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NBA Post Season Probabilities

How far is your team going to proceed into the playoffs? The NBA Post Season Probabilities table presents the probabilities that your team will proceed to different playoff rounds. All future unplayed games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths. Click a team name to proceed to the team playoff picture page.


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NBA Post Season Probabilities

  Record  Current Series NBA Champions NBA Finals Conference Championship Round 2 Round 1
Team Conference W L
Cavaliers Eastern 55 15   48% 68% 88% 99% 100%
Lakers Western 51 18   22% 46% 65% 86% 100%
Magic Eastern 49 21   10% 20% 62% 93% 100%
Nuggets Western 47 22   5% 17% 37% 68% >99%
Mavericks Western 46 22   5% 16% 37% 69% >99%
Hawks Eastern 44 24   2% 6% 21% 79% >99%
Celtics Eastern 44 24   2% 6% 23% 79% >99%
Jazz Western 44 25   2% 7% 18% 50% >99%
Suns Western 43 26   1% 4% 12% 39% >99%
Thunder Western 42 25   1% 5% 13% 38% >99%
Spurs Western 41 26   1% 3% 10% 25% 98%
Trail Blazers Western 42 28   <1% 2% 8% 24% 99%
Bucks Eastern 37 30   <1% <1% 2% 24% >99%
Bobcats Eastern 35 33   <1% <1% 1% 13% 98%
Heat Eastern 35 34   <1% <1% 1% 10% 99%
Raptors Eastern 33 34   <1% <1% 1% 4% 90%
Rockets Western 35 32   <1% <1% <1% <1% 3%
Bulls Eastern 31 37   <1% <1% <1% <1% 14%
Grizzlies Western 36 33   <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Hornets Western 33 37   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Clippers Western 26 43   X X X X X
Knicks Eastern 25 44   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Sixers Eastern 24 45   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Pistons Eastern 23 46   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Pacers Eastern 23 46   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Kings Western 23 46   X X X X X
Wizards Eastern 21 46   <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
Warriors Western 19 49   X X X X X
Timberwolves Western 14 56   X X X X X
Nets Eastern 7 61   X X X X X
  • Notes
  • ^ means the team has already proceeded to the next playoff round
  • X means the team did not proceed to this playoff round
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
  • 50% - probability the team will proceed to this playoff round - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot

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