The Most Important Games for the San Diego St. Aztecs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aztecs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. San Diego St. Aztecs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
San Diego St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| San Diego St. (16‑6) vs Air Force (3‑19) |
8 | San Diego St. Wins | 26% | 32% | 21% | 13% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 31% | 22% | 14% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Air Force Wins | 15% | 26% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Fresno St. (11‑11) vs Nevada (15‑7) |
3 | Fresno St. Wins | 25% | 33% | 22% | 14% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 31% | 22% | 14% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nevada Wins | 25% | 31% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| UNLV (10‑12) vs Grand Canyon (15‑7) |
1 | UNLV Wins | 27% | 34% | 20% | 12% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 31% | 22% | 14% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Grand Canyon Wins | 24% | 30% | 22% | 15% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Boise St. (14‑9) vs New Mexico (18‑5) |
1 | Boise St. Wins | 26% | 33% | 21% | 12% | 6% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 31% | 22% | 14% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| New Mexico Wins | 25% | 30% | 22% | 15% | 8% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wyoming (13‑10) vs Utah St. (19‑3) |
1 | Wyoming Wins | 32% | 28% | 19% | 12% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 31% | 22% | 14% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Utah St. Wins | 23% | 33% | 22% | 14% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Colorado St. (12‑10) vs San José State (6‑16) |
0 | Colorado St. Wins | 25% | 31% | 21% | 14% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 25% | 31% | 22% | 14% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| San José State Wins | 26% | 31% | 21% | 14% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ||