The Most Important Games for the Mercyhurst Lakers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lakers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mercyhurst Lakers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mercyhurst Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Mercyhurst (12‑13) vs Chicago St. (3‑20) |
1 | Mercyhurst Wins | 6% | 37% | 31% | 16% | 7% | 3% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 31% | 29% | 17% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Chicago St. Wins | 2% | 21% | 27% | 20% | 13% | 9% | 5% | 2% | 1% | ||
| St. Francis (6‑15) vs Le Moyne (7‑16) |
0 | St. Francis Wins | 5% | 31% | 29% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 31% | 29% | 17% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Le Moyne Wins | 5% | 30% | 29% | 17% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Long Island U. (9‑15) vs Wagner (12‑10) |
0 | Long Island U. Wins | 4% | 26% | 32% | 19% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 31% | 29% | 17% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Wagner Wins | 5% | 35% | 27% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Central Conn. (16‑6) vs Fair. Dickinson (9‑14) |
0 | Central Conn. Wins | 4% | 33% | 28% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 5% | 31% | 29% | 17% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Fair. Dickinson Wins | 8% | 24% | 28% | 19% | 11% | 6% | 3% | 1% | <1% | ||