Dallas Mavericks What If?

Mavericks What If?

Next Game - Cavaliers (39‑9)

	Resultant Record		Conference Playoff Spots										No Playoffs No POs
	W	L	1^* First Round Home Field Advantage	2^* First Round Home Field Advantage	3^* First Round Home Field Advantage	4^* First Round Home Field Advantage	5	6	7^** Play-in	8^** Play-in	9^** Play-in	10^** Play-in	11
Win Next Game	27	23	<1%	<1%	1%	3%	8%	12%	16%	18%	17%	13%	12%
Current Standings	26	23	<1%	<1%	1%	3%	6%	11%	14%	17%	17%	15%	17%
Lose Next Game	26	24	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	5%	10%	15%	17%	17%	15%	18%

Best/Worst Case Scenarios

	Conference Playoff Spots										No Playoffs No POs
	1^* First Round Home Field Advantage	2^* First Round Home Field Advantage	3^* First Round Home Field Advantage	4^* First Round Home Field Advantage	5	6	7^** Play-in	8^** Play-in	9^** Play-in	10^** Play-in	11
Best Case Scenario	<1%	<1%	2%	4%	8%	13%	16%	18%	15%	12%	12%
Current Standings	<1%	<1%	1%	3%	6%	11%	14%	17%	17%	15%	17%
Worst Case Scenario	<1%	<1%	1%	2%	6%	10%	14%	16%	17%	15%	18%
Best Case Scenario Mavericks beats Cavaliers Raptors beats Clippers Magic beats Warriors						Worst Case Scenario Cavaliers beats Mavericks Clippers beats Raptors Warriors beats Magic

Notes
Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three

Remaining Games

Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	Resultant Record		Conference Playoff Spots										No Playoffs No POs
Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	W	L	1^* First Round Home Field Advantage	2^* First Round Home Field Advantage	3^* First Round Home Field Advantage	4^* First Round Home Field Advantage	5	6	7^** Play-in	8^** Play-in	9^** Play-in	10^** Play-in	11
33 of 33	100%	59	23	11%	85%	3%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	^	^	^	^
32 of 33	97%	58	24	6%	86%	8%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	^	^	^	^
31 of 33	94%	57	25	3%	81%	15%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	^	^	^
30 of 33	91%	56	26	1%	70%	27%	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	^	^
29 of 33	88%	55	27	1%	55%	39%	6%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	^
28 of 33	85%	54	28	<1%	38%	47%	14%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
27 of 33	82%	53	29	<1%	24%	48%	24%	4%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
26 of 33	79%	52	30	<1%	12%	39%	36%	11%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
25 of 33	76%	51	31	<1%	4%	26%	42%	23%	4%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
24 of 33	73%	50	32	<1%	2%	14%	37%	35%	12%	1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
23 of 33	70%	49	33	<1%	<1%	5%	25%	41%	24%	5%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%
22 of 33	67%	48	34	<1%	<1%	1%	12%	35%	36%	14%	2%	<1%	<1%	<1%
21 of 33	64%	47	35	<1%	<1%	<1%	4%	22%	40%	27%	7%	1%	<1%	<1%
20 of 33	61%	46	36	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	10%	33%	37%	16%	3%	<1%	<1%
19 of 33	58%	45	37	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	3%	18%	39%	29%	9%	1%	<1%
18 of 33	55%	44	38	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	8%	28%	38%	21%	4%	<1%
17 of 33	52%	43	39	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	15%	36%	33%	12%	2%
16 of 33	48%	42	40	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	6%	25%	39%	25%	6%
15 of 33	45%	41	41	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	12%	34%	37%	16%
14 of 33	42%	40	42	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	4%	23%	41%	32%
13 of 33	39%	39	43	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	2%	11%	36%	51%
12 of 33	36%	38	44	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	4%	24%	72%
11 of 33	33%	37	45	X	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	1%	12%	87%
10 of 33	30%	36	46	X	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	5%	95%
5 of 33	15%	31	51	X	X	X	X	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	<1%	>99%
0 of 33	0%	26	56	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	X	100%

Notes
^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
Table Sorting Method
* denotes first round home field advantage in the playoffs
** denotes Play-in Tournament Participant

NBA - Week 15 of 25

Mavericks What If?

Mavericks What If?

Next Game - Cavaliers (39‑9)

Best/Worst Case Scenarios

Remaining Games