PlayoffStatus.com

Thu Nov 21 10:30 pm

Mountain West Basketball - Week 3 of 18

Nevada Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Nevada Wolf Pack are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolf Pack final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nevada Wolf Pack fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Nevada Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Nevada Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5*
First Round Bye
6 7 8 9 10 11
Nevada
(4‑1)

vs
Colorado St.
(3‑1)
9 Nevada Wins 21% 16% 14% 12% 11% 10% 7% 5% 3% 1% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 15% 13% 12% 11% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1%
Colorado St. Wins 13% 14% 14% 12% 12% 11% 9% 7% 5% 2% 1%
Fresno St.
(2‑2)

vs
San Diego St.
(2‑1)
2 Fresno St. Wins 19% 15% 14% 12% 11% 9% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1%
Current Probabilities 19% 15% 13% 12% 11% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1%
San Diego St. Wins 19% 14% 13% 12% 10% 10% 8% 7% 4% 2% 1%
Utah St.
(4‑0)

vs
Wyoming
(3‑1)
1 Utah St. Wins 19% 16% 13% 12% 11% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 15% 13% 12% 11% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1%
Wyoming Wins 19% 15% 13% 12% 10% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1%
San José State
(1‑5)

vs
New Mexico
(3‑1)
1 San José State Wins 20% 15% 14% 11% 10% 9% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1%
Current Probabilities 19% 15% 13% 12% 11% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1%
New Mexico Wins 19% 14% 13% 12% 11% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1%
Boise St.
(3‑1)

vs
Air Force
(1‑3)
0 Boise St. Wins 19% 15% 14% 12% 11% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% <1%
Current Probabilities 19% 15% 13% 12% 11% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1%
Air Force Wins 20% 15% 13% 12% 11% 10% 8% 6% 4% 2% 1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament