PlayoffStatus.com

Mon Mar 31 12:00 am

NBA - Week 24 of 25

Lakers What If?

The Lakers What If table presents playoff probabilities depended upon how the Lakers play future games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.

Lakers What If?

Next Game - Rockets (49‑26)

  Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7**
Play-in Tournament
Participant
8**
Play-in Tournament
Participant
9**
Play-in Tournament
Participant
10**
Play-in Tournament
Participant
11
Win Next Game 46 29 X 5% 22% 46% 18% 6% 2% <1% ^ ^ ^
Current Standings 45 29 X 3% 17% 42% 22% 10% 5% 2% ^ ^ ^
Lose Next Game 45 30 X <1% 9% 39% 27% 14% 8% 3% ^ ^ ^


Best/Worst Case Scenarios

  Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
  1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7**
Play-in Tournament
Participant
8**
Play-in Tournament
Participant
9**
Play-in Tournament
Participant
10**
Play-in Tournament
Participant
11
Best Case Scenario X 5% 23% 50% 15% 5% 2% <1% ^ ^ ^
Current Standings X 3% 17% 42% 22% 10% 5% 2% ^ ^ ^
Worst Case Scenario X <1% 8% 33% 29% 15% 10% 4% ^ ^ ^
Best Case Scenario
   Magic beats Clippers
   Celtics beats Grizzlies
   Lakers beats Rockets
Worst Case Scenario
   Clippers beats Magic
   Grizzlies beats Celtics
   Rockets beats Lakers
  • Notes
  • Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
  • Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three


Remaining Games

Remaining Games
Won
Winning Percentage of
Remaining Games
Resultant Record Conference Playoff Spots No Playoffs No POs
W L 1*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
2*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
3*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
4*
First Round Home Field
Advantage
5 6 7**
Play-in Tournament
Participant
8**
Play-in Tournament
Participant
9**
Play-in Tournament
Participant
10**
Play-in Tournament
Participant
11
8 of 8 100% 53 29 X 92% 8% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
7 of 8 88% 52 30 X 45% 50% 4% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
6 of 8 75% 51 31 X 10% 61% 29% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
5 of 8 63% 50 32 X <1% 32% 64% 4% <1% ^ ^ ^ ^ ^
4 of 8 50% 49 33 X <1% 7% 66% 26% 1% <1% <1% ^ ^ ^
3 of 8 38% 48 34 X X <1% 26% 50% 21% 3% <1% ^ ^ ^
2 of 8 25% 47 35 X X <1% 3% 23% 41% 29% 5% ^ ^ ^
1 of 8 13% 46 36 X X X <1% 2% 17% 49% 32% ^ ^ ^
0 of 8 0% 45 37 X X X <1% <1% 1% 24% 74% ^ ^ ^
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
  • X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
  • Table Sorting Method
  • *  denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs
  • ** denotes Play-in Tournament Participant