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Mon Dec 8 7:00 am

Mountain West Basketball - Week 5 of 18

UNLV Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the UNLV Rebels are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Rebels final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. UNLV Rebels fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

UNLV Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
UNLV Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
First Round Bye
2*
First Round Bye
3*
First Round Bye
4*
First Round Bye
5*
First Round Bye
6 7 8 9 10 11
UNLV
(4‑5)

vs
Fresno St.
(6‑3)
6 UNLV Wins 3% 5% 7% 7% 9% 9% 10% 10% 11% 11% 11%
Current Probabilities 6% 3% 5% 6% 8% 8% 9% 9% 10% 11% 11%
Fresno St. Wins 13% 9% 2% 3% 5% 6% 8% 9% 9% 10% 11%
Air Force
(3‑8)

vs
San Diego St.
(4‑3)
0 Air Force Wins 3% 5% 6% 8% 8% 9% 9% 9% 10% 12% 12%
Current Probabilities 11% 3% 5% 6% 8% 8% 9% 9% 10% 11% 11%
San Diego St. Wins 13% 9% 3% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 10% 11%
Colorado St.
(6‑2)

vs
Utah St.
(8‑1)
0 Colorado St. Wins 3% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 12%
Current Probabilities 9% 3% 5% 6% 8% 8% 9% 9% 10% 11% 11%
Utah St. Wins 13% 9% 3% 5% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 10% 10%
Grand Canyon
(5‑3)

vs
Wyoming
(7‑2)
0 Grand Canyon Wins 3% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 9% 10% 11% 12% 12%
Current Probabilities 9% 3% 5% 6% 8% 8% 9% 9% 10% 11% 11%
Wyoming Wins 13% 9% 2% 5% 6% 7% 8% 8% 9% 10% 11%
San José State
(4‑5)

vs
New Mexico
(6‑2)
0 San José State Wins 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 10% 11% 11% 13%
Current Probabilities 9% 3% 5% 6% 8% 8% 9% 9% 10% 11% 11%
New Mexico Wins 13% 9% 3% 4% 6% 8% 8% 9% 9% 10% 11%
Boise St.
(6‑3)

vs
Nevada
(6‑3)
0 Boise St. Wins 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 8% 9% 10% 11% 11% 13%
Current Probabilities 10% 3% 5% 6% 8% 8% 9% 9% 10% 11% 11%
Nevada Wins 13% 9% 3% 4% 6% 7% 8% 9% 9% 10% 11%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament