The Air Force Falcons What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Air Force plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| Win Next Game | 3 | 4 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 15% | 20% | 31% | 21% | 9% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 2 | 4 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 7% | 23% | 23% | 15% | 24% | 1% |
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 22% | 27% | 18% | 32% | 1% |
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |
| Current Standings | X | X | <1% | <1% | 1% | 6% | 7% | 23% | 23% | 15% | 24% | 1% |
|
Best Case Scenario None |
Worst Case Scenario None |
|||||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | ||
| 2 of 2 | 100% | 4 | 4 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 6% | 29% | 34% | 26% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 1 of 2 | 50% | 3 | 5 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 38% | 44% | 15% | 2% | <1% |
| 0 of 2 | 0% | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 5% | 23% | 70% | 3% |