Where are the Air Force Falcons going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Air Force standings table presents the probabilities of the Falcons winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
| New Mexico | 14i New Mexico Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 08 @ Air Force 88-53 Won Wed, Feb 12 vs Wyoming 71-67 Won Sun, Feb 16 vs Utah St. 82-79 Lost Wed, Feb 19 @ Boise St. 78-86 Tue, Feb 25 @ San Diego St. Sat, Mar 01 vs Air Force Tue, Mar 04 @ Nevada Fri, Mar 07 vs UNLV |
2 | 16 | 90% | 9% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Utah St. | 13 Utah St. Recent Games Won Fri, Feb 07 @ Fresno St. 89-81 Won Tue, Feb 11 vs Colorado St. 93-85 Lost Sun, Feb 16 @ New Mexico 79-82 Won Wed, Feb 19 vs San José State 105-57 Sat, Feb 22 vs San Diego St. Wed, Feb 26 @ Boise St. Sat, Mar 01 @ Colorado St. Sat, Mar 08 vs Air Force |
3 | 16 | 9% | 65% | 18% | 6% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Colorado St. | 11 Colorado St. Recent Games Won Sat, Feb 08 vs San Diego St. 68-63 Lost Tue, Feb 11 @ Utah St. 85-93 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs Wyoming 88-53 Won Tue, Feb 18 vs Nevada 79-71 Sat, Feb 22 @ UNLV Tue, Feb 25 @ Air Force Sat, Mar 01 vs Utah St. Tue, Mar 04 vs San José State |
4 | 15 | <1% | 7% | 30% | 35% | 25% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| San Diego St. | 11 San Diego St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 08 @ Colorado St. 63-68 Won Tue, Feb 11 @ San José State 69-66 Won Sat, Feb 15 vs Boise St. 64-47 Won Tue, Feb 18 vs Fresno St. 83-60 Sat, Feb 22 @ Utah St. Tue, Feb 25 vs New Mexico Sat, Mar 01 @ Wyoming Tue, Mar 04 @ UNLV |
4 | 15 | 1% | 14% | 37% | 32% | 13% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Boise St. | 10 Boise St. Recent Games Won Tue, Feb 04 @ UNLV 71-62 Won Fri, Feb 07 vs San José State 79-52 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ San Diego St. 47-64 Won Wed, Feb 19 vs New Mexico 86-78 Sat, Feb 22 @ Nevada Wed, Feb 26 vs Utah St. Sat, Mar 01 @ Fresno St. Tue, Mar 04 @ Air Force |
5 | 15 | <1% | 5% | 14% | 26% | 54% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| UNLV | 8 UNLV Recent Games Lost Tue, Feb 04 vs Boise St. 62-71 Won Sat, Feb 08 @ Wyoming 68-57 Won Tue, Feb 11 vs Air Force 77-52 Won Sat, Feb 15 @ Fresno St. 52-51 Sat, Feb 22 vs Colorado St. Tue, Feb 25 @ San José State Fri, Feb 28 vs Nevada Tue, Mar 04 vs San Diego St. |
7 | 15 | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 4% | 59% | 33% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Nevada | 7 Nevada Recent Games Won Tue, Feb 04 @ Air Force 74-60 Won Mon, Feb 10 vs Fresno St. 94-69 Won Fri, Feb 14 @ San José State 73-58 Lost Tue, Feb 18 @ Colorado St. 71-79 Sat, Feb 22 vs Boise St. Tue, Feb 25 vs Wyoming Fri, Feb 28 @ UNLV Tue, Mar 04 vs New Mexico |
8 | 15 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 34% | 50% | 13% | 2% | ^ | ^ |
| San José State | 5 San José State Recent Games Lost Fri, Feb 07 @ Boise St. 52-79 Lost Tue, Feb 11 vs San Diego St. 66-69 Lost Fri, Feb 14 vs Nevada 58-73 Lost Wed, Feb 19 @ Utah St. 57-105 Sat, Feb 22 @ Wyoming Tue, Feb 25 vs UNLV Tue, Mar 04 @ Colorado St. Sat, Mar 08 vs Fresno St. |
11 | 16 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 52% | 42% | <1% | ^ |
| Wyoming | 5 Wyoming Recent Games Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs UNLV 57-68 Lost Wed, Feb 12 @ New Mexico 67-71 Lost Sat, Feb 15 @ Colorado St. 53-88 Won Tue, Feb 18 vs Air Force 69-62 Sat, Feb 22 vs San José State Tue, Feb 25 @ Nevada Sat, Mar 01 vs San Diego St. Tue, Mar 04 @ Fresno St. |
