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Fri Apr 19 1:15 am

MLB - Week 5 of 28

Marlins What If?

The Marlins What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Marlins play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Marlins What If?

Next Game - Cubs (11‑7)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 5 15 <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 92%
Current Standings 4 15 <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 92%
Lose Next Game 4 16 <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 93%


Current Series - Cubs (11‑7) - 4 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Marlins Sweeps 8 15 <1% 1% 2% 1% 3% 4% 90%
Current Standings 4 15 <1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 3% 92%
Cubs Sweeps 4 19 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 3% 94%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
143 of 143 100% 147 15 >99% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
140 of 143 98% 144 18 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
130 of 143 91% 134 28 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
120 of 143 84% 124 38 99% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
116 of 143 81% 120 42 95% 3% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
115 of 143 80% 119 43 94% 5% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
114 of 143 80% 118 44 92% 6% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
113 of 143 79% 117 45 89% 8% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
112 of 143 78% 116 46 86% 10% <1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
111 of 143 78% 115 47 81% 13% <1% 6% <1% <1% <1%
110 of 143 77% 114 48 77% 15% <1% 7% <1% <1% <1%
109 of 143 76% 113 49 71% 19% 1% 9% <1% <1% <1%
108 of 143 76% 112 50 66% 22% 1% 11% <1% <1% <1%
107 of 143 75% 111 51 60% 24% 2% 14% <1% <1% <1%
106 of 143 74% 110 52 52% 29% 2% 16% 1% <1% <1%
105 of 143 73% 109 53 46% 31% 4% 18% 1% <1% <1%
104 of 143 73% 108 54 39% 33% 5% 22% 2% <1% <1%
103 of 143 72% 107 55 33% 35% 6% 24% 3% <1% <1%
102 of 143 71% 106 56 27% 35% 7% 27% 4% <1% <1%
101 of 143 71% 105 57 21% 35% 9% 28% 5% <1% <1%
100 of 143 70% 104 58 16% 34% 11% 31% 7% <1% <1%
99 of 143 69% 103 59 13% 31% 12% 33% 10% 1% <1%
98 of 143 69% 102 60 9% 29% 14% 33% 13% 2% <1%
97 of 143 68% 101 61 6% 26% 16% 34% 16% 3% <1%
96 of 143 67% 100 62 4% 22% 17% 33% 20% 4% <1%
95 of 143 66% 99 63 3% 20% 17% 31% 23% 6% 1%
94 of 143 66% 98 64 2% 16% 17% 29% 26% 8% 1%
93 of 143 65% 97 65 1% 12% 17% 26% 30% 12% 2%
92 of 143 64% 96 66 1% 10% 17% 23% 31% 14% 3%
91 of 143 64% 95 67 <1% 8% 17% 20% 32% 18% 6%
90 of 143 63% 94 68 <1% 6% 15% 16% 31% 23% 9%
89 of 143 62% 93 69 <1% 4% 13% 13% 30% 27% 12%
88 of 143 62% 92 70 <1% 3% 13% 10% 28% 30% 16%
87 of 143 61% 91 71 <1% 2% 11% 8% 26% 31% 22%
86 of 143 60% 90 72 <1% 1% 10% 6% 23% 31% 29%
85 of 143 59% 89 73 <1% 1% 9% 4% 19% 31% 36%
84 of 143 59% 88 74 <1% 1% 8% 3% 16% 30% 44%
83 of 143 58% 87 75 <1% 1% 6% 2% 12% 27% 52%
82 of 143 57% 86 76 <1% <1% 5% 1% 9% 25% 59%
81 of 143 57% 85 77 <1% <1% 5% 1% 6% 20% 69%
80 of 143 56% 84 78 <1% <1% 4% <1% 5% 17% 74%
79 of 143 55% 83 79 <1% <1% 3% <1% 3% 14% 81%
78 of 143 55% 82 80 <1% <1% 2% <1% 2% 10% 86%
77 of 143 54% 81 81 <1% <1% 2% <1% 1% 7% 90%
76 of 143 53% 80 82 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 5% 93%
75 of 143 52% 79 83 <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 3% 95%
70 of 143 49% 74 88 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
60 of 143 42% 64 98 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
50 of 143 35% 54 108 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 143 28% 44 118 X X <1% X X <1% >99%
30 of 143 21% 34 128 X X <1% X X X >99%
20 of 143 14% 24 138 X X X X X X 100%
10 of 143 7% 14 148 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 143 0% 4 158 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs