The Most Important Games for the Boise St. Broncos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Broncos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Boise St. Broncos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Boise St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Boise St. (18‑8) vs Nevada (15‑11) |
3 | Boise St. Wins | <1% | 8% | 17% | 29% | 46% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 14% | 26% | 54% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nevada Wins | X | <1% | 8% | 23% | 66% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Colorado St. (17‑9) vs UNLV (14‑12) |
1 | Colorado St. Wins | <1% | 5% | 12% | 21% | 62% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 14% | 26% | 54% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UNLV Wins | <1% | 5% | 16% | 31% | 47% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| San Diego St. (18‑6) vs Utah St. (23‑4) |
0 | San Diego St. Wins | <1% | 6% | 8% | 28% | 57% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 14% | 26% | 54% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Utah St. Wins | <1% | 4% | 17% | 24% | 53% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Air Force (3‑23) vs Fresno St. (5‑22) |
0 | Air Force Wins | <1% | 5% | 14% | 26% | 54% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 14% | 26% | 54% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Fresno St. Wins | <1% | 5% | 14% | 26% | 54% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wyoming (12‑15) vs San José State (12‑16) |
0 | Wyoming Wins | <1% | 5% | 14% | 26% | 54% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 5% | 14% | 26% | 54% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| San José State Wins | <1% | 5% | 14% | 26% | 54% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||