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Sun Sep 27 2:45 am

Mountain West Football - Week 5 of 13

Hawaii Warriors Standings

Are the Hawaii Warriors going to play in the Conference Championship game? The Hawaii standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Mountain West Football Standings
Record Rcrd Regular Season Finish
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
8 game season
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
North Dakota St. 1i
North Dakota St. Recent Games

Won  Sat, Aug 29 vs Jacksonville St.  33-7 
Won  Sat, Sep 05 vs Fordham           38-0 
Won  Sat, Sep 12 @  Air Force         38-32
Won  Sat, Sep 19 @  Sacramento St.    31-10
     Sat, Oct 03 vs Wyoming           
     Sat, Oct 10 @  UNLV              
     Sat, Oct 17 vs Nevada            
     Sat, Oct 24 @  New Mexico        

0 1 42% 24% 14% 9% 5% 3% 2% 1% <1% <1%
UNLV 1
UNLV Recent Games

Lost Sat, Aug 29 vs Memphis           21-27
Won  Sat, Sep 05 @  Hawaii            21-6 
Lost Sat, Sep 12 @  North Texas        6-44
Won  Sat, Sep 26 @  Akron             38-10
     Sat, Oct 03 vs California        
     Sat, Oct 10 vs North Dakota St.  
     Sat, Oct 17 @  Air Force         
     Sat, Oct 31 vs Northern Illinois 

0 1 11% 13% 14% 14% 13% 11% 10% 8% 5% 2%
 
Wyoming 1
Wyoming Recent Games

Lost Sat, Sep 05 @  Colorado St.      13-35
Won  Sat, Sep 12 vs Northern Colorado 21-13
Lost Sat, Sep 19 @  C. Michigan       10-24
Won  Sat, Sep 26 vs Hawaii            27-10
     Sat, Oct 03 @  North Dakota St.  
     Fri, Oct 09 @  San José State    
     Sat, Oct 17 vs Northern Illinois 
     Fri, Oct 23 vs Air Force         

0 1 7% 10% 12% 12% 12% 12% 12% 11% 8% 3%
Air Force 1
Air Force Recent Games

Won  Sat, Sep 05 vs Duquesne          34-0 
Lost Sat, Sep 12 vs North Dakota St.  32-38
Won  Sat, Sep 26 @  Nevada            36-33
     Sat, Oct 03 vs Navy              
     Sat, Oct 10 @  Northern Illinois 
     Sat, Oct 17 vs UNLV              
     Fri, Oct 23 @  Wyoming           

1 2 5% 14% 16% 15% 13% 12% 10% 8% 5% 2%
New Mexico 0
New Mexico Recent Games

Won  Sat, Sep 05 vs C. Michigan       38-7 
Won  Sat, Sep 12 vs Mercyhurst        70-7 
Lost Sat, Sep 19 @  Oklahoma           6-14
Won  Sat, Sep 26 @  New Mexico St.    42-18
     Sat, Oct 03 vs UTEP              
     Sat, Oct 17 @  Hawaii            
     Sat, Oct 24 vs North Dakota St.  
     Sat, Oct 31 @  San José State    

0 0 18% 15% 13% 11% 10% 9% 8% 7% 5% 3%
San José State 0
San José State Recent Games

Lost Sat, Aug 29 @  USC               26-42
Won  Fri, Sep 04 @  E. Michigan       27-21
Won  Sat, Sep 12 vs Cal Poly          30-20
Lost Sat, Sep 19 vs Fresno State      10-26
     Sat, Oct 03 @  Hawaii            
     Fri, Oct 09 vs Wyoming           
     Sat, Oct 17 @  UTEP              
     Sat, Oct 24 @  Nevada            

0 0 13% 15% 13% 12% 10% 10% 8% 8% 7% 5%
UTEP 0
UTEP Recent Games

Lost Fri, Sep 04 @  Oklahoma           0-51
Won  Sat, Sep 12 vs Texas Southern    51-10
Lost Sat, Sep 19 @  Michigan          17-52
Lost Sat, Sep 26 vs Oregon St.         7-33
     Sat, Oct 03 @  New Mexico        
     Sat, Oct 10 vs Nevada            
     Sat, Oct 17 vs San José State    
     Sat, Oct 31 @  North Dakota St.  

0 0 3% 5% 8% 10% 11% 11% 12% 12% 13% 14%
Northern Illinois 0
Northern Illinois Recent Games

Lost Sat, Sep 05 @  Iowa               0-40
Lost Sat, Sep 12 vs Illinois State    24-28
Lost Sat, Sep 19 @  Arizona           17-42
Lost Sat, Sep 26 @  Georgia St.       14-35
     Sat, Oct 10 vs Air Force         
     Sat, Oct 17 @  Wyoming           
     Sat, Oct 24 vs Hawaii            
     Sat, Oct 31 @  UNLV              

0 0 <1% 2% 4% 6% 9% 11% 13% 15% 18% 21%
Nevada 0
Nevada Recent Games

Won  Sat, Sep 05 vs W. Kentucky       49-14
Lost Sat, Sep 12 vs Montana State      7-20
Lost Sat, Sep 19 @  Middle Tenn. St.  20-27
Lost Sat, Sep 26 vs Air Force         33-36
     Sat, Oct 10 @  UTEP              
     Sat, Oct 17 @  North Dakota St.  
     Sat, Oct 24 vs San José State    
     Sat, Oct 31 @  UCLA              

1 1 <1% 1% 3% 5% 8% 10% 13% 15% 20% 25%
Hawaii 0
Hawaii Recent Games

Lost Sat, Aug 29 @  Stanford          27-37
Lost Sat, Sep 05 vs UNLV               6-21
Won  Sat, Sep 12 vs New Mexico St.    29-19
Lost Sat, Sep 26 @  Wyoming           10-27
     Sat, Oct 03 vs San José State    
     Sat, Oct 10 @  Arizona St.       
     Sat, Oct 17 vs New Mexico        
     Sat, Oct 24 @  Northern Illinois 

2 2 <1% 1% 3% 5% 9% 11% 13% 15% 18% 25%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant


(10) Warriors 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
(2)UNLV 1 0 <1%
(1)North Dakota St. 1 0 <1%
(3)Wyoming 1 0 <1%
(4)Air Force 1 1 <1%
(5)New Mexico 0 0 <1%
(6)San José State 0 0 <1%
(7)UTEP 0 0 <1%
(8)Northern Illinois 0 0 <1%
(9)Nevada 0 1 <1%



Warriors Conference Schedule
Current Week 5
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 UNLV
(2‑2)
6‑21 Home Sat Sep 5, 10:00 pm
4 Wyoming
(2‑2)
10‑27 Away Sat Sep 26, 3:00 pm
5 San José State
(2‑2)
  Home Sat Oct 3, 11:59 pm
7 New Mexico
(3‑1)
  Home Sat Oct 17, TBD
8 Northern Illinois
(0‑4)
  Away Sat Oct 24, TBD
10 UTEP
(1‑3)
  Away Sat Nov 7, TBD
11 North Dakota St.
(4‑0)
  Home Sat Nov 14, 11:59 pm
12 Nevada
(1‑3)
  Away Sat Nov 21, TBD


Warriors Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Stanford
(2‑2)
ACCACC 27‑37 Away Sat Aug 29, 7:00 pm
2 New Mexico St.
(1‑3)
Conference USAConf. USA 29‑19 Home Sat Sep 12, 11:59 pm
6 Arizona St.
(2‑1)
Big 12Big 12   Away Sat Oct 10, TBD
13 Sacramento St.
(1‑4)
MACMAC   Home Sat Nov 28, 11:00 pm