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Sun Nov 9 2:45 am

Mountain West Football - Week 12 of 14

Nevada Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the Nevada Wolf Pack are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Wolf Pack final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Nevada Wolf Pack fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

Nevada Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
Nevada Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
New Mexico
(6‑3)

vs
Colorado St.
(2‑7)
0 New Mexico Wins X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 4% 5% 13% 76%
Current Probabilities X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 5% 12% 77%
Colorado St. Wins X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 5% 87%
Nevada
(1‑8)

vs
San José State
(3‑6)
0 Nevada Wins X X X X <1% <1% 1% 3% 8% 11% 21% 57%
Current Probabilities X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 5% 12% 77%
San José State Wins X X X X X X X X 1% 2% 8% 90%
UNLV
(7‑2)

vs
Utah St.
(5‑4)
0 UNLV Wins X X X X X X <1% 1% 4% 5% 12% 77%
Current Probabilities X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 5% 12% 77%
Utah St. Wins X X X X <1% <1% 1% 1% 4% 5% 12% 77%
Fresno State
(6‑3)

vs
Wyoming
(4‑5)
0 Fresno State Wins X X X X X <1% <1% 2% 4% 6% 11% 77%
Current Probabilities X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 5% 12% 77%
Wyoming Wins X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 2% 5% 14% 78%
San Diego State
(7‑2)

vs
Boise State
(6‑3)
0 San Diego State Wins X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 5% 12% 77%
Current Probabilities X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 5% 12% 77%
Boise State Wins X X X X <1% <1% <1% 1% 4% 5% 12% 77%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant