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Tue May 27 3:30 am

MLB - Week 11 of 28

Tigers What If?

The Tigers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Tigers play future games. These games include either the next game, games of the current series, or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Tigers What If?

Next Game - Giants (31‑23)

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Win Next Game 36 20 39% 16% 7% 15% 9% 6% 8%
Current Standings 35 20 37% 16% 7% 15% 9% 6% 9%
Lose Next Game 35 21 35% 17% 7% 15% 9% 6% 11%


Current Series - Giants (31‑23) - 2 Remaining Games

  Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
Tigers Sweeps 37 20 40% 17% 7% 15% 9% 5% 8%
Current Standings 35 20 37% 16% 7% 15% 9% 6% 9%
Giants Sweeps 35 22 34% 16% 7% 15% 10% 6% 11%


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won		 Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games		 Resultant Record Divisional Winners Wildcard No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Bye
 2*
First Round Bye
 3**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 4**
First Round Home Field
Advantage
 5 6 7
107 of 107 100% 142 20 100% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
100 of 107 93% 135 27 >99% <1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
90 of 107 84% 125 37 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% ^
80 of 107 75% 115 47 >99% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
74 of 107 69% 109 53 95% 5% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
73 of 107 68% 108 54 92% 7% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
72 of 107 67% 107 55 90% 10% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
71 of 107 66% 106 56 87% 12% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
70 of 107 65% 105 57 83% 15% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
69 of 107 64% 104 58 78% 19% 1% 2% <1% <1% <1%
68 of 107 64% 103 59 72% 23% 1% 4% <1% <1% <1%
67 of 107 63% 102 60 66% 26% 2% 6% <1% <1% <1%
66 of 107 62% 101 61 58% 31% 3% 8% <1% <1% <1%
65 of 107 61% 100 62 50% 34% 4% 11% <1% <1% <1%
64 of 107 60% 99 63 43% 35% 6% 15% 1% <1% <1%
63 of 107 59% 98 64 34% 38% 8% 19% 1% <1% <1%
62 of 107 58% 97 65 26% 37% 10% 25% 2% <1% <1%
61 of 107 57% 96 66 20% 34% 13% 29% 4% <1% <1%
60 of 107 56% 95 67 13% 32% 15% 32% 7% <1% <1%
59 of 107 55% 94 68 8% 27% 18% 34% 11% 1% <1%
58 of 107 54% 93 69 5% 22% 18% 36% 16% 2% <1%
57 of 107 53% 92 70 3% 17% 19% 35% 22% 4% <1%
56 of 107 52% 91 71 1% 12% 19% 31% 27% 8% 1%
55 of 107 51% 90 72 1% 8% 17% 27% 32% 12% 3%
54 of 107 50% 89 73 <1% 4% 16% 22% 34% 19% 5%
53 of 107 50% 88 74 <1% 3% 13% 16% 33% 25% 10%
52 of 107 49% 87 75 <1% 1% 11% 10% 30% 29% 18%
51 of 107 48% 86 76 <1% 1% 8% 6% 25% 32% 29%
50 of 107 47% 85 77 <1% <1% 6% 3% 17% 32% 42%
49 of 107 46% 84 78 <1% <1% 4% 2% 10% 27% 57%
48 of 107 45% 83 79 <1% <1% 3% 1% 6% 20% 70%
47 of 107 44% 82 80 <1% <1% 2% <1% 3% 13% 82%
46 of 107 43% 81 81 <1% <1% 1% <1% 1% 8% 90%
45 of 107 42% 80 82 <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% 4% 95%
40 of 107 37% 75 87 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
30 of 107 28% 65 97 X <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% >99%
20 of 107 19% 55 107 X <1% <1% X <1% <1% >99%
10 of 107 9% 45 117 X X X X X X 100%
0 of 107 0% 35 127 X X X X X X 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round bye in the playoffs
  • **  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs