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Thu May 29 3:30 am

MLB - Week 11 of 28

Marlins What If?

The Marlins What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Marlins play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Marlins What If?

Next Game - Giants (31‑25)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 23 32 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 96%
Current Standings 22 32 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Lose Next Game 22 33 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 97%


Current Series - Giants (31‑25) - 3 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Marlins Sweeps 25 32 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 3% 95%
Current Standings 22 32 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 97%
Giants Sweeps 22 35 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 98%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
108 of 108 100% 130 32 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
100 of 108 93% 122 40 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^
90 of 108 83% 112 50 95% 4% <1% 1% <1% ^ ^
89 of 108 82% 111 51 93% 6% <1% 1% <1% ^ ^
88 of 108 81% 110 52 89% 9% <1% 2% <1% ^ ^
87 of 108 81% 109 53 86% 11% <1% 2% <1% ^ ^
86 of 108 80% 108 54 82% 14% 1% 4% <1% ^ ^
85 of 108 79% 107 55 75% 18% 1% 6% <1% ^ ^
84 of 108 78% 106 56 68% 22% 2% 8% <1% ^ ^
83 of 108 77% 105 57 61% 25% 3% 11% <1% ^ ^
82 of 108 76% 104 58 53% 28% 4% 15% <1% ^ ^
81 of 108 75% 103 59 43% 31% 5% 20% 1% <1% ^
80 of 108 74% 102 60 35% 31% 7% 25% 2% <1% ^
79 of 108 73% 101 61 28% 32% 9% 28% 3% <1% ^
78 of 108 72% 100 62 20% 32% 12% 32% 4% <1% ^
77 of 108 71% 99 63 15% 29% 14% 35% 7% <1% ^
76 of 108 70% 98 64 9% 26% 15% 39% 10% 1% <1%
75 of 108 69% 97 65 6% 21% 17% 39% 15% 2% <1%
74 of 108 69% 96 66 4% 17% 17% 39% 20% 3% <1%
73 of 108 68% 95 67 2% 12% 17% 37% 25% 5% 1%
72 of 108 67% 94 68 1% 9% 17% 32% 31% 9% 1%
71 of 108 66% 93 69 <1% 6% 16% 27% 35% 14% 2%
70 of 108 65% 92 70 <1% 3% 13% 22% 36% 20% 6%
69 of 108 64% 91 71 <1% 2% 11% 15% 36% 26% 9%
68 of 108 63% 90 72 <1% 1% 8% 10% 32% 33% 16%
67 of 108 62% 89 73 <1% 1% 7% 6% 26% 35% 27%
66 of 108 61% 88 74 <1% <1% 4% 4% 19% 34% 39%
65 of 108 60% 87 75 <1% <1% 3% 2% 12% 31% 53%
64 of 108 59% 86 76 <1% <1% 2% 1% 6% 24% 67%
63 of 108 58% 85 77 <1% <1% 1% <1% 3% 16% 79%
62 of 108 57% 84 78 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 10% 88%
61 of 108 56% 83 79 <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 5% 95%
60 of 108 56% 82 80 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% 97%
50 of 108 46% 72 90 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
40 of 108 37% 62 100 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 108 28% 52 110 X X <1% X <1% <1% >99%
20 of 108 19% 42 120 X X X X <1% <1% >99%
10 of 108 9% 32 130 X X X X <1% <1% >99%
0 of 108 0% 22 140 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs