Where are the Air Force Falcons going to finish in the regular season standings and be seeded in the post season tournament? The Air Force standings table presents the probabilities of the Falcons winning different finishing spots. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 20 game season |
1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| Utah St. | 12i Utah St. Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 31 vs San Diego St. 71-66 Won Wed, Feb 04 @ New Mexico 86-66 Won Sat, Feb 07 @ Wyoming 85-83 Won Tue, Feb 10 vs Fresno St. 91-78 Sat, Feb 14 vs Memphis Wed, Feb 18 vs Boise St. Sat, Feb 21 @ Nevada Wed, Feb 25 @ San Diego St. |
2 | 14 | 70% | 22% | 6% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| San Diego St. | 11 San Diego St. Recent Games Won Wed, Jan 28 vs Colorado St. 73-50 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ Utah St. 66-71 Won Tue, Feb 03 vs Wyoming 72-63 Won Sat, Feb 07 @ Air Force 88-54 Sat, Feb 14 vs Nevada Tue, Feb 17 vs Grand Canyon Sat, Feb 21 @ Colorado St. Wed, Feb 25 vs Utah St. |
2 | 13 | 22% | 43% | 19% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| New Mexico | 10 New Mexico Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 31 @ San José State 90-80 Lost Wed, Feb 04 vs Utah St. 66-86 Lost Sat, Feb 07 vs Boise St. 90-91 Won Wed, Feb 11 @ Grand Canyon 70-64 Tue, Feb 17 vs Air Force Sat, Feb 21 @ Fresno St. Tue, Feb 24 @ Nevada Sat, Feb 28 vs San Diego St. |
4 | 14 | 5% | 19% | 37% | 24% | 10% | 5% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Nevada | 9 Nevada Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 27 vs Grand Canyon 66-60 Won Fri, Jan 30 vs UNLV 89-76 Lost Tue, Feb 03 @ Boise St. 87-91 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Fresno St. 69-59 Sat, Feb 14 @ San Diego St. Tue, Feb 17 @ San José State Sat, Feb 21 vs Utah St. Tue, Feb 24 vs New Mexico |
4 | 13 | 3% | 13% | 27% | 35% | 15% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Grand Canyon | 8 Grand Canyon Recent Games Won Fri, Jan 30 vs Boise St. 86-69 Won Tue, Feb 03 vs Air Force 81-57 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ UNLV 78-80 Lost Wed, Feb 11 vs New Mexico 64-70 Sat, Feb 14 @ San José State Tue, Feb 17 @ San Diego St. Sat, Feb 21 vs Wyoming Wed, Feb 25 vs UNLV |
5 | 13 | 1% | 3% | 8% | 19% | 41% | 19% | 7% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| UNLV | 7 UNLV Recent Games Lost Fri, Jan 30 @ Nevada 76-89 Lost Tue, Feb 03 @ Fresno St. 96-98 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs Grand Canyon 80-78 Won Tue, Feb 10 vs San José State 82-75 Fri, Feb 13 @ Boise St. Wed, Feb 18 vs Colorado St. Sat, Feb 21 @ Air Force Wed, Feb 25 @ Grand Canyon |
6 | 13 | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 9% | 17% | 29% | 22% | 14% | 6% | <1% | ^ |
| Boise St. | 7 Boise St. Recent Games Won Tue, Jan 27 @ San José State 89-58 Lost Fri, Jan 30 @ Grand Canyon 69-86 Won Tue, Feb 03 vs Nevada 91-87 Won Sat, Feb 07 @ New Mexico 91-90 Fri, Feb 13 vs UNLV Wed, Feb 18 @ Utah St. Sat, Feb 21 vs San José State Tue, Feb 24 vs Wyoming |
6 | 13 | <1% | 1% | 3% | 9% | 16% | 37% | 20% | 9% | 4% | 1% | <1% | ^ |
| Fresno St. | 5 Fresno St. Recent Games Won Sat, Jan 31 @ Air Force 79-62 Won Tue, Feb 03 vs UNLV 98-96 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ Nevada 59-69 Lost Tue, Feb 10 @ Utah St. 78-91 Sat, Feb 14 vs Air Force Tue, Feb 17 @ Wyoming Sat, Feb 21 vs New Mexico Tue, Feb 24 @ Colorado St. |
8 | 13 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 12% | 23% | 29% | 29% | 1% | <1% |
| Colorado St. | 5 Colorado St. Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 28 @ San Diego St. 50-73 Lost Sat, Jan 31 @ Wyoming 57-68 Won Sat, Feb 07 vs San José State 65-57 Won Tue, Feb 10 @ Air Force 91-74 Sat, Feb 14 vs Wyoming Wed, Feb 18 @ UNLV Sat, Feb 21 vs San Diego St. Tue, Feb 24 vs Fresno St. |
8 | 13 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 19% | 24% | 25% | 23% | <1% | <1% |
| Wyoming | 4 Wyoming Recent Games Lost Wed, Jan 28 @ Utah St. 62-94 Won Sat, Jan 31 vs Colorado St. 68-57 Lost Tue, Feb 03 @ San Diego St. 63-72 Lost Sat, Feb 07 vs Utah St. 83-85 Sat, Feb 14 @ Colorado St. Tue, Feb 17 vs Fresno St. Sat, Feb 21 @ Grand Canyon Tue, Feb 24 @ Boise St. |
9 | 13 | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 3% | 11% | 19% | 27% | 39% | 1% | <1% |
| San José State | 1 San José State Recent Games Lost Tue, Jan 27 vs Boise St. 58-89 Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs New Mexico 80-90 Lost Sat, Feb 07 @ Colorado St. 57-65 Lost Tue, Feb 10 @ UNLV 75-82 Sat, Feb 14 vs Grand Canyon Tue, Feb 17 vs Nevada Sat, Feb 21 @ Boise St. Tue, Feb 24 @ Air Force |
12 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 79% | 19% |
| Air Force | 0 Air Force Recent Games Lost Sat, Jan 31 vs Fresno St. 62-79 Lost Tue, Feb 03 @ Grand Canyon 57-81 Lost Sat, Feb 07 vs San Diego St. 54-88 Lost Tue, Feb 10 vs Colorado St. 74-91 Sat, Feb 14 @ Fresno St. Tue, Feb 17 @ New Mexico Sat, Feb 21 vs UNLV Tue, Feb 24 vs San José State |
13 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 19% | 81% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| Bye | X | ||
| (5)Grand Canyon | 8 | 5 | 37% |
| (7)Boise St. | 7 | 6 | 20% |
| (4)Nevada | 9 | 4 | 13% |
| (6)UNLV | 7 | 6 | 10% |
| (3)New Mexico | 10 | 4 | 9% |
| (2)San Diego St. | 11 | 2 | 5% |
| (9)Colorado St. | 5 | 8 | 3% |
| (8)Fresno St. | 5 | 8 | 2% |
| (10)Wyoming | 4 | 9 | 1% |
| (1)Utah St. | 12 | 2 | 1% |
| (11)San José State | 1 | 12 | <1% |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | San Diego St. (17‑6) |
58‑81 | Away | Wed Dec 17, 10:00 pm |
| 9 | Wyoming (13‑11) |
56‑68 | Home | Tue Dec 30, 4:00 pm |
| 9 | UNLV (12‑12) |
39‑67 | Away | Sat Jan 3, 5:00 pm |
| 10 | Utah St. (21‑3) |
62‑99 | Home | Tue Jan 6, 9:00 pm |
| 10 | New Mexico (19‑6) |
49‑91 | Home | Sat Jan 10, 3:00 pm |
| 11 | San José State (6‑18) |
62‑70 | Away | Tue Jan 13, 10:00 pm |
| 11 | Nevada (16‑7) |
66‑81 | Home | Sat Jan 17, 4:00 pm |
| 12 | Colorado St. (14‑10) |
52‑81 | Away | Tue Jan 20, 9:00 pm |
| 12 | Boise St. (15‑9) |
54‑96 | Away | Sat Jan 24, 4:00 pm |
| 13 | Fresno St. (11‑13) |
62‑79 | Home | Sat Jan 31, 3:00 pm |
| 14 | Grand Canyon (15‑9) |
57‑81 | Away | Tue Feb 3, 9:00 pm |
| 14 | San Diego St. (17‑6) |
54‑88 | Home | Sat Feb 7, 8:00 pm |
| 15 | Colorado St. (14‑10) |
74‑91 | Home | Tue Feb 10, 9:00 pm |
| 15 | Fresno St. (11‑13) |
Away | Sat Feb 14, 5:00 pm | |
| 16 | New Mexico (19‑6) |
Away | Tue Feb 17, 9:00 pm | |
| 16 | UNLV (12‑12) |
Home | Sat Feb 21, 3:00 pm | |
| 17 | San José State (6‑18) |
Home | Tue Feb 24, 9:00 pm | |
| 17 | Wyoming (13‑11) |
Away | Sat Feb 28, 4:00 pm | |
| 18 | Grand Canyon (15‑9) |
Home | Tue Mar 3, 9:00 pm | |
| 18 | Nevada (16‑7) |
Away | Sat Mar 7, 10:00 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Belmont (23‑4) |
Missouri ValleyMissouri Valley | 63‑79 | Away | Mon Nov 3 |
| 1 | Austin Peay (18‑6) |
Atlantic SunAtlantic Sun | 54‑74 | Home | Sat Nov 8 |
| 2 | Long Island U. (17‑8) |
NortheastNorth East | 72‑76 | Home | Tue Nov 11 |
| 2 | Miami OH (24‑0) |
MACMAC | 61‑76 | Home | Sat Nov 15, 2:00 pm |
| 3 | Alabama St. (7‑17) |
SouthwesternSWAC | 66‑64 | Home | Wed Nov 19, 6:00 pm |
| 3 | SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville (17‑9) |
Ohio ValleyOhio Valley | 77‑63 | Home | Fri Nov 21, 6:00 pm |
| 3 | IU Indy (7‑20) |
HorizonHorizon | 98‑85 | Home | Sun Nov 23, 5:00 pm |
| 4 | Northern Colorado (16‑10) |
Big SkyBig Sky | 53‑71 | Home | Wed Nov 26, 6:00 pm |
| 4 | South Dakota (14‑13) |
SummitSummit | 63‑80 | Away | Sat Nov 29, 4:00 pm |
| 5 | Pacific (17‑10) |
West CoastWest Coast | 65‑80 | Home | Wed Dec 3, 9:00 pm |
| 5 | Navy (20‑6) |
Patriot LeaguePatriot League | 56‑61 | Away | Sun Dec 7, 12:00 pm |