The Most Important Games for the Mercyhurst Lakers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lakers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mercyhurst Lakers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mercyhurst Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Mercyhurst (3‑5) vs Fair. Dickinson (1‑6) |
11 | Mercyhurst Wins | 9% | 15% | 16% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 7% | 4% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Fair. Dickinson Wins | 6% | 11% | 14% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | ||
| New Haven (5‑4) vs Stonehill (2‑7) |
1 | New Haven Wins | 9% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Stonehill Wins | 9% | 14% | 15% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 6% | ||
| Chicago St. (1‑8) vs Wagner (1‑5) |
1 | Chicago St. Wins | 9% | 14% | 16% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Wagner Wins | 9% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | ||
| St. Francis (1‑7) vs Le Moyne (4‑5) |
0 | St. Francis Wins | 9% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Le Moyne Wins | 9% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 6% | ||
| Long Island U. (4‑3) vs Central Conn. (5‑2) |
0 | Long Island U. Wins | 10% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 6% |
| Current Probabilities | 9% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 11% | 10% | 8% | 6% | ||
| Central Conn. Wins | 9% | 14% | 16% | 14% | 12% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 6% | ||