The Most Important Games for the Mets are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mets final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mets fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mets Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mets (18‑8) vs Nationals (12‑14) 3 Games Remaining |
19 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | 24% | 18% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | 18% | 16% | 14% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 33% | ||
| Mariners (14‑12) vs Marlins (12‑13) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Mariners Sweeps 2 Games | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 2 Games | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% | ||
| Dodgers (16‑10) vs Pirates (11‑16) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% | ||
| Rays (12‑14) vs Padres (17‑9) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Rays Sweeps 2 Games | 22% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 2 Games | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 30% | ||
| Rockies (4‑21) vs Reds (13‑13) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Rockies Sweeps 2 Games | 21% | 18% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 2 Games | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (14‑12) vs Braves (11‑14) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 2 Games | 22% | 16% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% | ||
| Cardinals (11‑15) vs Brewers (13‑14) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | 22% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% | ||
| Giants (17‑10) vs Rangers (15‑11) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Giants Sweeps 2 Games | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% | ||
| Rangers Sweeps 2 Games | 22% | 17% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 30% | ||
| Cubs (17‑10) vs Phillies (13‑13) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Cubs Sweeps 2 Games | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | 22% | 17% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 29% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mets Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mets (18‑8) vs Nationals (12‑14) |
7 | Mets Wins | 22% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 28% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 20% | 16% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 31% | ||
| Cubs (17‑10) vs Phillies (13‑13) |
2 | Cubs Wins | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 21% | 17% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 30% | ||
| Rockies (4‑21) vs Reds (13‑13) |
2 | Rockies Wins | 21% | 17% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% | ||
| Reds Wins | 20% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% | ||
| Brewers (13‑14) vs Cardinals (11‑15) |
1 | Brewers Wins | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% | ||
| Rays (12‑14) vs Padres (17‑9) |
1 | Rays Wins | 22% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% | ||
| Padres Wins | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% | ||
| Pirates (11‑16) vs Dodgers (16‑10) |
0 | Pirates Wins | 22% | 17% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 30% | ||
| Rangers (15‑11) vs Giants (17‑10) |
0 | Rangers Wins | 22% | 17% | 14% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% | ||
| Giants Wins | 22% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% | ||
| Mariners (14‑12) vs Marlins (12‑13) |
0 | Mariners Wins | 22% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% | ||
| Marlins Wins | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 30% | ||
| Braves (11‑14) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (14‑12) |
0 | Braves Wins | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 7% | 29% |
| Current Probabilities | 21% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 22% | 17% | 15% | 5% | 6% | 6% | 30% | ||