The Most Important Games for the Mets are those games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Mets final playoff standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mets fans can use this table to identify the most interesting games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Remaining Games Winner |
Mets Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mets (11‑8) vs Dodgers (12‑10) 2 Games Remaining |
8 | Mets Sweeps 2 Games | 12% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% | ||
| Dodgers Sweeps 2 Games | 10% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 48% | ||
| Astros (7‑14) vs Nationals (8‑11) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Astros Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 8% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% | ||
| Nationals Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 47% | ||
| Pirates (11‑9) vs Red Sox (11‑10) 2 Games Remaining |
3 | Pirates Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% | ||
| Red Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 47% | ||
| Rangers (11‑10) vs Braves (13‑5) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Rangers Sweeps 2 Games | 12% | 10% | 6% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% | ||
| Braves Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% | ||
| Reds (10‑9) vs Angels (9‑11) 2 Games Remaining |
2 | Reds Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% | ||
| Angels Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 47% | ||
| White Sox (3‑16) vs Phillies (12‑8) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | White Sox Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% | ||
| Phillies Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 46% | ||
| Blue Jays (11‑9) vs Padres (11‑11) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | Blue Jays Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% | ||
| Padres Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (10‑11) vs Giants (9‑12) 2 Games Remaining |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% | ||
| Giants Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 47% | ||
| Cardinals (9‑11) vs Brewers (12‑6) 2 Games Remaining |
0 | Cardinals Sweeps 2 Games | 12% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% | ||
| Brewers Sweeps 2 Games | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% | ||
| Mariners (9‑10) vs Rockies (4‑15) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Mariners Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% | ||
| Rockies Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% | ||
| Marlins (4‑16) vs Cubs (12‑7) 3 Games Remaining |
0 | Marlins Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% | ||
| Cubs Sweeps 3 Games | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 46% | ||
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mets Resultant Playoff Probabilities | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Divisional Winners | Wildcard | No Playoffs No POs | |||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3** First Round Home Field Advantage |
4** First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | |||
| Mets (11‑8) vs Dodgers (12‑10) |
6 | Mets Wins | 12% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% | ||
| Dodgers Wins | 10% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 47% | ||
| Rangers (11‑10) vs Braves (13‑5) |
2 | Rangers Wins | 12% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% | ||
| Braves Wins | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% | ||
| Blue Jays (11‑9) vs Padres (11‑11) |
2 | Blue Jays Wins | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% | ||
| Padres Wins | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% | ||
| White Sox (3‑16) vs Phillies (12‑8) |
1 | White Sox Wins | 12% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% | ||
| Phillies Wins | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% | ||
| Astros (7‑14) vs Nationals (8‑11) |
1 | Astros Wins | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% | ||
| Nationals Wins | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 47% | ||
| DiamondbacksD. Backs (10‑11) vs Giants (9‑12) |
1 | DiamondbacksD. Backs Wins | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% | ||
| Giants Wins | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 47% | ||
| Rockies (4‑15) vs Mariners (9‑10) |
1 | Rockies Wins | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% | ||
| Mariners Wins | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% | ||
| Brewers (12‑6) vs Cardinals (9‑11) |
1 | Brewers Wins | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% | ||
| Cardinals Wins | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 47% | ||
| Reds (10‑9) vs Angels (9‑11) |
0 | Reds Wins | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 7% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% | ||
| Angels Wins | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 46% | ||
| Red Sox (11‑10) vs Pirates (11‑9) |
0 | Red Sox Wins | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% | ||
| Pirates Wins | 11% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 46% | ||
| Marlins (4‑16) vs Cubs (12‑7) |
0 | Marlins Wins | 12% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 8% | 8% | 46% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | 9% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 8% | 46% | ||
| Cubs Wins | 12% | 10% | 6% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 46% | ||