The Most Important Games for the UNLV Rebels are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rebels final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UNLV Rebels fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
UNLV Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* First Round Bye |
2* First Round Bye |
3* First Round Bye |
4* First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| San Diego St. (17‑6) vs Nevada (16‑7) |
3 | San Diego St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 8% | 18% | 30% | 23% | 13% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 18% | 30% | 24% | 13% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Nevada Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 19% | 32% | 24% | 13% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| San José State (6‑18) vs Grand Canyon (15‑9) |
1 | San José State Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 23% | 26% | 23% | 13% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 18% | 30% | 24% | 13% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Grand Canyon Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 16% | 32% | 25% | 13% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Wyoming (13‑11) vs Colorado St. (14‑10) |
0 | Wyoming Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 19% | 31% | 24% | 12% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 18% | 30% | 24% | 13% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Colorado St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 30% | 25% | 14% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Air Force (3‑21) vs Fresno St. (11‑13) |
0 | Air Force Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 19% | 31% | 25% | 13% | 4% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | 1% | 7% | 18% | 30% | 24% | 13% | 5% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Fresno St. Wins | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 18% | 30% | 24% | 13% | 6% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ||