Are the San Diego State Aztecs going to play in the Conference Championship game? The San Diego State standings table presents the probabilities of the teams different finishings including qualifing to play in the conference championship game. All future unplayed conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Record Rcrd | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team | Wi Schedule Content Number of Wins ----- Hover/Touch Content Recent Games |
L | GPi Games Played 8 game season |
1* Conference Championship Game Participant |
2* Conference Championship Game Participant |
3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
| San Diego State | 4i San Diego State Recent Games Won Fri, Oct 03 vs Colorado St. 45-24 Won Sat, Oct 11 @ Nevada 44-10 Won Sat, Oct 25 @ Fresno State 23-0 Won Sat, Nov 01 vs Wyoming 24-7 Sat, Nov 08 @ Hawaii Sat, Nov 15 vs Boise State Sat, Nov 22 vs San José State Fri, Nov 28 @ New Mexico |
0 | 4 | 54% | 15% | 12% | 7% | 6% | 4% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| Boise State | 4 Boise State Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 11 vs New Mexico 41-25 Won Sat, Oct 18 vs UNLV 56-31 Won Fri, Oct 24 @ Nevada 24-3 Lost Sat, Nov 01 vs Fresno State 7-30 Sat, Nov 15 @ San Diego State Sat, Nov 22 vs Colorado St. Fri, Nov 28 @ Utah St. |
1 | 5 | 30% | 20% | 18% | 12% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| New Mexico | 3 New Mexico Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ Boise State 25-41 Won Sat, Oct 18 vs Nevada 24-22 Won Sat, Oct 25 vs Utah St. 33-14 Won Sat, Nov 01 @ UNLV 40-35 Sat, Nov 15 vs Colorado St. Sat, Nov 22 @ Air Force Fri, Nov 28 vs San Diego State |
2 | 5 | 6% | 17% | 15% | 17% | 17% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Fresno State | 3 Fresno State Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 04 vs Nevada 20-17 Lost Fri, Oct 10 @ Colorado St. 21-49 Lost Sat, Oct 25 vs San Diego State 0-23 Won Sat, Nov 01 @ Boise State 30-7 Sat, Nov 15 vs Wyoming Sat, Nov 22 vs Utah St. Sat, Nov 29 @ San José State |
2 | 5 | 3% | 21% | 15% | 15% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 8% | 4% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Hawaii | 3 Hawaii Recent Games Won Sat, Sep 27 @ Air Force 44-35 Won Sat, Oct 11 vs Utah St. 44-26 Won Sat, Oct 18 @ Colorado St. 31-19 Lost Sat, Nov 01 @ San José State 38-45 Sat, Nov 08 vs San Diego State Fri, Nov 21 @ UNLV Sat, Nov 29 vs Wyoming |
2 | 5 | 3% | 7% | 8% | 12% | 14% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Utah St. | 2 Utah St. Recent Games Lost Sat, Sep 27 @ Vanderbilt 35-55 Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ Hawaii 26-44 Won Fri, Oct 17 vs San José State 30-25 Lost Sat, Oct 25 @ New Mexico 14-33 Sat, Nov 08 vs Nevada Sat, Nov 15 @ UNLV Sat, Nov 22 @ Fresno State Fri, Nov 28 vs Boise State |
2 | 4 | 1% | 5% | 7% | 9% | 9% | 12% | 17% | 17% | 14% | 7% | 3% | <1% |
| San José State | 2 San José State Recent Games Won Fri, Oct 03 vs New Mexico 35-28 Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ Wyoming 28-35 Lost Fri, Oct 17 @ Utah St. 25-30 Won Sat, Nov 01 vs Hawaii 45-38 Sat, Nov 08 vs Air Force Sat, Nov 15 @ Nevada Sat, Nov 22 @ San Diego State Sat, Nov 29 vs Fresno State |
2 | 4 | 2% | 4% | 6% | 8% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 6% | 3% |
| UNLV | 2 UNLV Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 04 @ Wyoming 31-17 Won Sat, Oct 11 vs Air Force 51-48 Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ Boise State 31-56 Lost Sat, Nov 01 vs New Mexico 35-40 Sat, Nov 08 @ Colorado St. Sat, Nov 15 vs Utah St. Fri, Nov 21 vs Hawaii Sat, Nov 29 @ Nevada |
2 | 4 | 1% | 10% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 15% | 10% | 7% | 4% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Wyoming | 2 Wyoming Recent Games Won Sat, Oct 11 vs San José State 35-28 Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ Air Force 21-24 Won Sat, Oct 25 vs Colorado St. 28-0 Lost Sat, Nov 01 @ San Diego State 7-24 Sat, Nov 15 @ Fresno State Sat, Nov 22 vs Nevada Sat, Nov 29 @ Hawaii |
3 | 5 | <1% | 1% | 2% | 4% | 7% | 12% | 14% | 18% | 23% | 13% | 6% | 1% |
| Colorado St. | 1 Colorado St. Recent Games Lost Fri, Oct 03 @ San Diego State 24-45 Won Fri, Oct 10 vs Fresno State 49-21 Lost Sat, Oct 18 vs Hawaii 19-31 Lost Sat, Oct 25 @ Wyoming 0-28 Sat, Nov 08 vs UNLV Sat, Nov 15 @ New Mexico Sat, Nov 22 @ Boise State Fri, Nov 28 vs Air Force |
3 | 4 | <1% | <1% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 3% | 3% | 5% | 11% | 30% | 30% | 14% |
| Air Force | 1 Air Force Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Navy 31-34 Lost Sat, Oct 11 @ UNLV 48-51 Won Sat, Oct 18 vs Wyoming 24-21 Lost Sat, Nov 01 vs Black Knights 17-20 Sat, Nov 08 @ San José State Sat, Nov 15 @ UConn Sat, Nov 22 vs New Mexico Fri, Nov 28 @ Colorado St. |
4 | 5 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 8% | 12% | 23% | 36% | 15% |
| Nevada | 0 Nevada Recent Games Lost Sat, Oct 04 @ Fresno State 17-20 Lost Sat, Oct 11 vs San Diego State 10-44 Lost Sat, Oct 18 @ New Mexico 22-24 Lost Fri, Oct 24 vs Boise State 3-24 Sat, Nov 08 @ Utah St. Sat, Nov 15 vs San José State Sat, Nov 22 @ Wyoming Sat, Nov 29 vs UNLV |
4 | 4 | X | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | <1% | 1% | 2% | 5% | 7% | 17% | 66% |
| Record | Probability | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Opponent | W | L | |
| (2)Boise State | 4 | 1 | 26% |
| (4)Fresno State | 3 | 2 | 18% |
| (3)New Mexico | 3 | 2 | 8% |
| (8)UNLV | 2 | 2 | 7% |
| (6)Utah St. | 2 | 2 | 4% |
| (5)Hawaii | 3 | 2 | 4% |
| (7)San José State | 2 | 2 | 2% |
| (9)Wyoming | 2 | 3 | 1% |
| (10)Colorado St. | 1 | 3 | <1% |
| (11)Air Force | 1 | 4 | <1% |
| (12)Nevada | 0 | 4 | <1% |
| Elimination | 31% | ||
| Week Wk | Opponent | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Colorado St. (2‑6) |
45‑24 | Home | Fri Oct 3, 10:30 pm |
| 7 | Nevada (1‑7) |
44‑10 | Away | Sat Oct 11, 10:30 pm |
| 9 | Fresno State (6‑3) |
23‑0 | Away | Sat Oct 25, 3:30 pm |
| 10 | Wyoming (4‑5) |
24‑7 | Home | Sat Nov 1, 7:00 pm |
| 11 | Hawaii (6‑3) |
Away | Sat Nov 8, 11:00 pm | |
| 12 | Boise State (6‑3) |
Home | Sat Nov 15, 10:30 pm | |
| 13 | San José State (3‑5) |
Home | Sat Nov 22, TBD | |
| 14 | New Mexico (6‑3) |
Away | Fri Nov 28, 3:30 pm |
| Week Wk | Opponent | Conference | Score | Home / Away | Date / Time (ET) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Stony Brook | ‑‑ | 42‑0 | Home | Thu Aug 28, 10:00 pm |
| 2 | Washington St. (4‑5) |
NCAA IndependentsInd. | 13‑36 | Away | Sat Sep 6, 10:15 pm |
| 4 | California (5‑4) |
ACCACC | 34‑0 | Home | Sat Sep 20, 10:30 pm |
| 5 | Northern Illinois (2‑6) |
MACMAC | 6‑3 | Away | Sat Sep 27, 3:30 pm |