The Most Important Games for the San Diego St. Aztecs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aztecs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. San Diego St. Aztecs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
San Diego St. Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| San Diego St. (12‑4) vs New Mexico (13‑3) |
10 | San Diego St. Wins | 29% | 32% | 20% | 10% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 28% | 21% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| New Mexico Wins | 15% | 24% | 24% | 17% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Utah St. (15‑1) vs Grand Canyon (10‑5) |
2 | Utah St. Wins | 22% | 29% | 22% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 28% | 21% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Grand Canyon Wins | 27% | 25% | 19% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Air Force (3‑14) vs Nevada (11‑5) |
1 | Air Force Wins | 25% | 30% | 21% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 28% | 21% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nevada Wins | 23% | 28% | 21% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| San José State (6‑11) vs UNLV (8‑8) |
0 | San José State Wins | 23% | 29% | 21% | 13% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 28% | 21% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UNLV Wins | 23% | 28% | 21% | 14% | 8% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fresno St. (8‑8) vs Wyoming (11‑6) |
0 | Fresno St. Wins | 23% | 28% | 21% | 13% | 8% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 23% | 28% | 21% | 13% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wyoming Wins | 24% | 28% | 21% | 14% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||