PlayoffStatus.com

Fri Feb 21 11:45 am

Mountain West Basketball - Week 16 of 18

Nevada Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Nevada Wolf Pack are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolf Pack final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nevada Wolf Pack fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Nevada Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Nevada Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5*
First Round Bye
6 7 8 9 10 11
Nevada
(15‑11)

vs
Boise St.
(18‑8)
2 Nevada Wins X X <1% <1% 2% 42% 49% 7% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% <1% 1% 34% 50% 13% 2% ^ ^
Boise St. Wins X X X X <1% 27% 53% 17% 3% ^ ^
Utah St.
(23‑4)

vs
San Diego St.
(18‑6)
1 Utah St. Wins X X <1% <1% 1% 33% 51% 13% 2% ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% <1% 1% 34% 50% 13% 2% ^ ^
San Diego St. Wins X X <1% <1% 1% 35% 50% 13% 2% ^ ^
Colorado St.
(17‑9)

vs
UNLV
(14‑12)
0 Colorado St. Wins X X X <1% 1% 40% 45% 12% 2% ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% <1% 1% 34% 50% 13% 2% ^ ^
UNLV Wins X X <1% <1% 1% 26% 58% 13% 2% ^ ^
Wyoming
(12‑15)

vs
San José State
(12‑16)
0 Wyoming Wins X X <1% <1% 1% 33% 48% 18% <1% ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% <1% 1% 34% 50% 13% 2% ^ ^
San José State Wins X X <1% <1% 1% 35% 55% 5% 4% ^ ^
Air Force
(3‑23)

vs
Fresno St.
(5‑22)
0 Air Force Wins X X <1% <1% 1% 34% 50% 13% 2% ^ ^
Current Probabilities X X <1% <1% 1% 34% 50% 13% 2% ^ ^
Fresno St. Wins X X <1% <1% 1% 34% 50% 13% 2% ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament