The Most Important Games for the UNLV Rebels are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rebels final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UNLV Rebels fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UNLV Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5* First Round Bye |
6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | |||
| UNLV (9‑7) vs Utah St. (16‑1) |
13 | UNLV Wins | 1% | 4% | 8% | 13% | 18% | 21% | 19% | 13% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 21% | 21% | 17% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Utah St. Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 9% | 15% | 21% | 22% | 18% | 7% | 1% | <1% | ||
| San José State (8‑10) vs New Mexico (14‑3) |
1 | San José State Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 20% | 20% | 16% | 8% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 21% | 21% | 17% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| New Mexico Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 21% | 22% | 17% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Air Force (3‑13) vs Nevada (9‑7) |
1 | Air Force Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 22% | 20% | 15% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 21% | 21% | 17% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Nevada Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 20% | 20% | 17% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Wyoming (9‑7) vs Boise St. (12‑5) |
1 | Wyoming Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 18% | 20% | 19% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 21% | 21% | 17% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Boise St. Wins | <1% | 2% | 5% | 10% | 16% | 21% | 20% | 17% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Colorado St. (10‑6) vs San Diego St. (10‑4) |
0 | Colorado St. Wins | 1% | 3% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 21% | 20% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 21% | 21% | 17% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||
| San Diego St. Wins | <1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 21% | 20% | 18% | 6% | 1% | <1% | ||