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Fri May 22 1:15 am

MLB - Week 9 of 27

Diamondbacks What If?

The Diamondbacks What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Diamondbacks play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Diamondbacks What If?

Next Game - Rockies (19‑32)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 27 23 2% 5% 8% 8% 9% 9% 59%
Current Standings 26 23 2% 5% 9% 7% 8% 9% 60%
Lose Next Game 26 24 1% 4% 8% 7% 8% 9% 62%


Current Series - Rockies (19‑32) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Diamondbacks Sweeps 29 23 2% 5% 9% 9% 9% 9% 57%
Current Standings 26 23 2% 5% 9% 7% 8% 9% 60%
Rockies Sweeps 26 26 1% 3% 7% 6% 8% 8% 67%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
113 of 113 100% 139 23 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
110 of 113 97% 136 26 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
100 of 113 88% 126 36 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
90 of 113 80% 116 46 97% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
88 of 113 78% 114 48 94% 6% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
87 of 113 77% 113 49 91% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
86 of 113 76% 112 50 89% 10% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
85 of 113 75% 111 51 85% 14% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
84 of 113 74% 110 52 80% 18% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
83 of 113 73% 109 53 76% 22% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
82 of 113 73% 108 54 71% 25% 1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
81 of 113 72% 107 55 66% 29% 2% 4% <1% <1% <1%
80 of 113 71% 106 56 58% 33% 4% 5% <1% <1% <1%
79 of 113 70% 105 57 52% 36% 5% 7% <1% <1% <1%
78 of 113 69% 104 58 44% 39% 7% 9% <1% <1% <1%
77 of 113 68% 103 59 37% 41% 9% 13% <1% <1% <1%
76 of 113 67% 102 60 30% 42% 12% 16% 1% <1% <1%
75 of 113 66% 101 61 23% 41% 15% 20% 1% <1% <1%
74 of 113 65% 100 62 17% 39% 17% 25% 2% <1% <1%
73 of 113 65% 99 63 12% 35% 21% 27% 4% <1% <1%
72 of 113 64% 98 64 8% 31% 23% 31% 7% <1% <1%
71 of 113 63% 97 65 5% 27% 25% 32% 10% 1% <1%
70 of 113 62% 96 66 3% 22% 27% 33% 14% 2% <1%
69 of 113 61% 95 67 2% 16% 27% 32% 19% 4% <1%
68 of 113 60% 94 68 1% 12% 27% 30% 23% 7% 1%
67 of 113 59% 93 69 1% 9% 26% 26% 27% 10% 2%
66 of 113 58% 92 70 <1% 5% 24% 21% 30% 16% 4%
65 of 113 58% 91 71 <1% 3% 20% 17% 31% 22% 7%
64 of 113 57% 90 72 <1% 2% 18% 12% 30% 27% 12%
63 of 113 56% 89 73 <1% 1% 15% 7% 26% 30% 20%
62 of 113 55% 88 74 <1% <1% 12% 5% 19% 32% 31%
61 of 113 54% 87 75 <1% <1% 9% 2% 15% 30% 44%
60 of 113 53% 86 76 <1% <1% 7% 1% 9% 25% 58%
59 of 113 52% 85 77 <1% <1% 5% 1% 6% 20% 69%
58 of 113 51% 84 78 <1% <1% 3% <1% 3% 14% 80%
57 of 113 50% 83 79 <1% <1% 2% <1% 1% 8% 89%
56 of 113 50% 82 80 <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 4% 94%
50 of 113 44% 76 86 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 113 35% 66 96 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 113 27% 56 106 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 113 18% 46 116 X X <1% X X X >99%
10 of 113 9% 36 126 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 113 0% 26 136 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs