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Sat Nov 7 9:45 am

Mountain West Basketball - Week 2 of 19

New Mexico Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the New Mexico Lobos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lobos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. New Mexico Lobos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

New Mexico Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
New Mexico Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5*
First Round Bye
6*
First Round Bye
7 8 9 10
New Mexico
(1‑0)

vs
UTEP
(0‑1)
7 New Mexico Wins 16% 13% 12% 11% 11% 10% 10% 8% 6% 3%
Current Probabilities 15% 13% 12% 11% 10% 10% 10% 8% 7% 4%
UTEP Wins 11% 12% 12% 11% 10% 10% 10% 9% 8% 6%
Hawai'i
(2‑0)

vs
San José State
(1‑0)
1 Hawai'i Wins 16% 12% 12% 11% 10% 10% 9% 9% 7% 5%
Current Probabilities 15% 13% 12% 11% 10% 10% 10% 8% 7% 4%
San José State Wins 15% 12% 12% 11% 10% 10% 9% 9% 7% 5%
UC Davis
(1‑1)

vs
Grand Canyon
(1‑0)
0 UC Davis Wins 16% 13% 12% 11% 10% 10% 9% 8% 7% 5%
Current Probabilities 15% 13% 12% 11% 10% 10% 10% 8% 7% 4%
Grand Canyon Wins 15% 13% 11% 11% 10% 10% 9% 9% 7% 5%
Nevada
(1‑0)

vs
Wyoming
(2‑0)
0 Nevada Wins 15% 13% 11% 10% 10% 10% 10% 8% 7% 5%
Current Probabilities 15% 13% 12% 11% 10% 10% 10% 8% 7% 4%
Wyoming Wins 15% 13% 11% 11% 10% 10% 9% 9% 7% 5%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament