Where are the Valparaiso Crusaders going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Valparaiso standings table presents the probabilities of the Crusaders winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| Drake | 14i Drake Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 08 vs Indiana St. 85-81 Won Wed, Feb 12 @ Illinois St. 84-77 Lost Sun, Feb 16 vs Bradley 59-61 Won Wed, Feb 19 vs UIC 74-57 Sun, Feb 23 @ Northern Iowa Wed, Feb 26 @ Evansville Sun, Mar 02 vs Missouri St. |
3 | 17 | 84% | 15% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Northern Iowa | 13 Northern Iowa Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 08 vs Illinois St. 68-65 Won Tue, Feb 11 vs Indiana St. 88-73 Won Mon, Feb 17 @ Murray State 74-67 Won Wed, Feb 19 @ Belmont 82-75 Sun, Feb 23 vs Drake Wed, Feb 26 vs UIC Sun, Mar 02 @ Bradley |
4 | 17 | 16% | 43% | 41% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Bradley | 12 Bradley Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 08 @ Evansville 80-74 Won Wed, Feb 12 vs Southern Illinois 78-64 Won Sun, Feb 16 @ Drake 61-59 Lost Wed, Feb 19 @ Illinois St. 71-82 Sat, Feb 22 vs Murray State Wed, Feb 26 @ Valparaiso Sun, Mar 02 vs Northern Iowa |
5 | 17 | <1% | 41% | 58% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Belmont | 10 Belmont Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 08 vs Missouri St. 85-68 Lost Wed, Feb 12 @ Valparaiso 86-101 Won Sat, Feb 15 @ Southern Illinois 73-68 Lost Wed, Feb 19 vs Northern Iowa 75-82 Sat, Feb 22 vs Indiana St. Wed, Feb 26 @ Missouri St. Sun, Mar 02 vs Murray State |
7 | 17 | X | X | 1% | 93% | 5% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| UIC | 8 UIC Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Southern Illinois 67-79 Lost Tue, Feb 11 @ Murray State 53-63 Won Sun, Feb 16 vs Missouri St. 63-58 Lost Wed, Feb 19 @ Drake 57-74 Sat, Feb 22 vs Evansville Wed, Feb 26 @ Northern Iowa Sun, Mar 02 vs Valparaiso |
9 | 17 | X | X | X | <1% | 30% | 24% | 18% | 11% | 10% | 5% | <1% | ^ |
| Evansville | 8 Evansville Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs Bradley 74-80 Lost Wed, Feb 12 @ Missouri St. 54-71 Won Sun, Feb 16 vs Valparaiso 79-69 Won Wed, Feb 19 @ Indiana St. 79-74 Sat, Feb 22 @ UIC Wed, Feb 26 vs Drake Sun, Mar 02 @ Illinois St. |
9 | 17 | X | X | X | <1% | 7% | 9% | 12% | 24% | 35% | 12% | ^ | ^ |
| Illinois St. | 8 Illinois St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Northern Iowa 65-68 Lost Wed, Feb 12 vs Drake 77-84 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ Indiana St. 76-85 Won Wed, Feb 19 vs Bradley 82-71 Sat, Feb 22 @ Missouri St. Tue, Feb 25 @ Southern Illinois Sun, Mar 02 vs Evansville |
9 | 17 | X | X | X | 3% | 41% | 30% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Murray State | 8 Murray State Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 08 @ Valparaiso 74-56 Won Tue, Feb 11 vs UIC 63-53 Lost Mon, Feb 17 vs Northern Iowa 67-74 Won Wed, Feb 19 @ Southern Illinois 62-60 Sat, Feb 22 @ Bradley Tue, Feb 25 vs Indiana St. Sun, Mar 02 @ Belmont |
9 | 17 | X | X | X | 2% | 8% | 20% | 32% | 19% | 12% | 8% | ^ | ^ |
| Southern Illinois | 7 Southern Illinois Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 08 vs UIC 79-67 Lost Wed, Feb 12 @ Bradley 64-78 Lost Sat, Feb 15 vs Belmont 68-73 Lost Wed, Feb 19 vs Murray State 60-62 Sat, Feb 22 vs Valparaiso Tue, Feb 25 vs Illinois St. Sun, Mar 02 @ Indiana St. |
10 | 17 | X | X | X | X | 6% | 6% | 13% | 19% | 18% | 31% | 7% | ^ |
| Indiana St. | 7 Indiana St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Drake 81-85 Lost Tue, Feb 11 @ Northern Iowa 73-88 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs Illinois St. 85-76 Lost Wed, Feb 19 vs Evansville 74-79 Sat, Feb 22 @ Belmont Tue, Feb 25 @ Murray State Sun, Mar 02 vs Southern Illinois |
10 | 17 | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 10% | 14% | 19% | 18% | 31% | 5% | ^ |
| Valparaiso | 5 Valparaiso Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs Murray State 56-74 Won Wed, Feb 12 vs Belmont 101-86 Lost Sun, Feb 16 @ Evansville 69-79 Won Wed, Feb 19 vs Missouri St. 66-64 Sat, Feb 22 @ Southern Illinois Wed, Feb 26 vs Bradley Sun, Mar 02 @ UIC |
12 | 17 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 12% | 87% | ^ |
| Missouri St. | 2 Missouri St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Belmont 68-85 Won Wed, Feb 12 vs Evansville 71-54 Lost Sun, Feb 16 @ UIC 58-63 Lost Wed, Feb 19 @ Valparaiso 64-66 Sat, Feb 22 vs Illinois St. Wed, Feb 26 vs Belmont Sun, Mar 02 @ Drake |
15 | 17 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | X | ||
| (7)Illinois St. | 8 | 9 | 29% |
| (5)UIC | 8 | 9 | 25% |
| (8)Murray State | 8 | 9 | 20% |
| (6)Evansville | 8 | 9 | 10% |
| (10)Indiana St. | 7 | 10 | 10% |
| (9)Southern Illinois | 7 | 10 | 7% |
| (4)Belmont | 10 | 7 | 1% |
| (1)Drake | 14 | 3 | X |
| (2)Northern Iowa | 13 | 4 | X |
| (3)Bradley | 12 | 5 | X |
| (12)Missouri St. | 2 | 15 | X |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Drake (24‑3) |
60‑66 | Home | Thu Dec 5, 8:00 pm |
| 8 | Bradley (21‑7) |
75‑81 (OT) | Away | Sun Dec 29, 4:00 pm |
| 9 | Missouri St. (9‑19) |
73‑72 | Away | Wed Jan 1, 8:00 pm |
| 9 | Northern Iowa (19‑9) |
80‑73 | Home | Sat Jan 4, 4:00 pm |
| 10 | Indiana St. (13‑15) |
98‑95 (OT) | Home | Wed Jan 8, 8:00 pm |
| 10 | Murray State (14‑14) |
47‑58 | Away | Sat Jan 11, 4:00 pm |
| 11 | Belmont (18‑10) |
64‑71 | Away | Tue Jan 14, 7:30 pm |
| 11 | UIC (16‑12) |
74‑81 | Home | Sat Jan 18, 4:00 pm |
| 12 | Drake (24‑3) |
71‑81 | Away | Wed Jan 22, 7:30 pm |
| 12 | Evansville (11‑17) |
68‑78 | Home | Sat Jan 25, 4:00 pm |
| 13 | Southern Illinois (12‑16) |
75‑79 | Home | Tue Jan 28, 8:00 pm |
| 13 | Illinois St. (16‑12) |
78‑86 | Away | Sat Feb 1, 5:00 pm |
| 14 | Indiana St. (13‑15) |
62‑80 | Away | Wed Feb 5, 7:00 pm |
| 14 | Murray State (14‑14) |
56‑74 | Home | Sat Feb 8, 4:00 pm |
| 15 | Belmont (18‑10) |
101‑86 | Home | Wed Feb 12, 8:00 pm |
| 15 | Evansville (11‑17) |
69‑79 | Away | Sun Feb 16, 8:00 pm |
| 16 | Missouri St. (9‑19) |
66‑64 | Home | Wed Feb 19, 8:00 pm |
| 16 | Southern Illinois (12‑16) |
Away | Sat Feb 22, 7:00 pm | |
| 17 | Bradley (21‑7) |
Home | Wed Feb 26, 9:00 pm | |
| 17 | UIC (16‑12) |
Away | Sun Mar 2, 3:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liberty (21‑5) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 63‑83 | Away | Mon Nov 4, 5:00 pm |
| 1 | Concordia (MI) | ‑‑ | 111‑46 | Home | Fri Nov 8, 8:00 pm |
| 2 | Cleveland St. (18‑9) |
HorizonHorizon | 67‑75 | Home | Tue Nov 12, 8:00 pm |
| 3 | Lindenwood (13‑14) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 77‑64 | Home | Thu Nov 21, 8:00 pm |
| 3 | Eastern Illinois (8‑19) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 81‑53 | Home | Sun Nov 24, 2:00 pm |
| 4 | Northern Illinois (5‑21) |
MACMAC | 87‑82 | Home | Wed Nov 27, 4:00 pm |
| 4 | DePaul (11‑15) |
Big EastBig East | 70‑89 | Away | Fri Nov 29, 1:30 pm |
| 6 | Central Michigan (11‑15) |
MACMAC | 93‑77 | Home | Sat Dec 14, 4:00 pm |
| 7 | Ohio St. (15‑11) |
Big 10Big 10 | 73‑95 | Away | Tue Dec 17, 8:00 pm |
| 7 | Western Michigan (9‑17) |
MACMAC | 76‑73 | Away | Fri Dec 20, 1:00 pm |
| 7 | Calumet Col. | ‑‑ | 107‑57 | Home | Sun Dec 22, 2:00 pm |