The Most Important Games for the Stonehill Skyhawks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Skyhawks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Stonehill Skyhawks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Stonehill Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Stonehill (9‑16) vs Chicago St. (5‑20) |
12 | Stonehill Wins | <1% | 11% | 20% | 25% | 23% | 15% | 5% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 8% | 16% | 22% | 23% | 20% | 9% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Chicago St. Wins | <1% | 4% | 11% | 19% | 24% | 25% | 12% | 4% | 1% | ||
| New Haven (10‑14) vs Central Conn. (13‑10) |
2 | New Haven Wins | <1% | 10% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 19% | 8% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 8% | 16% | 22% | 23% | 20% | 9% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Central Conn. Wins | <1% | 6% | 16% | 22% | 24% | 20% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ||
| St. Francis (6‑18) vs Fair. Dickinson (9‑16) |
1 | St. Francis Wins | <1% | 8% | 17% | 22% | 24% | 17% | 9% | 3% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 8% | 16% | 22% | 23% | 20% | 9% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Fair. Dickinson Wins | <1% | 8% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 8% | 3% | <1% | ||
| Long Island U. (16‑8) vs Wagner (8‑14) |
1 | Long Island U. Wins | <1% | 8% | 16% | 22% | 24% | 20% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 8% | 16% | 22% | 23% | 20% | 9% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Wagner Wins | <1% | 8% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 17% | 10% | 4% | 1% | ||
| Le Moyne (12‑13) vs Mercyhurst (12‑13) |
1 | Le Moyne Wins | <1% | 8% | 16% | 22% | 24% | 19% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | <1% | 8% | 16% | 22% | 23% | 20% | 9% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Mercyhurst Wins | <1% | 9% | 16% | 20% | 23% | 21% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ||