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Sun Oct 18 10:45 am

Mountain West Football - Week 8 of 13

Hawaii Warriors Standings

Are the Hawaii Warriors going to play in the Conference Championship game? The Hawaii standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Mountain West Football Standings
Record Rcrd Regular Season Finish
Team Wi
Schedule Content
Number of Wins
-----
Hover/Touch Content
Recent Games
L GPi
Games Played
8 game season
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
North Dakota St. 3i
North Dakota St. Recent Games

Won  Sat, Sep 19 @  Sacramento St.    31-10
Won  Sat, Oct 03 vs Wyoming           28-0 
Lost Sat, Oct 10 @  UNLV               7-13
Won  Sat, Oct 17 vs Nevada            31-17
     Sat, Oct 24 @  New Mexico        
     Sat, Oct 31 vs UTEP              
     Sat, Nov 14 @  Hawaii            
     Sat, Nov 21 vs Northern Illinois 

1 4 37% 26% 20% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Air Force 3
Air Force Recent Games

Won  Sat, Sep 26 @  Nevada            36-33
Won  Sat, Oct 03 vs Navy              14-9 
Won  Sat, Oct 10 @  Northern Illinois 28-7 
Won  Sat, Oct 17 vs UNLV              41-31
     Fri, Oct 23 @  Wyoming           
     Sat, Oct 31 vs UConn             
     Sat, Nov 07 @  Black Knights     
     Sat, Nov 14 vs San José State    

1 4 18% 24% 22% 17% 11% 6% 2% 1% <1% <1%
 
Wyoming 3
Wyoming Recent Games

Won  Sat, Sep 26 vs Hawaii            27-10
Lost Sat, Oct 03 @  North Dakota St.   0-28
Won  Fri, Oct 09 @  San José State    16-13
Won  Sat, Oct 17 vs Northern Illinois 41-23
     Fri, Oct 23 vs Air Force         
     Sat, Nov 07 @  UNLV              
     Sat, Nov 14 @  UTEP              
     Sat, Nov 21 vs New Mexico        

1 4 3% 7% 12% 18% 22% 21% 11% 5% <1% <1%
New Mexico 2
New Mexico Recent Games

Lost Sat, Sep 19 @  Oklahoma           6-14
Won  Sat, Sep 26 @  New Mexico St.    42-18
Won  Sat, Oct 03 vs UTEP              61-7 
Won  Sat, Oct 17 @  Hawaii            21-10
     Sat, Oct 24 vs North Dakota St.  
     Sat, Oct 31 @  San José State    
     Fri, Nov 06 @  Nevada            
     Sat, Nov 14 vs UNLV              

0 2 21% 19% 14% 13% 12% 11% 7% 2% <1% <1%
UNLV 2
UNLV Recent Games

Won  Sat, Sep 26 @  Akron             38-10
Won  Sat, Oct 03 vs California        39-31
Won  Sat, Oct 10 vs North Dakota St.  13-7 
Lost Sat, Oct 17 @  Air Force         31-41
     Sat, Oct 31 vs Northern Illinois 
     Sat, Nov 07 vs Wyoming           
     Sat, Nov 14 @  New Mexico        
     Sat, Nov 21 @  San José State    

1 3 15% 15% 17% 17% 16% 11% 7% 3% 1% <1%
San José State 2
San José State Recent Games

Lost Sat, Sep 19 vs Fresno State      10-26
Won  Sat, Oct 03 @  Hawaii            20-16
Lost Fri, Oct 09 vs Wyoming           13-16
Won  Sat, Oct 17 @  UTEP              24-11
     Sat, Oct 24 @  Nevada            
     Sat, Oct 31 vs New Mexico        
     Sat, Nov 07 vs Northern Illinois 
     Sat, Nov 14 @  Air Force         

