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NBA Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NBA Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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NBA Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Current Series NBA Champions NBA Finals Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L
Celtics Eastern 66 16 3-2 88% 100% ^ ^ ^
Lakers Western 57 25 2-3 12% 100% ^ ^ ^
Pistons Eastern 59 23   X X 100% ^ ^
Spurs Western 56 26   X X 100% ^ ^
Hornets Western 56 26   X X X 100% ^
Jazz Western 54 28   X X X 100% ^
Magic Eastern 52 30   X X X 100% ^
Cavaliers Eastern 45 37   X X X 100% ^
Rockets Western 55 27   X X X X 100%
Suns Western 55 27   X X X X 100%
Mavericks Western 51 31   X X X X 100%
Nuggets Western 50 32   X X X X 100%
Wizards Eastern 43 39   X X X X 100%
Raptors Eastern 41 41   X X X X 100%
Sixers Eastern 40 42   X X X X 100%
Hawks Eastern 37 45   X X X X 100%
Warriors Western 48 34   X X X X X
Trail Blazers Western 41 41   X X X X X
Kings Western 38 44   X X X X X
Pacers Eastern 36 46   X X X X X
Nets Eastern 34 48   X X X X X
Bulls Eastern 33 49   X X X X X
Bobcats Eastern 32 50   X X X X X
Bucks Eastern 26 56   X X X X X
Knicks Eastern 23 59   X X X X X
Clippers Western 23 59   X X X X X
Timberwolves Western 22 60   X X X X X
Grizzlies Western 22 60   X X X X X
Sonics Western 20 62   X X X X X
Heat Eastern 15 67   X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot

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