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MLB Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The MLB Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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MLB Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Current Series World Series Winner World Series League Series Division Series
Team League W L
Phillies National 92 70   100% ^ ^ ^
Devil Rays American 97 65   X 100% ^ ^
Red Sox American 95 67   X X 100% ^
Dodgers National 84 78   X X 100% ^
Angels American 100 62   X X X 100%
Cubs National 97 65   X X X 100%
Brewers National 90 72   X X X 100%
White Sox American 88 74   X X X 100%
Yankees American 89 73   X X X X
Mets National 89 73   X X X X
Twins American 88 74   100% ^ ^ ^
Astros National 87 75   X X X X
Blue Jays American 86 76   X X X X
Cardinals National 86 76   X X X X
Marlins National 85 77   X X X X
Diamond Backs National 82 80   X X X X
Indians American 81 81   X X X X
Rangers American 79 83   X X X X
Royals American 75 87   X X X X
Athletics American 75 87   X X X X
Tigers American 74 88   X X X X
Reds National 74 88   X X X X
Rockies National 74 88   X X X X
Braves National 72 90   X X X X
Giants National 72 90   X X X X
Orioles American 69 93   X X X X
Pirates National 67 95   X X X X
Padres National 63 99   X X X X
Mariners American 61 101   X X X X
Nationals National 59 103   X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot

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