Where are the Valparaiso Crusaders going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Valparaiso standings table presents the probabilities of the Crusaders winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
| Murray State | 8i Murray State Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 07 @ Evansville 79-69 Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Valparaiso 92-79 Won Sat, Jan 17 vs Indiana St. 85-81 Lost Wed, Jan 21 @ Drake 90-101 Sat, Jan 24 @ Northern Iowa Wed, Jan 28 vs Illinois St. Sat, Jan 31 @ Belmont Tue, Feb 03 vs UIC |
1 | 9 | 48% | 30% | 13% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Belmont | 7 Belmont Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 07 @ Northern Iowa 78-65 Won Sat, Jan 10 @ Drake 78-76 Won Tue, Jan 13 vs Valparaiso 78-74 Won Sat, Jan 17 @ Southern Illinois 73-68 Sun, Jan 25 vs Illinois St. Wed, Jan 28 @ Valparaiso Sat, Jan 31 vs Murray State Tue, Feb 03 vs Drake |
2 | 9 | 39% | 34% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Bradley | 7 Bradley Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 10 vs Northern Iowa 75-69 Won Tue, Jan 13 @ Evansville 94-90 Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ Illinois St. 62-88 Won Wed, Jan 21 vs Indiana St. 75-68 Sat, Jan 24 vs UIC Sat, Jan 31 @ Drake Tue, Feb 03 vs Valparaiso Fri, Feb 06 @ Northern Iowa |
3 | 10 | 5% | 16% | 28% | 22% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Illinois St. | 6 Illinois St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 10 vs UIC 59-63 Lost Wed, Jan 14 @ Indiana St. 89-94 Won Sat, Jan 17 vs Bradley 88-62 Won Wed, Jan 21 vs Northern Iowa 59-54 Sun, Jan 25 @ Belmont Wed, Jan 28 @ Murray State Tue, Feb 03 vs Southern Illinois Fri, Feb 06 vs Drake |
3 | 9 | 7% | 15% | 22% | 22% | 14% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| UIC | 5 UIC Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 10 @ Illinois St. 63-59 Won Tue, Jan 13 @ Northern Iowa 69-61 Won Sat, Jan 17 vs Drake 74-67 Won Tue, Jan 20 vs Evansville 76-49 Sat, Jan 24 @ Bradley Tue, Jan 27 vs Indiana St. Sat, Jan 31 @ Southern Illinois Tue, Feb 03 @ Murray State |
4 | 9 | <1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 6% | 1% |
| Valparaiso | 4 Valparaiso Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Murray State 79-92 Lost Tue, Jan 13 @ Belmont 74-78 Won Sat, Jan 17 vs Northern Iowa 54-44 Won Wed, Jan 21 vs Southern Illinois 69-63 Wed, Jan 28 vs Belmont Sat, Jan 31 @ Indiana St. Tue, Feb 03 @ Bradley Fri, Feb 06 vs Evansville |
5 | 9 | <1% | 1% | 5% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 2% |
| Northern Iowa | 4 Northern Iowa Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 10 @ Bradley 69-75 Lost Tue, Jan 13 vs UIC 61-69 Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ Valparaiso 44-54 Lost Wed, Jan 21 @ Illinois St. 54-59 Sat, Jan 24 vs Murray State Wed, Jan 28 @ Southern Illinois Sat, Jan 31 vs Evansville Fri, Feb 06 vs Bradley |
5 | 9 | <1% | 2% | 7% | 13% | 19% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 4% | <1% |
| Drake | 4 Drake Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 10 vs Belmont 76-78 Won Wed, Jan 14 @ Southern Illinois 76-73 Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ UIC 67-74 Won Wed, Jan 21 vs Murray State 101-90 Sat, Jan 24 @ Indiana St. Wed, Jan 28 vs Evansville Sat, Jan 31 vs Bradley Tue, Feb 03 @ Belmont |
5 | 9 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 13% | 16% | 18% | 19% | 15% | 8% | 1% |
| Indiana St. | 2 Indiana St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 10 vs Evansville 69-72 Won Wed, Jan 14 vs Illinois St. 94-89 Lost Sat, Jan 17 @ Murray State 81-85 Lost Wed, Jan 21 @ Bradley 68-75 Sat, Jan 24 vs Drake Tue, Jan 27 @ UIC Sat, Jan 31 vs Valparaiso Tue, Feb 03 @ Evansville |
7 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 21% | 28% | 14% |
| Southern Illinois | 2 Southern Illinois Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 07 @ UIC 57-70 Lost Wed, Jan 14 vs Drake 73-76 Lost Sat, Jan 17 vs Belmont 68-73 Lost Wed, Jan 21 @ Valparaiso 63-69 Sun, Jan 25 @ Evansville Wed, Jan 28 vs Northern Iowa Sat, Jan 31 vs UIC Tue, Feb 03 @ Illinois St. |
7 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 16% | 23% | 27% | 13% |
| Evansville | 1 Evansville Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 07 vs Murray State 69-79 Won Sat, Jan 10 @ Indiana St. 72-69 Lost Tue, Jan 13 vs Bradley 90-94 Lost Tue, Jan 20 @ UIC 49-76 Sun, Jan 25 vs Southern Illinois Wed, Jan 28 @ Drake Sat, Jan 31 @ Northern Iowa Tue, Feb 03 vs Indiana St. |
8 | 9 | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 7% | 20% | 69% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | 31% | ||
| (11)Evansville | 1 | 8 | 17% |
| (9)Indiana St. | 2 | 7 | 16% |
| (10)Southern Illinois | 2 | 7 | 15% |
| (8)Drake | 4 | 5 | 8% |
| (5)UIC | 5 | 4 | 6% |
| (7)Northern Iowa | 4 | 5 | 5% |
| (4)Illinois St. | 6 | 3 | 1% |
| (3)Bradley | 7 | 3 | <1% |
| (1)Murray State | 8 | 1 | <1% |
| (2)Belmont | 7 | 2 | <1% |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Murray State (16‑4) |
79‑85 | Home | Sun Dec 21, 2:00 pm |
| 9 | Northern Iowa (12‑8) |
48‑58 | Away | Mon Dec 29, 8:00 pm |
| 9 | Southern Illinois (8‑12) |
70‑75 | Away | Thu Jan 1, 8:00 pm |
| 9 | UIC (10‑10) |
66‑59 | Home | Sun Jan 4, 2:00 pm |
| 10 | Illinois St. (14‑6) |
77‑71 | Home | Wed Jan 7, 8:00 pm |
| 10 | Murray State (16‑4) |
79‑92 | Away | Sat Jan 10, 3:00 pm |
| 11 | Belmont (17‑3) |
74‑78 | Away | Tue Jan 13, 7:30 pm |
| 11 | Northern Iowa (12‑8) |
54‑44 | Home | Sat Jan 17, 3:00 pm |
| 12 | Southern Illinois (8‑12) |
69‑63 | Home | Wed Jan 21, 8:00 pm |
| 13 | Belmont (17‑3) |
Home | Wed Jan 28, 8:00 pm | |
| 13 | Indiana St. (9‑11) |
Away | Sat Jan 31, 1:00 pm | |
| 14 | Bradley (14‑7) |
Away | Tue Feb 3, 8:00 pm | |
| 14 | Evansville (5‑15) |
Home | Fri Feb 6, 8:00 pm | |
| 15 | Drake (10‑10) |
Away | Mon Feb 9, 7:30 pm | |
| 15 | Illinois St. (14‑6) |
Away | Thu Feb 12, 7:00 pm | |
| 15 | Indiana St. (9‑11) |
Home | Sun Feb 15, 2:00 pm | |
| 16 | Bradley (14‑7) |
Home | Wed Feb 18, 8:00 pm | |
| 16 | UIC (10‑10) |
Away | Sat Feb 21, 3:00 pm | |
| 17 | Drake (10‑10) |
Home | Wed Feb 25, 8:00 pm | |
| 17 | Evansville (5‑15) |
Away | Sat Feb 28, 8:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eastern Illinois (8‑11) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 66‑63 | Home | Tue Nov 4 |
| 1 | Kentucky (13‑6) |
SECSEC | 59‑107 | Away | Fri Nov 7 |
| 2 | Nicholls St. (8‑11) |
SouthlandSouth-land | 68‑63 | Home | Wed Nov 12 |
| 2 | Bryant (6‑13) |
America EastAmerica East | 68‑50 | Home | Sun Nov 16, 1:00 pm |
| 3 | Cleveland St. (7‑14) |
HorizonHorizon | 90‑75 | Away | Wed Nov 19, 7:00 pm |
| 4 | Southern Indiana (4‑14) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 56‑64 | Home | Wed Nov 26, 3:00 pm |
| 4 | Western Michigan (7‑12) |
MACMAC | 84‑55 | Home | Sat Nov 29, 3:00 pm |
| 5 | Marquette (7‑13) |
Big EastBig East | 72‑75 (OT) | Away | Tue Dec 2, 8:00 pm |
| 5 | Calumet | ‑‑ | 98‑58 | Home | Sat Dec 6, 3:00 pm |
| 6 | UNC Wilmington (17‑2) |
CoastalCoastal | 70‑73 | Home | Sat Dec 13, 3:00 pm |
| 7 | NorthwesternN. Western (8‑10) |
Big 10Big 10 | 70‑86 | Away | Tue Dec 16, 8:00 pm |