 29% |
| Missouri St. | 0 Missouri St. Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 01 vs Valparaiso 72-73 Lost Sat, Jan 04 @ Bradley 60-69 Lost Tue, Jan 07 vs UIC 63-80 Lost Sat, Jan 11 @ Southern Illinois 78-88 Wed, Jan 15 vs Southern Illinois Sat, Jan 18 @ Illinois St. Tue, Jan 21 @ Northern Iowa Sat, Jan 25 vs Drake |
6 | 6 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 12% | 23% | 54% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 20% | ||
| (8)Evansville | 3 | 3 | 15% |
| (11)Southern Illinois | 1 | 5 | 14% |
| (12)Missouri St. | 0 | 6 | 13% |
| (7)Indiana St. | 3 | 3 | 12% |
| (10)Illinois St. | 2 | 4 | 11% |
| (9)UIC | 3 | 3 | 5% |
| (3)Northern Iowa | 4 | 2 | 5% |
| (2)Murray State | 4 | 2 | 4% |
| (5)Belmont | 4 | 2 | 1% |
| (1)Bradley | 5 | 1 | 1% |
| (4)Drake | 4 | 2 | 1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Drake (14‑2) |
60‑66 | Home | Thu Dec 5, 8:00 pm |
| 8 | Bradley (14‑3) |
75‑81 (OT) | Away | Sun Dec 29, 4:00 pm |
| 9 | Missouri St. (7‑10) |
73‑72 | Away | Wed Jan 1, 8:00 pm |
| 9 | Northern Iowa (10‑7) |
80‑73 | Home | Sat Jan 4, 4:00 pm |
| 10 | Indiana St. (9‑8) |
98‑95 (OT) | Home | Wed Jan 8, 8:00 pm |
| 10 | Murray State (9‑6) |
47‑58 | Away | Sat Jan 11, 4:00 pm |
| 11 | Belmont (12‑5) |
Away | Tue Jan 14, 7:30 pm | |
| 11 | UIC (11‑6) |
Home | Sat Jan 18, TBD | |
| 12 | Drake (14‑2) |
Away | Wed Jan 22, TBD | |
| 12 | Evansville (6‑11) |
Home | Sat Jan 25, TBD | |
| 13 | Southern Illinois (6‑11) |
Home | Tue Jan 28, TBD | |
| 13 | Illinois St. (10‑7) |
Away | Sat Feb 1, TBD | |
| 14 | Indiana St. (9‑8) |
Away | Wed Feb 5, 7:00 pm | |
| 14 | Murray State (9‑6) |
Home | Sat Feb 8, TBD | |
| 15 | Belmont (12‑5) |
Home | Wed Feb 12, TBD | |
| 15 | Evansville (6‑11) |
Away | Sun Feb 16, TBD | |
| 16 | Missouri St. (7‑10) |
Home | Wed Feb 19, TBD | |
| 16 | Southern Illinois (6‑11) |
Away | Sat Feb 22, TBD | |
| 17 | Bradley (14‑3) |
Home | Wed Feb 26, TBD | |
| 17 | UIC (11‑6) |
Away | Sun Mar 2, 3:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liberty (14‑3) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 63‑83 | Away | Mon Nov 4, 5:00 pm |
| 1 | Concordia (MI) | ‑‑ | 111‑46 | Home | Fri Nov 8, 8:00 pm |
| 2 | Cleveland St. (12‑6) |
HorizonHorizon | 67‑75 | Home | Tue Nov 12, 8:00 pm |
| 3 | Lindenwood (8‑9) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 77‑64 | Home | Thu Nov 21, 8:00 pm |
| 3 | Eastern Illinois (5‑11) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 81‑53 | Home | Sun Nov 24, 2:00 pm |
| 4 | Northern Illinois (4‑11) |
MACMAC | 87‑82 | Home | Wed Nov 27, 4:00 pm |
| 4 | DePaul (9‑8) |
Big EastBig East | 70‑89 | Away | Fri Nov 29, 1:30 pm |
| 6 | Central Michigan (6‑9) |
MACMAC | 93‑77 | Home | Sat Dec 14, 4:00 pm |
| 7 | Ohio St. (10‑6) |
Big 10Big 10 | 73‑95 | Away | Tue Dec 17, 8:00 pm |
| 7 | Western Michigan (3‑12) |
MACMAC | 76‑73 | Away | Fri Dec 20, 1:00 pm |
| 7 | Calumet Col. | ‑‑ | 107‑57 | Home | Sun Dec 22, 2:00 pm |