The Most Important Games for the Air Force Falcons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Falcons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Air Force Falcons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Air Force Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| UNLV (8‑2) vs Hawaii (7‑3) |
0 | UNLV Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 5% | 5% | 38% | 17% | 19% | 12% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 6% | 38% | 17% | 19% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Hawaii Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 6% | 39% | 17% | 19% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Boise State (6‑4) vs Colorado St. (2‑8) |
0 | Boise State Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 5% | 40% | 18% | 17% | 12% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 6% | 38% | 17% | 19% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Colorado St. Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 5% | 7% | 33% | 15% | 26% | 13% | 1% | ||
| San Diego State (8‑2) vs San José State (3‑7) |
0 | San Diego State Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 5% | 6% | 39% | 17% | 21% | 10% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 6% | 38% | 17% | 19% | 12% | 2% | ||
| San José State Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 5% | 31% | 17% | 8% | 27% | 6% | ||
| Wyoming (4‑6) vs Nevada (2‑8) |
0 | Wyoming Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 5% | 37% | 13% | 24% | 14% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 6% | 38% | 17% | 19% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Nevada Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 6% | 44% | 23% | 9% | 9% | 4% | ||
| Air Force (3‑7) vs New Mexico (7‑3) |
0 | Air Force Wins | X | X | X | X | 2% | 15% | 17% | 48% | 13% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 6% | 38% | 17% | 19% | 12% | 2% | ||
| New Mexico Wins | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 37% | 19% | 25% | 16% | 3% | ||
| Fresno State (7‑3) vs Utah St. (5‑5) |
0 | Fresno State Wins | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 5% | 37% | 17% | 19% | 12% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | X | X | X | X | 1% | 6% | 6% | 38% | 17% | 19% | 12% | 2% | ||
| Utah St. Wins | X | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 5% | 40% | 17% | 19% | 13% | 2% | ||