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MLB Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The MLB Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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MLB Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Current Series World Series Winner World Series League Series Division Series
Team League W L
Yankees American 103 59   100% ^ ^ ^
Phillies National 93 69   X 100% ^ ^
Angels American 97 65   X X 100% ^
Dodgers National 95 67   X X 100% ^
Red Sox American 95 67   X X X 100%
Rockies National 92 70   X X X 100%
Cardinals National 91 71   X X X 100%
Twins American 86 76   X X X 100%
Giants National 88 74   X X X X
Rangers American 87 75   X X X X
Marlins National 87 75   X X X X
Tigers American 86 76   X X X X
Braves National 86 76   X X X X
Mariners American 85 77   X X X X
Devil Rays American 84 78   X X X X
Cubs National 84 78   X X X X
Brewers National 80 82   X X X X
White Sox American 79 83   X X X X
Reds National 78 84   X X X X
Blue Jays American 75 87   X X X X
Athletics American 75 87   X X X X
Padres National 75 87   X X X X
Astros National 74 88   X X X X
Mets National 70 92   X X X X
Diamond Backs National 70 92   X X X X
Indians American 65 97   X X X X
Royals American 65 97   X X X X
Orioles American 64 98   X X X X
Pirates National 62 100   X X X X
Nationals National 59 103   X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot

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