The Most Important Games for the San Diego St. Aztecs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aztecs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. San Diego St. Aztecs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
San Diego St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| UNLV (14‑14) vs Nevada (18‑9) |
3 | UNLV Wins | 30% | 52% | 13% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 47% | 11% | 4% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nevada Wins | 38% | 45% | 11% | 3% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| San Diego St. (19‑8) vs New Mexico (21‑7) |
3 | San Diego St. Wins | 64% | 35% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 47% | 11% | 4% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| New Mexico Wins | 12% | 59% | 19% | 8% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Utah St. (23‑5) vs Grand Canyon (18‑10) |
0 | Utah St. Wins | 30% | 55% | 10% | 3% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 47% | 11% | 4% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Grand Canyon Wins | 49% | 25% | 15% | 8% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wyoming (15‑13) vs Air Force (3‑25) |
0 | Wyoming Wins | 35% | 47% | 11% | 4% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 47% | 11% | 4% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Air Force Wins | 35% | 47% | 11% | 4% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| San José State (8‑20) vs Colorado St. (18‑10) |
0 | San José State Wins | 35% | 47% | 11% | 4% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 47% | 11% | 4% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Colorado St. Wins | 35% | 47% | 11% | 4% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Fresno St. (12‑16) vs Boise St. (17‑11) |
0 | Fresno St. Wins | 35% | 47% | 11% | 4% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 35% | 47% | 11% | 4% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||
| Boise St. Wins | 35% | 47% | 11% | 4% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ||