The Tenn-Martin Skyhawks What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Tenn-Martin plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Win Next Game | 4 | 3 | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 17% |
| Current Standings | 3 | 3 | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 23% |
| Lose Next Game | 3 | 4 | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 30% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Best Case Scenario | 2% | 5% | 8% | 11% | 14% | 15% | 16% | 12% | 17% |
| Current Standings | 2% | 4% | 7% | 10% | 13% | 14% | 14% | 13% | 23% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 1% | 3% | 5% | 7% | 11% | 13% | 15% | 15% | 30% |
|
Best Case Scenario Tenn-Martin beats Eastern Illinois |
Worst Case Scenario Eastern Illinois beats Tenn-Martin |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | ||
| 14 of 14 | 100% | 17 | 3 | 96% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 14 | 93% | 16 | 4 | 85% | 15% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 14 | 86% | 15 | 5 | 60% | 36% | 4% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 14 | 79% | 14 | 6 | 28% | 50% | 20% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 14 | 71% | 13 | 7 | 6% | 31% | 43% | 18% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 14 | 64% | 12 | 8 | 1% | 8% | 30% | 41% | 18% | 2% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 14 | 57% | 11 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 7% | 29% | 42% | 20% | 3% | <1% | ^ |
| 7 of 14 | 50% | 10 | 10 | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 26% | 43% | 23% | 4% | <1% |
| 6 of 14 | 43% | 9 | 11 | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 23% | 41% | 26% | 7% |
| 5 of 14 | 36% | 8 | 12 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 20% | 41% | 37% |
| 4 of 14 | 29% | 7 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 19% | 78% |
| 3 of 14 | 21% | 6 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 97% |
| 2 of 14 | 14% | 5 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| 1 of 14 | 7% | 4 | 16 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 14 | 0% | 3 | 17 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |