The Stonehill Skyhawks What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Stonehill plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Win Next Game | 3 | 2 | 15% | 18% | 19% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Standings | 2 | 2 | 12% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% |
| Lose Next Game | 2 | 3 | 8% | 12% | 16% | 15% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 4% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Best Case Scenario | 12% | 16% | 17% | 16% | 13% | 11% | 9% | 5% | 2% |
| Current Standings | 12% | 16% | 17% | 15% | 13% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 2% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 14% | 16% | 16% | 14% | 13% | 10% | 8% | 6% | 3% |
|
Best Case Scenario Long Island U. beats St. Francis Wagner beats Mercyhurst Le Moyne beats Chicago St. |
Worst Case Scenario St. Francis beats Long Island U. Mercyhurst beats Wagner Chicago St. beats Le Moyne |
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| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | ||
| 12 of 12 | 100% | 14 | 2 | 99% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 12 | 92% | 13 | 3 | 93% | 7% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 12 | 83% | 12 | 4 | 74% | 25% | 1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 12 | 75% | 11 | 5 | 38% | 49% | 12% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 12 | 67% | 10 | 6 | 8% | 39% | 42% | 10% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 7 of 12 | 58% | 9 | 7 | <1% | 7% | 37% | 42% | 13% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 6 of 12 | 50% | 8 | 8 | X | <1% | 4% | 28% | 43% | 21% | 4% | <1% | ^ |
| 5 of 12 | 42% | 7 | 9 | X | X | <1% | 2% | 19% | 43% | 29% | 6% | <1% |
| 4 of 12 | 33% | 6 | 10 | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 15% | 43% | 35% | 7% |
| 3 of 12 | 25% | 5 | 11 | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 15% | 52% | 33% |
| 2 of 12 | 17% | 4 | 12 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 29% | 70% |
| 1 of 12 | 8% | 3 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 9% | 91% |
| 0 of 12 | 0% | 2 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 1% | 99% |