The Most Important Games for the San José State Spartans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Spartans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. San José State Spartans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
San José State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| San José State (5‑6) vs New Mexico (7‑2) |
5 | San José State Wins | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | 12% | 14% | 16% |
| Current Probabilities | 12% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | ||
| New Mexico Wins | 18% | 17% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | ||
| Fresno St. (6‑4) vs UNLV (4‑6) |
1 | Fresno St. Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 18% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | ||
| UNLV Wins | 18% | 17% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | ||
| Wyoming (8‑2) vs Grand Canyon (6‑3) |
0 | Wyoming Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | ||
| Grand Canyon Wins | 18% | 17% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 11% | ||
| Colorado St. (7‑2) vs Utah St. (9‑1) |
0 | Colorado St. Wins | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 15% | 18% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | ||
| Utah St. Wins | 18% | 17% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 10% | 11% | ||
| Air Force (3‑8) vs San Diego St. (5‑3) |
0 | Air Force Wins | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | 14% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 20% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | ||
| San Diego St. Wins | 18% | 17% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | ||
| Nevada (7‑3) vs Boise St. (7‑3) |
0 | Nevada Wins | <1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 9% | 12% | 14% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | 17% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 5% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 12% | 14% | ||
| Boise St. Wins | 18% | 17% | <1% | 2% | 3% | 4% | 6% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 11% | ||