The Most Important Games for the New Mexico Lobos are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lobos final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. New Mexico Lobos fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
New Mexico Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| New Mexico (20‑6) vs Fresno St. (12‑14) |
12 | New Mexico Wins | 8% | 30% | 41% | 13% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 27% | 39% | 16% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Fresno St. Wins | 3% | 19% | 35% | 24% | 13% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wyoming (14‑12) vs Grand Canyon (17‑9) |
4 | Wyoming Wins | 6% | 28% | 47% | 12% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 27% | 39% | 16% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Grand Canyon Wins | 7% | 27% | 35% | 19% | 9% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Utah St. (22‑3) vs Boise St. (15‑10) |
3 | Utah St. Wins | 6% | 28% | 40% | 17% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 27% | 39% | 16% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Boise St. Wins | 10% | 26% | 36% | 15% | 8% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| UNLV (13‑12) vs Colorado St. (15‑10) |
0 | UNLV Wins | 8% | 27% | 39% | 16% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 7% | 27% | 39% | 16% | 8% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Colorado St. Wins | 7% | 27% | 39% | 16% | 8% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||