The Most Important Games for the Tenn-Martin Skyhawks are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Skyhawks final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Tenn-Martin Skyhawks fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Tenn-Martin Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Tenn-MartinTN-Martin (12‑4) vs Southern Indiana (3‑12) |
28 | Tenn-MartinTN-Martin Wins | 40% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Southern Indiana Wins | 30% | 25% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% | ||
| Morehead St. (7‑9) vs SE Missouri St. (8‑7) |
4 | Morehead St. Wins | 40% | 24% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| SE Missouri St. Wins | 38% | 25% | 16% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Eastern Illinois (5‑9) vs Tennessee St. (10‑5) |
4 | Eastern Illinois Wins | 43% | 22% | 14% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Tennessee St. Wins | 37% | 26% | 16% | 10% | 5% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| UALR (6‑9) vs Lindenwood (9‑6) |
3 | UALR Wins | 40% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Lindenwood Wins | 39% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Western Illinois (4‑12) vs Tennessee Tech (6‑10) |
1 | Western Illinois Wins | 39% | 25% | 16% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Probabilities | 39% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||
| Tennessee Tech Wins | 39% | 24% | 15% | 10% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% | ||