The Most Important Games for the Mercyhurst Lakers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lakers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mercyhurst Lakers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mercyhurst Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Mercyhurst (6‑9) vs Long Island U. (7‑7) |
13 | Mercyhurst Wins | 7% | 13% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 12% | 10% | 8% | 5% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Long Island U. Wins | 3% | 8% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 13% | 13% | 11% | 9% | ||
| New Haven (6‑9) vs Le Moyne (6‑9) |
2 | New Haven Wins | 4% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Le Moyne Wins | 4% | 9% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Central Conn. (7‑6) vs Stonehill (4‑11) |
1 | Central Conn. Wins | 4% | 10% | 14% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Stonehill Wins | 5% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Chicago St. (2‑12) vs Fair. Dickinson (4‑11) |
1 | Chicago St. Wins | 4% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 10% | 9% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Fair. Dickinson Wins | 4% | 9% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | ||
| Wagner (6‑7) vs St. Francis (3‑12) |
0 | Wagner Wins | 4% | 9% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 8% |
| Current Probabilities | 4% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 11% | 9% | ||
| St. Francis Wins | 5% | 10% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 12% | 12% | 11% | 9% | ||