The Most Important Games for the Boise St. Broncos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Broncos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Boise St. Broncos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Boise St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Boise St. (9‑6) vs Utah St. (13‑1) |
9 | Boise St. Wins | 1% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 9% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 11% | ||
| Utah St. Wins | 5% | 1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 17% | 16% | ||
| UNLV (7‑7) vs Colorado St. (9‑5) |
1 | UNLV Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 11% | ||
| Colorado St. Wins | 5% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 15% | ||
| Air Force (3‑12) vs New Mexico (11‑3) |
1 | Air Force Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 2% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 11% | ||
| New Mexico Wins | 5% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 15% | ||
| San José State (5‑10) vs Grand Canyon (9‑4) |
1 | San José State Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 13% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 7% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 11% | ||
| Grand Canyon Wins | 5% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 15% | ||
| Fresno St. (7‑7) vs San Diego St. (10‑4) |
1 | Fresno St. Wins | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 11% | ||
| San Diego St. Wins | 5% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 16% | 14% | ||
| Nevada (10‑4) vs Wyoming (11‑4) |
0 | Nevada Wins | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 11% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 11% | ||
| Wyoming Wins | 5% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 15% | ||