The Most Important Games for the Fresno St. Bulldogs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bulldogs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Fresno St. Bulldogs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Fresno St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| Fresno St. (7‑7) vs San Diego St. (10‑4) |
3 | Fresno St. Wins | <1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 14% | 18% | 22% | 13% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 24% | ||
| San Diego St. Wins | 18% | 8% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 17% | ||
| Air Force (3‑12) vs New Mexico (11‑3) |
0 | Air Force Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 16% | 21% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 11% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 24% | ||
| New Mexico Wins | 18% | 8% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 17% | ||
| Colorado St. (9‑5) vs UNLV (7‑7) |
0 | Colorado St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 23% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 24% | ||
| UNLV Wins | 18% | 8% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 16% | ||
| Nevada (10‑4) vs Wyoming (11‑4) |
0 | Nevada Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 16% | 24% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 24% | ||
| Wyoming Wins | 18% | 8% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 8% | 12% | 18% | ||
| Grand Canyon (8‑4) vs Boise St. (9‑5) |
0 | Grand Canyon Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 12% | 17% | 24% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 24% | ||
| Boise St. Wins | 18% | 8% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 12% | 18% | ||