The Most Important Games for the San Diego St. Aztecs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aztecs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. San Diego St. Aztecs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
San Diego St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| San Diego St. (10‑4) vs Colorado St. (10‑6) |
11 | San Diego St. Wins | 4% | 18% | 32% | 22% | 12% | 7% | 4% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 16% | 28% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Colorado St. Wins | 1% | 10% | 23% | 24% | 19% | 13% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Utah St. (16‑1) vs UNLV (9‑7) |
2 | Utah St. Wins | 3% | 16% | 29% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 16% | 28% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UNLV Wins | 5% | 16% | 26% | 21% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Air Force (3‑13) vs Nevada (9‑7) |
1 | Air Force Wins | 3% | 16% | 29% | 23% | 14% | 9% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 16% | 28% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Nevada Wins | 3% | 16% | 28% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wyoming (9‑7) vs Boise St. (12‑5) |
0 | Wyoming Wins | 3% | 16% | 30% | 21% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 16% | 28% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boise St. Wins | 3% | 15% | 28% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| New Mexico (14‑3) vs San José State (8‑10) |
0 | New Mexico Wins | 3% | 15% | 29% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 3% | 16% | 28% | 22% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| San José State Wins | 4% | 18% | 27% | 21% | 14% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||