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Thu Apr 18 1:00 am

MLB - Week 5 of 28

Diamondbacks What If?

The Diamondbacks What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Diamondbacks play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Diamondbacks What If?

Next Game - Giants (8‑11)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 10 10 3% 7% 11% 4% 6% 6% 64%
Current Standings 9 10 2% 6% 11% 4% 6% 6% 64%
Lose Next Game 9 11 2% 6% 11% 4% 5% 6% 65%


Current Series - Giants (8‑11) - 4 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Diamondbacks Sweeps 13 10 3% 7% 13% 4% 6% 6% 61%
Current Standings 9 10 2% 6% 11% 4% 6% 6% 64%
Giants Sweeps 9 14 2% 5% 10% 4% 5% 6% 69%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
143 of 143 100% 152 10 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
140 of 143 98% 149 13 >99% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^
130 of 143 91% 139 23 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
120 of 143 84% 129 33 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
113 of 143 79% 122 40 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
112 of 143 78% 121 41 93% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
111 of 143 78% 120 42 91% 9% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
110 of 143 77% 119 43 88% 11% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
109 of 143 76% 118 44 86% 14% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
108 of 143 76% 117 45 82% 17% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
107 of 143 75% 116 46 78% 20% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
106 of 143 74% 115 47 73% 25% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
105 of 143 73% 114 48 68% 28% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1%
104 of 143 73% 113 49 63% 32% 3% 2% <1% <1% <1%
103 of 143 72% 112 50 57% 35% 5% 3% <1% <1% <1%
102 of 143 71% 111 51 50% 40% 7% 3% <1% <1% <1%
101 of 143 71% 110 52 44% 42% 9% 5% <1% <1% <1%
100 of 143 70% 109 53 38% 45% 11% 6% <1% <1% <1%
99 of 143 69% 108 54 32% 46% 13% 8% 1% <1% <1%
98 of 143 69% 107 55 26% 46% 18% 9% 1% <1% <1%
97 of 143 68% 106 56 21% 45% 20% 11% 2% <1% <1%
96 of 143 67% 105 57 16% 45% 24% 13% 2% <1% <1%
95 of 143 66% 104 58 14% 41% 26% 15% 3% <1% <1%
94 of 143 66% 103 59 10% 38% 30% 17% 5% 1% <1%
93 of 143 65% 102 60 7% 35% 32% 18% 8% 1% <1%
92 of 143 64% 101 61 6% 30% 34% 19% 10% 2% <1%
91 of 143 64% 100 62 3% 26% 36% 19% 13% 3% <1%
90 of 143 63% 99 63 2% 22% 37% 18% 15% 4% 1%
89 of 143 62% 98 64 1% 18% 38% 18% 17% 6% 1%
88 of 143 62% 97 65 1% 15% 38% 16% 20% 8% 2%
87 of 143 61% 96 66 1% 11% 37% 16% 21% 11% 3%
86 of 143 60% 95 67 <1% 9% 36% 14% 23% 14% 4%
85 of 143 59% 94 68 <1% 7% 34% 13% 23% 17% 7%
84 of 143 59% 93 69 <1% 6% 32% 9% 24% 19% 10%
83 of 143 58% 92 70 <1% 4% 30% 8% 22% 22% 14%
82 of 143 57% 91 71 <1% 3% 28% 6% 21% 24% 17%
81 of 143 57% 90 72 <1% 2% 25% 5% 19% 26% 24%
80 of 143 56% 89 73 <1% 1% 23% 3% 16% 26% 30%
79 of 143 55% 88 74 <1% 1% 21% 3% 13% 25% 38%
78 of 143 55% 87 75 <1% 1% 18% 2% 10% 24% 46%
77 of 143 54% 86 76 <1% <1% 16% 1% 8% 22% 53%
76 of 143 53% 85 77 <1% <1% 14% 1% 6% 19% 60%
75 of 143 52% 84 78 <1% <1% 12% <1% 4% 16% 67%
74 of 143 52% 83 79 <1% <1% 10% <1% 3% 13% 73%
73 of 143 51% 82 80 <1% <1% 9% <1% 2% 10% 79%
72 of 143 50% 81 81 <1% <1% 7% <1% 1% 8% 84%
71 of 143 50% 80 82 <1% <1% 6% <1% 1% 5% 89%
70 of 143 49% 79 83 <1% <1% 5% <1% <1% 4% 91%
69 of 143 48% 78 84 <1% <1% 4% <1% <1% 2% 94%
68 of 143 48% 77 85 <1% <1% 3% <1% <1% 1% 95%
60 of 143 42% 69 93 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
50 of 143 35% 59 103 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 143 28% 49 113 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 143 21% 39 123 X X <1% X X X >99%
20 of 143 14% 29 133 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 143 7% 19 143 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 143 0% 9 153 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs