The Most Important Games for the Boise St. Broncos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Broncos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Boise St. Broncos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Boise St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Boise St. (3‑1) vs Air Force (1‑3) |
7 | Boise St. Wins | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Air Force Wins | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 4% | ||
| San José State (1‑5) vs New Mexico (3‑1) |
1 | San José State Wins | 10% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 3% | ||
| New Mexico Wins | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Nevada (4‑1) vs Colorado St. (3‑1) |
1 | Nevada Wins | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 6% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Colorado St. Wins | 9% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Fresno St. (2‑2) vs San Diego St. (2‑1) |
0 | Fresno St. Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 3% | ||
| San Diego St. Wins | 9% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Utah St. (4‑0) vs Wyoming (3‑1) |
0 | Utah St. Wins | 9% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 3% | ||
| Wyoming Wins | 10% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 3% | ||