The Most Important Games for the San Diego State Aztecs are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Aztecs final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. San Diego State Aztecs fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
San Diego State Resultant Probabilities | |||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
| 1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | |||
| San Diego State (6‑1) vs Wyoming (4‑4) |
23 | San Diego State Wins | 38% | 21% | 17% | 12% | 7% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wyoming Wins | 20% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fresno State (5‑3) vs Boise State (6‑2) |
4 | Fresno State Wins | 35% | 20% | 14% | 10% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Boise State Wins | 33% | 18% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| San José State (2‑5) vs Hawaii (6‑2) |
3 | San José State Wins | 37% | 18% | 17% | 9% | 7% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Hawaii Wins | 33% | 19% | 16% | 13% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| New Mexico (5‑3) vs UNLV (6‑1) |
2 | New Mexico Wins | 36% | 19% | 14% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 19% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| UNLV Wins | 33% | 20% | 16% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ||