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Tue Aug 11 1:45 am

MLB - Week 21 of 27

Guardians What If?

The Guardians What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Guardians play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Guardians What If?

Next Game - Tigers (58‑60)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 59 61 <1% 10% 8% <1% 4% 17% 61%
Current Standings 58 61 <1% 8% 7% <1% 4% 15% 67%
Lose Next Game 58 62 <1% 6% 6% <1% 3% 14% 71%


Current Series - Tigers (58‑60) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Guardians Sweeps 61 61 <1% 14% 10% <1% 5% 19% 51%
Current Standings 58 61 <1% 8% 7% <1% 4% 15% 67%
Tigers Sweeps 58 64 <1% 4% 4% <1% 2% 10% 80%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
43 of 43 100% 101 61 73% 27% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
42 of 43 98% 100 62 64% 36% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
41 of 43 95% 99 63 53% 47% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
40 of 43 93% 98 64 41% 59% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
39 of 43 91% 97 65 31% 69% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
38 of 43 88% 96 66 21% 79% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
37 of 43 86% 95 67 13% 87% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
36 of 43 84% 94 68 7% 92% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
35 of 43 81% 93 69 4% 95% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
34 of 43 79% 92 70 2% 95% 1% 1% 1% <1% <1%
33 of 43 77% 91 71 1% 92% 3% 2% 2% <1% <1%
32 of 43 74% 90 72 <1% 87% 5% 2% 5% 1% <1%
31 of 43 72% 89 73 <1% 78% 9% 3% 8% 3% <1%
30 of 43 70% 88 74 <1% 66% 14% 2% 13% 6% <1%
29 of 43 67% 87 75 <1% 51% 19% 2% 15% 13% <1%
28 of 43 65% 86 76 <1% 35% 22% 1% 17% 23% 2%
27 of 43 63% 85 77 <1% 20% 23% <1% 14% 35% 7%
26 of 43 60% 84 78 <1% 9% 20% <1% 11% 41% 18%
25 of 43 58% 83 79 <1% 4% 14% <1% 6% 40% 37%
24 of 43 56% 82 80 <1% 1% 8% <1% 2% 29% 60%
23 of 43 53% 81 81 <1% <1% 4% <1% 1% 15% 80%
22 of 43 51% 80 82 <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 6% 93%
20 of 43 47% 78 84 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
15 of 43 35% 73 89 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
10 of 43 23% 68 94 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
5 of 43 12% 63 99 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 43 0% 58 104 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs