The Most Important Games for the Hawaii Warriors are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Warriors final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Hawaii Warriors fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) | Game Winner | Hawaii Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant | 2* Conference Championship Game Participant | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| Hawaii (6‑2) vs San José State (2‑5) | 14 | Hawaii Wins | 11% | 16% | 21% | 19% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ | 
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 14% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| San José State Wins | 3% | 10% | 10% | 16% | 18% | 15% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fresno State (5‑3) vs Boise State (6‑2) | 3 | Fresno State Wins | 14% | 12% | 15% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 14% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boise State Wins | 8% | 15% | 20% | 18% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wyoming (4‑4) vs San Diego State (6‑1) | 2 | Wyoming Wins | 10% | 16% | 18% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 14% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| San Diego State Wins | 9% | 14% | 18% | 18% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| New Mexico (5‑3) vs UNLV (6‑1) | 1 | New Mexico Wins | 10% | 14% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | 
| Current Probabilities | 10% | 14% | 18% | 17% | 16% | 10% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UNLV Wins | 9% | 14% | 19% | 17% | 16% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||