The Most Important Games for the Mercyhurst Lakers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Lakers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Mercyhurst Lakers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Mercyhurst Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Mercyhurst (13‑14) vs Wagner (9‑15) |
13 | Mercyhurst Wins | <1% | 12% | 22% | 45% | 16% | 5% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 18% | 42% | 20% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Wagner Wins | <1% | 3% | 12% | 38% | 28% | 17% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Chicago St. (6‑21) vs Fair. Dickinson (10‑17) |
5 | Chicago St. Wins | <1% | 9% | 20% | 48% | 16% | 6% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 18% | 42% | 20% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Fair. Dickinson Wins | <1% | 9% | 17% | 36% | 24% | 12% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ||
| New Haven (11‑15) vs Stonehill (9‑18) |
3 | New Haven Wins | <1% | 9% | 19% | 44% | 20% | 7% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 18% | 42% | 20% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Stonehill Wins | <1% | 9% | 17% | 37% | 21% | 14% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||
| St. Francis (6‑20) vs Long Island U. (17‑9) |
0 | St. Francis Wins | <1% | 9% | 19% | 42% | 19% | 9% | 2% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 18% | 42% | 20% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Long Island U. Wins | <1% | 9% | 18% | 41% | 20% | 10% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ||
| Central Conn. (15‑10) vs Le Moyne (14‑13) |
0 | Central Conn. Wins | <1% | 10% | 16% | 43% | 20% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 9% | 18% | 42% | 20% | 10% | 1% | <1% | <1% | ||
| Le Moyne Wins | <1% | 9% | 20% | 40% | 20% | 10% | 2% | <1% | <1% | ||