11 | 16 | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 12% | 32% | 55% | <1% | ^ |
| Fresno St. | 1 Fresno St. Recent Games Lost Fri, Feb 07 vs Utah St. 81-89 Lost Mon, Feb 10 @ Nevada 69-94 Lost Sat, Feb 15 vs UNLV 51-52 Lost Tue, Feb 18 @ San Diego St. 60-83 Sat, Feb 22 @ Air Force Sat, Mar 01 vs Boise St. Tue, Mar 04 vs Wyoming Sat, Mar 08 @ San José State |
15 | 16 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 82% | 18% |
| Air Force | 0 Air Force Recent Games Lost Tue, Feb 04 vs Nevada 60-74 Lost Sat, Feb 08 vs New Mexico 53-88 Lost Tue, Feb 11 @ UNLV 52-77 Lost Tue, Feb 18 @ Wyoming 62-69 Sat, Feb 22 vs Fresno St. Tue, Feb 25 vs Colorado St. Sat, Mar 01 @ New Mexico Tue, Mar 04 vs Boise St. |
15 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 18% | 82% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | X | ||
| (6)UNLV | 8 | 7 | 54% |
| (7)Nevada | 7 | 8 | 37% |
| (9)Wyoming | 5 | 11 | 3% |
| (4)San Diego St. | 11 | 4 | 2% |
| (8)San José State | 5 | 11 | 1% |
| (5)Boise St. | 10 | 5 | 1% |
| (3)Colorado St. | 11 | 4 | 1% |
| (2)Utah St. | 13 | 3 | <1% |
| (1)New Mexico | 14 | 2 | X |
| (10)Fresno St. | 1 | 15 | X |
| Elimination | X | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Boise St. (18‑8) |
59‑77 | Away | Sat Dec 21, 3:30 pm |
| 9 | UNLV (14‑12) |
58‑77 | Home | Tue Dec 31, 4:00 pm |
| 9 | Wyoming (12‑15) |
65‑70 | Home | Sat Jan 4, 6:00 pm |
| 10 | San Diego St. (18‑6) |
38‑67 | Away | Wed Jan 8, 10:30 pm |
| 10 | San José State (12‑16) |
62‑69 | Home | Sat Jan 11, 3:00 pm |
| 11 | Nevada (15‑11) |
62‑68 | Away | Tue Jan 14, 10:00 pm |
| 11 | Fresno St. (5‑22) |
65‑74 | Away | Fri Jan 17, 10:00 pm |
| 12 | San Diego St. (18‑6) |
76‑77 (OT) | Home | Wed Jan 22, 10:30 pm |
| 12 | Utah St. (23‑4) |
58‑87 | Home | Sat Jan 25, 4:00 pm |
| 13 | Colorado St. (17‑9) |
58‑79 | Away | Tue Jan 28, 9:00 pm |
| 13 | San José State (12‑16) |
64‑75 | Away | Sat Feb 1, 5:00 pm |
| 14 | Nevada (15‑11) |
60‑74 | Home | Tue Feb 4, 9:00 pm |
| 14 | New Mexico (22‑5) |
53‑88 | Home | Sat Feb 8, 4:00 pm |
| 15 | UNLV (14‑12) |
52‑77 | Away | Tue Feb 11, 10:00 pm |
| 16 | Wyoming (12‑15) |
62‑69 | Away | Tue Feb 18, 8:30 pm |
| 16 | Fresno St. (5‑22) |
Home | Sat Feb 22, 3:00 pm | |
| 17 | Colorado St. (17‑9) |
Home | Tue Feb 25, 9:00 pm | |
| 17 | New Mexico (22‑5) |
Away | Sat Mar 1, 4:00 pm | |
| 18 | Boise St. (18‑8) |
Home | Tue Mar 4, 9:00 pm | |
| 18 | Utah St. (23‑4) |
Away | Sat Mar 8, 4:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | North Alabama (20‑8) |
Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun | 57‑73 | Home | Mon Nov 4, 9:30 pm |
| 1 | Jacksonville StateJacksnvlle St. (18‑8) |
Conference USAConf. USA | 73‑67 | Home | Thu Nov 7, 9:00 pm |
| 2 | Long Island U. (12‑15) |
NortheastNorth East | 54‑63 | Home | Mon Nov 11, 4:00 pm |
| 2 | Belmont (18‑10) |
Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley | 71‑79 | Home | Fri Nov 15, 7:00 pm |
| 3 | California (12‑14) |
ACCACC | 69‑78 | Away | Thu Nov 21, 10:00 pm |
| 3 | Mercyhurst (13‑16) |
NortheastNorth East | 82‑48 | Home | Sun Nov 24, 4:00 pm |
| 4 | Sacramento St. (6‑20) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 61‑63 | Home | Wed Nov 27, 4:00 pm |
| 4 | Wright St. (13‑15) |
HorizonHorizon | 57‑70 | Away | Sat Nov 30, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | Miami OH (19‑7) |
MACMAC | 60‑73 | Away | Mon Dec 2, 7:00 pm |
| 5 | Stony Brook (6‑21) |
CoastalCoastal | 69‑61 | Home | Sat Dec 7, 4:00 pm |
| 7 | Northern Colorado (19‑8) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 76‑81 | Away | Mon Dec 16, 8:00 pm |