The Most Important Games for the Morehead St. Eagles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Eagles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Morehead St. Eagles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Morehead St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Morehead St. (2‑3) vs Tenn-MartinTN-Martin (2‑2) |
25 | Morehead St. Wins | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 22% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 27% | ||
| Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Wins | 6% | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 29% | ||
| SE Missouri St. (2‑3) vs Eastern Illinois (1‑4) |
4 | SE Missouri St. Wins | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 27% | ||
| Eastern Illinois Wins | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 28% | ||
| SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville (4‑3) vs UALR (3‑2) |
1 | SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Wins | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 27% | ||
| UALR Wins | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 27% | ||
| Tennessee Tech (3‑3) vs Western Illinois (2‑3) |
1 | Tennessee Tech Wins | 8% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 27% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 27% | ||
| Western Illinois Wins | 8% | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 28% | ||
| Southern Indiana (1‑4) vs Tennessee St. (3‑3) |
1 | Southern Indiana Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 26% |
| Current Probabilities | 8% | 9% | 9% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 27% | ||
| Tennessee St. Wins | 9% | 10% | 10% | 10% | 8% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 27% | ||