The Tenn-Martin Skyhawks What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Tenn-Martin plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Win Next Game | 1 | 0 | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 16% |
| Current Standings | 0 | 0 | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 19% |
| Lose Next Game | 0 | 1 | 10% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 20% |
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Best Case Scenario | 16% | 13% | 11% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 15% |
| Current Standings | 14% | 12% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 8% | 19% |
| Worst Case Scenario | 11% | 11% | 11% | 10% | 10% | 9% | 9% | 9% | 22% |
|
Best Case Scenario Tenn-Martin beats Morehead St. UALR beats SIU Edwardsville |
Worst Case Scenario Morehead St. beats Tenn-Martin SIU Edwardsville beats UALR |
||||||||
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | ||
| 20 of 20 | 100% | 20 | 0 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 19 of 20 | 95% | 19 | 1 | >99% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 18 of 20 | 90% | 18 | 2 | 98% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 17 of 20 | 85% | 17 | 3 | 86% | 13% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 16 of 20 | 80% | 16 | 4 | 60% | 37% | 3% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 15 of 20 | 75% | 15 | 5 | 29% | 52% | 18% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 20 | 70% | 14 | 6 | 8% | 39% | 43% | 10% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 20 | 65% | 13 | 7 | 1% | 14% | 43% | 34% | 7% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 20 | 60% | 12 | 8 | <1% | 2% | 19% | 44% | 29% | 6% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 11 of 20 | 55% | 11 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 3% | 24% | 43% | 25% | 4% | <1% | <1% |
| 10 of 20 | 50% | 10 | 10 | X | <1% | <1% | 5% | 29% | 43% | 21% | 3% | <1% |
| 9 of 20 | 45% | 9 | 11 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 7% | 32% | 42% | 17% | 2% |
| 8 of 20 | 40% | 8 | 12 | X | X | X | <1% | <1% | 9% | 35% | 39% | 16% |
| 7 of 20 | 35% | 7 | 13 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 12% | 40% | 48% |
| 6 of 20 | 30% | 6 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 1% | 15% | 84% |
| 5 of 20 | 25% | 5 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 2% | 98% |
| 4 of 20 | 20% | 4 | 16 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| 3 of 20 | 15% | 3 | 17 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 2 of 20 | 10% | 2 | 18 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 1 of 20 | 5% | 1 | 19 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |
| 0 of 20 | 0% | 0 | 20 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |