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Sun Oct 18 10:45 am

Mountain West Football - Week 8 of 13

North Dakota St. Most Important Games

The Most Important Games for the North Dakota St. Bisons are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Bisons final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. North Dakota St. Bisons fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.

North Dakota St. Most Important Games
Game Importance
Factor
(0‑∼100)
Game
Winner
North Dakota St. Resultant Probabilities
Regular Season Finish
1*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
2*
Conference Championship
Game Participant
3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
North Dakota St.
(6‑1)

vs
New Mexico
(5‑1)
54 North Dakota St. Wins 62% 25% 9% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 37% 26% 20% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
New Mexico Wins 5% 29% 35% 21% 7% 2% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Wyoming
(4‑3)

vs
Air Force
(5‑1)
6 Wyoming Wins 38% 30% 18% 9% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 37% 26% 20% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Air Force Wins 36% 25% 21% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Nevada
(2‑4)

vs
San José State
(4‑3)
3 Nevada Wins 39% 27% 19% 11% 3% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 37% 26% 20% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
San José State Wins 36% 26% 20% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Northern Illinois
(0‑6)

vs
Hawaii
(1‑6)
1 Northern Illinois Wins 37% 26% 20% 12% 4% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%
Current Probabilities 37% 26% 20% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Hawaii Wins 36% 26% 20% 12% 4% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • * denotes Conference Championship Game Participant