The Most Important Games for the Air Force Falcons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Falcons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Air Force Falcons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Air Force Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Nevada (1‑6) vs Boise State (5‑2) |
0 | Nevada Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 18% | 17% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 20% | 21% | 9% | ||
| Boise State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 16% | 17% | 20% | 21% | 8% | ||
| Fresno State (5‑2) vs San Diego State (5‑1) |
0 | Fresno State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 10% | 15% | 17% | 20% | 21% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 20% | 21% | 9% | ||
| San Diego State Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 20% | 21% | 9% | ||
| New Mexico (4‑3) vs Utah St. (4‑3) |
0 | New Mexico Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 8% | 15% | 16% | 21% | 22% | 10% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 20% | 21% | 9% | ||
| Utah St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 5% | 13% | 16% | 16% | 19% | 20% | 9% | ||
| Wyoming (3‑4) vs Colorado St. (2‑5) |
0 | Wyoming Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 20% | 21% | 11% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 11% | 15% | 16% | 20% | 21% | 9% | ||
| Colorado St. Wins | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 2% | 6% | 12% | 18% | 16% | 18% | 20% | 8% | ||