The Most Important Games for the Morehead St. Eagles are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Eagles final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Morehead St. Eagles fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Morehead St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Morehead St. (10‑7) vs Western Illinois (8‑9) |
38 | Morehead St. Wins | 36% | 21% | 16% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 21% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Western Illinois Wins | 25% | 20% | 16% | 13% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | ||
| Tennessee St. (6‑11) vs SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville (11‑6) |
7 | Tennessee St. Wins | 35% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 7% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 21% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Wins | 33% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Tenn-MartinTN-Martin (7‑10) vs Eastern Illinois (5‑11) |
2 | Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Wins | 34% | 21% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 21% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Eastern Illinois Wins | 33% | 20% | 16% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Southern Indiana (6‑10) vs Lindenwood (8‑9) |
2 | Southern Indiana Wins | 34% | 21% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 21% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| Lindenwood Wins | 34% | 20% | 15% | 11% | 8% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| UALR (9‑7) vs SE Missouri St. (9‑8) |
0 | UALR Wins | 34% | 20% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% |
| Current Probabilities | 33% | 21% | 15% | 12% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||
| SE Missouri St. Wins | 34% | 20% | 16% | 11% | 8% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | ||