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Mountain West Basketball Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the conference post season tournament? The Mountain West Basketball Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different tournament rounds. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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Mountain West Basketball Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Mountain West Basketball Champions Championship Game
Participate		 Round 3 Round 2 Round 1
Team W L
Utah 1 0 59% 90% 95% 100% 100%
Wyoming 0 1 39% 90% 95% 100% 100%
San Diego St. 1 0 1% 7% 72% 100% 100%
Air Force 0 1 1% 6% 59% 97% 100%
BYU 0 0 <1% 5% 58% 97% 100%
UNLV 1 0 <1% 1% 8% 93% 100%
TCU 1 0 <1% <1% 7% 90% 100%
New Mexico 0 1 <1% <1% 4% 66% 100%
Colorado St. 0 1 <1% <1% 3% 58% 100%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot

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