The Air Force Falcons What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how Air Force plays future conference games. These games include either the next game, all remaining games, or a set of games called Best/Worst Case Scenarios. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | |
| Win Next Game | 2 | 1 | 6% | 16% | 18% | 17% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 5% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 1 | 1 | 5% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% | 2% |
| Lose Next Game | 1 | 2 | 2% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 9% | 4% |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | ||
| 6 of 6 | 100% | 7 | 1 | 48% | 49% | 3% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 5 of 6 | 83% | 6 | 2 | 9% | 49% | 36% | 6% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 4 of 6 | 67% | 5 | 3 | <1% | 6% | 34% | 42% | 16% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 3 of 6 | 50% | 4 | 4 | X | X | 1% | 15% | 39% | 34% | 10% | 1% | ^ | ^ |
| 2 of 6 | 33% | 3 | 5 | X | X | X | <1% | 4% | 23% | 41% | 27% | 5% | <1% |
| 1 of 6 | 17% | 2 | 6 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 10% | 37% | 43% | 10% |
| 0 of 6 | 0% | 1 | 7 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 6% | 42% | 52% |