The Most Important Games for the San Diego St. Aztecs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aztecs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. San Diego St. Aztecs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
San Diego St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| San Diego St. (2‑1) vs Fresno St. (2‑2) |
8 | San Diego St. Wins | 7% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 3% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 6% | ||
| Fresno St. Wins | 4% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 12% | 11% | 6% | ||
| Colorado St. (3‑1) vs Nevada (4‑1) |
1 | Colorado St. Wins | 7% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 6% | ||
| Nevada Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 6% | ||
| Wyoming (3‑1) vs Utah St. (4‑0) |
1 | Wyoming Wins | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 9% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 6% | ||
| Utah St. Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 6% | ||
| New Mexico (3‑1) vs San José State (1‑5) |
0 | New Mexico Wins | 6% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% | 9% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 6% | ||
| San José State Wins | 6% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 7% | ||
| Air Force (1‑3) vs Boise St. (3‑1) |
0 | Air Force Wins | 7% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 6% | ||
| Boise St. Wins | 6% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 6% | ||