1 3 5% 8% 11% 15% 17% 18% 16% 7% 2% <1%
Nevada 1
Nevada Recent Games

Lost Sat, Sep 19 @  Middle Tenn. St.  20-27
Lost Sat, Sep 26 vs Air Force         33-36
Won  Sat, Oct 10 @  UTEP              30-13
Lost Sat, Oct 17 @  North Dakota St.  17-31
     Sat, Oct 24 vs San José State    
     Sat, Oct 31 @  UCLA              
     Fri, Nov 06 vs New Mexico        
     Sat, Nov 14 @  Northern Illinois 

2 3 <1% 1% 4% 8% 13% 17% 22% 17% 11% 5%
Northern Illinois 0
Northern Illinois Recent Games

Lost Sat, Sep 19 @  Arizona           17-42
Lost Sat, Sep 26 @  Georgia St.       14-35
Lost Sat, Oct 10 vs Air Force          7-28
Lost Sat, Oct 17 @  Wyoming           23-41
     Sat, Oct 24 vs Hawaii            
     Sat, Oct 31 @  UNLV              
     Sat, Nov 07 @  San José State    
     Sat, Nov 14 vs Nevada            

2 2 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 13% 21% 26% 30%
UTEP 0
UTEP Recent Games

Lost Sat, Sep 26 vs Oregon St.         7-33
Lost Sat, Oct 03 @  New Mexico         7-61
Lost Sat, Oct 10 vs Nevada            13-30
Lost Sat, Oct 17 vs San José State    11-24
     Sat, Oct 31 @  North Dakota St.  
     Sat, Nov 07 vs Hawaii            
     Sat, Nov 14 vs Wyoming           
     Fri, Nov 20 @  Air Force         

3 3 <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 6% 10% 23% 30% 28%
Hawaii 0
Hawaii Recent Games

Lost Sat, Sep 26 @  Wyoming           10-27
Lost Sat, Oct 03 vs San José State    16-20
Lost Sat, Oct 10 @  Arizona St.       12-30
Lost Sat, Oct 17 vs New Mexico        10-21
     Sat, Oct 24 @  Northern Illinois 
     Sat, Nov 07 @  UTEP              
     Sat, Nov 14 vs North Dakota St.  
     Sat, Nov 21 @  Nevada            

4 4 <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 2% 10% 21% 29% 37%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant


(10) Warriors 1st Round Playoff Matchup Probabilities
Record Probability
Opponent W L
(2)Air Force 3 1 <1%
(3)Wyoming 3 1 <1%
(4)New Mexico 2 0 <1%
(5)UNLV 2 1 <1%
(6)San José State 2 1 <1%
(1)North Dakota St. 3 1 X
(7)Nevada 1 2 X
(8)Northern Illinois 0 2 X
(9)UTEP 0 3 X



Warriors Conference Schedule
Current Week 8
Week Wk Opponent Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 UNLV
(4‑3)
6‑21 Home Sat Sep 5, 10:00 pm
4 Wyoming
(4‑3)
10‑27 Away Sat Sep 26, 3:00 pm
5 San José State
(4‑3)
16‑20 Home Sat Oct 3, 11:59 pm
7 New Mexico
(5‑1)
10‑21 Home Sat Oct 17, 10:30 pm
8 Northern Illinois
(0‑6)
  Away Sat Oct 24, 3:30 pm
10 UTEP
(1‑6)
  Away Sat Nov 7, TBD
11 North Dakota St.
(6‑1)
  Home Sat Nov 14, 11:59 pm
12 Nevada
(2‑4)
  Away Sat Nov 21, TBD


Warriors Nonconference Schedule
Week Wk Opponent Conference Score Home / Away Date / Time (ET)
1 Stanford
(3‑4)
ACCACC 27‑37 Away Sat Aug 29, 7:00 pm
2 New Mexico St.
(2‑4)
Conference USAConf. USA 29‑19 Home Sat Sep 12, 11:59 pm
6 Arizona St.
(3‑3)
Big 12Big 12 12‑30 Away Sat Oct 10, 10:30 pm
13 Sacramento St.
(1‑6)
MACMAC   Home Sat Nov 28, 11:00 pm