PlayoffStatus.com

Sun Jan 12 11:45 am

Mountain West Basketball - Week 11 of 18

New Mexico Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the New Mexico Lobos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lobos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. New Mexico Lobos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

New Mexico Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
New Mexico Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5*
First Round Bye
6 7 8 9 10 11
New Mexico
(14‑3)

vs
San José State
(8‑10)
2 New Mexico Wins 27% 40% 19% 9% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 25% 39% 20% 10% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
San José State Wins 18% 37% 22% 13% 6% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Utah St.
(16‑1)

vs
UNLV
(9‑7)
0 Utah St. Wins 24% 41% 20% 10% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 25% 39% 20% 10% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
UNLV Wins 32% 33% 18% 10% 5% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Air Force
(3‑13)

vs
Nevada
(9‑7)
0 Air Force Wins 26% 39% 19% 10% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 25% 39% 20% 10% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Nevada Wins 25% 40% 19% 9% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
San Diego St.
(10‑4)

vs
Colorado St.
(10‑6)
0 San Diego St. Wins 25% 39% 19% 10% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 25% 39% 20% 10% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Colorado St. Wins 26% 40% 18% 9% 4% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Boise St.
(12‑5)

vs
Wyoming
(9‑7)
0 Boise St. Wins 25% 39% 20% 10% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 25% 39% 20% 10% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Wyoming Wins 26% 41% 19% 8% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament