The Most Important Games for the Morehead St. Eagles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Eagles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Morehead St. Eagles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Morehead St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Morehead St. (12‑12) vs Tenn-MartinTN-Martin (19‑5) |
55 | Morehead St. Wins | 3% | 14% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 14% | 3% | <1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 13% | 20% | 24% | 24% | 8% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Wins | <1% | 3% | 11% | 20% | 26% | 27% | 10% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Western Illinois (4‑20) vs Tennessee St. (15‑8) |
10 | Western Illinois Wins | 2% | 8% | 15% | 20% | 22% | 22% | 8% | 2% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 13% | 20% | 24% | 24% | 8% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Tennessee St. Wins | 1% | 6% | 13% | 20% | 25% | 24% | 8% | 3% | 1% | ||
| Southern Indiana (5‑18) vs SE Missouri St. (14‑10) |
10 | Southern Indiana Wins | 1% | 8% | 16% | 21% | 23% | 21% | 8% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 13% | 20% | 24% | 24% | 8% | 2% | 1% | ||
| SE Missouri St. Wins | 1% | 6% | 13% | 19% | 24% | 25% | 8% | 2% | 1% | ||
| UALR (9‑15) vs SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville (15‑9) |
5 | UALR Wins | 1% | 7% | 14% | 22% | 25% | 18% | 9% | 3% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 13% | 20% | 24% | 24% | 8% | 2% | 1% | ||
| SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Wins | 1% | 6% | 13% | 18% | 23% | 27% | 8% | 2% | <1% | ||
| Tennessee Tech (10‑14) vs Eastern Illinois (9‑15) |
1 | Tennessee Tech Wins | 1% | 7% | 13% | 20% | 24% | 24% | 8% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 1% | 6% | 13% | 20% | 24% | 24% | 8% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Eastern Illinois Wins | 1% | 6% | 13% | 20% | 24% | 24% | 9% | 3% | <1% | ||