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MLB Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The MLB Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.

MLB Post Season Probabilities
Record Rcrd Current Series World Series Winner World Series League Series Division Series Div Series Wildcard Series WC Series
Team League W L
Red Sox AmericanAmer 108 54 0‑0 70% 100% ^ ^ ^
Dodgers NationalNat 91 71 0‑0 30% 100% ^ ^ ^
Astros AmericanAmer 103 59   X X 100% ^ ^
Brewers NationalNat 95 67   X X 100% ^ ^
Yankees AmericanAmer 100 62   X X X 100% ^
Rockies NationalNat 91 71   X X X 100% ^
Braves NationalNat 90 72   X X X 100% ^
Indians AmericanAmer 91 71   X X X 100% ^
Athletics AmericanAmer 97 65   X X X X 100%
Cubs NationalNat 95 67   X X X X 100%
Rays AmericanAmer 90 72   X X X X X
Mariners AmericanAmer 89 73   X X X X X
Cardinals NationalNat 88 74   X X X X X
Pirates NationalNat 83 79   X X X X X
DiamondbacksD. Backs NationalNat 82 80   X X X X X
Nationals NationalNat 82 80   X X X X X
Angels AmericanAmer 80 82   X X X X X
Phillies NationalNat 80 82   X X X X X
Twins AmericanAmer 78 84   X X X X X
Mets NationalNat 77 85   X X X X X
Blue Jays AmericanAmer 73 89   X X X X X
Giants NationalNat 73 89   X X X X X
Rangers AmericanAmer 67 95   X X X X X
Reds NationalNat 67 95   X X X X X
Padres NationalNat 66 96   X X X X X
Tigers AmericanAmer 64 98   X X X X X
Marlins NationalNat 63 99   X X X X X
White Sox AmericanAmer 62 100   X X X X X
Royals AmericanAmer 58 104   X X X X X
Orioles AmericanAmer 47 115   X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot