The Most Important Games for the New Mexico Lobos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lobos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. New Mexico Lobos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
New Mexico Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| New Mexico (3‑1) vs San José State (1‑5) |
6 | New Mexico Wins | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ||
| San José State Wins | 11% | 12% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 7% | 5% | 3% | ||
| Boise St. (3‑1) vs Air Force (1‑3) |
1 | Boise St. Wins | 15% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Air Force Wins | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 2% | ||
| San Diego St. (2‑1) vs Fresno St. (2‑2) |
1 | San Diego St. Wins | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Fresno St. Wins | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Wyoming (3‑1) vs Utah St. (4‑0) |
1 | Wyoming Wins | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 7% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Utah St. Wins | 15% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Nevada (4‑1) vs Colorado St. (3‑1) |
1 | Nevada Wins | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 6% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Colorado St. Wins | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 7% | 4% | 1% | ||