The Most Important Games for the San José State Spartans are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Spartans final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. San José State Spartans fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
San José State Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| San José State (1‑5) vs New Mexico (3‑1) |
3 | San José State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 15% | 24% | 34% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 23% | 43% | ||
| New Mexico Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 23% | 45% | ||
| Air Force (1‑3) vs Boise St. (3‑1) |
0 | Air Force Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 20% | 47% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 23% | 43% | ||
| Boise St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 23% | 43% | ||
| Wyoming (3‑1) vs Utah St. (4‑0) |
0 | Wyoming Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 23% | 43% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 23% | 43% | ||
| Utah St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 14% | 23% | 43% | ||
| Fresno St. (2‑2) vs San Diego St. (2‑1) |
0 | Fresno St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 22% | 45% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 23% | 43% | ||
| San Diego St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 8% | 13% | 23% | 44% | ||
| Nevada (4‑1) vs Colorado St. (3‑1) |
0 | Nevada Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 23% | 44% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 13% | 23% | 43% | ||
| Colorado St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 5% | 9% | 14% | 22% | 44% | ||