The Most Important Games for the Stonehill Skyhawks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Skyhawks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Stonehill Skyhawks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Stonehill Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First Round Home Field Advantage |
2* First Round Home Field Advantage |
3* First Round Home Field Advantage |
4* First Round Home Field Advantage |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Stonehill (9‑18) vs New Haven (11‑15) |
11 | Stonehill Wins | X | <1% | 6% | 20% | 35% | 30% | 7% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 3% | 12% | 27% | 37% | 15% | 5% | 1% | ||
| New Haven Wins | X | X | 1% | 8% | 23% | 41% | 19% | 7% | 1% | ||
| Wagner (9‑15) vs Mercyhurst (13‑14) |
2 | Wagner Wins | X | <1% | 3% | 17% | 25% | 30% | 17% | 6% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 3% | 12% | 27% | 37% | 15% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Mercyhurst Wins | X | <1% | 2% | 8% | 28% | 42% | 14% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Long Island U. (17‑9) vs St. Francis (6‑20) |
2 | Long Island U. Wins | X | <1% | 3% | 12% | 27% | 39% | 13% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 3% | 12% | 27% | 37% | 15% | 5% | 1% | ||
| St. Francis Wins | X | <1% | 3% | 11% | 25% | 31% | 20% | 9% | 1% | ||
| Chicago St. (6‑21) vs Fair. Dickinson (10‑17) |
1 | Chicago St. Wins | X | <1% | 3% | 14% | 33% | 30% | 13% | 6% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 3% | 12% | 27% | 37% | 15% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Fair. Dickinson Wins | X | <1% | 3% | 11% | 20% | 45% | 17% | 4% | <1% | ||
| Central Conn. (15‑10) vs Le Moyne (14‑13) |
0 | Central Conn. Wins | X | <1% | 3% | 12% | 26% | 37% | 15% | 5% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 3% | 12% | 27% | 37% | 15% | 5% | 1% | ||
| Le Moyne Wins | X | <1% | 1% | 13% | 28% | 37% | 15% | 5% | 1% | ||