The Most Important Games for the Mets are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mets final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mets fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mets Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mets (22‑28) vs Marlins (22‑29) 3 Games Remaining |
6 | Mets Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 91% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 95% | ||
| Guardians (30‑22) vs Phillies (25‑25) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Guardians Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Astros (20‑31) vs Cubs (29‑21) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Astros Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Blue Jays (23‑27) vs Pirates (26‑24) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Blue Jays Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Pirates Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Cardinals (28‑21) vs Reds (26‑24) 3 Games Remaining |
1 | Cardinals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Reds Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Nationals (25‑26) vs Braves (35‑16) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Nationals Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Rockies (19‑32) vs DiamondbacksD. Backs (26‑23) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Athletics (26‑24) vs Padres (29‑20) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Athletics Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Dodgers (31‑19) vs Brewers (29‑18) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Dodgers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| White Sox (25‑24) vs Giants (20‑30) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | White Sox Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 3 Games | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mets Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mets (22‑28) vs Marlins (22‑29) |
2 | Mets Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 92% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Marlins Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 94% | ||
| Brewers (29‑18) vs Dodgers (31‑19) |
0 | Brewers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Athletics (26‑24) vs Padres (29‑20) |
0 | Athletics Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Padres Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Reds (26‑24) vs Cardinals (28‑21) |
0 | Reds Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (26‑23) vs Rockies (19‑32) |
0 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Rockies Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Guardians (30‑22) vs Phillies (25‑25) |
0 | Guardians Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Phillies Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| White Sox (25‑24) vs Giants (20‑30) |
0 | White Sox Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Giants Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Pirates (26‑24) vs Blue Jays (23‑27) |
0 | Pirates Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Blue Jays Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Astros (20‑31) vs Cubs (29‑21) |
0 | Astros Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Cubs Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Braves (35‑16) vs Nationals (25‑26) |
0 | Braves Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||
| Nationals Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 93% | ||