The Tenn-Martin Skyhawks What If table presents finishing probabilities depended upon how Tenn-Martin plays future conference games. These games include either the next game or all remaining games. Other unplayed future conference games are assumed won/lost with a probability based upon relative team strengths.
| Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |
| Win Next Game | 5 | 1 | 40% | 25% | 15% | 9% | 5% | 3% | 1% | 1% | <1% |
| Current Standings | 4 | 1 | 39% | 24% | 16% | 9% | 6% | 3% | 2% | 1% | <1% |
| Lose Next Game | 4 | 2 | 30% | 25% | 17% | 11% | 8% | 4% | 3% | 1% | 1% |
| Remaining Games Won |
Winning Percentage of Remaining Games |
Resultant Record | Regular Season Finish | |||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W | L | 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | ||
| 15 of 15 | 100% | 19 | 1 | 100% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 14 of 15 | 93% | 18 | 2 | 98% | 2% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 13 of 15 | 87% | 17 | 3 | 91% | 9% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 12 of 15 | 80% | 16 | 4 | 72% | 27% | 1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 11 of 15 | 73% | 15 | 5 | 45% | 47% | 8% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 10 of 15 | 67% | 14 | 6 | 17% | 50% | 29% | 4% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| 9 of 15 | 60% | 13 | 7 | 3% | 26% | 46% | 22% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ | ^ |
| 8 of 15 | 53% | 12 | 8 | <1% | 5% | 28% | 43% | 20% | 3% | <1% | <1% | ^ |
| 7 of 15 | 47% | 11 | 9 | <1% | <1% | 5% | 26% | 41% | 23% | 5% | <1% | <1% |
| 6 of 15 | 40% | 10 | 10 | X | <1% | <1% | 4% | 23% | 41% | 26% | 5% | <1% |
| 5 of 15 | 33% | 9 | 11 | X | X | <1% | <1% | 3% | 21% | 42% | 29% | 6% |
| 4 of 15 | 27% | 8 | 12 | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 22% | 45% | 30% |
| 3 of 15 | 20% | 7 | 13 | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 3% | 26% | 71% |
| 2 of 15 | 13% | 6 | 14 | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | 5% | 95% |
| 1 of 15 | 7% | 5 | 15 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | <1% | >99% |
| 0 of 15 | 0% | 4 | 16 | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | X | 100% |