The Most Important Games for the Tennessee St. Tigers are those conference games in the upcoming week whose outcome most changes the Tigers final standings. The Importance Factor provides a relative importance between games. Tennessee St. Tigers fans can use this table to identify the most interesting conference games in the upcoming week of play.
| Game | Importance Factor (0‑∼100) |
Game Winner |
Tennessee St. Resultant Probabilities | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Regular Season Finish | |||||||||||
| 1* First and Second Round Byes |
2* First and Second Round Byes |
3** First Round Bye |
4** First Round Bye |
5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | NT | |||
| Tennessee St. (14‑14) vs Tennessee Tech (14‑14) |
36 | Tennessee St. Wins | X | 1% | 36% | 38% | 19% | 6% | ^ | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 22% | 33% | 17% | 17% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Tennessee Tech Wins | X | X | 11% | 30% | 17% | 26% | 17% | ^ | ^ | ||
| SE Missouri St. (18‑10) vs Lindenwood (14‑14) |
10 | SE Missouri St. Wins | X | <1% | 22% | 36% | 16% | 17% | 7% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 22% | 33% | 17% | 17% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Lindenwood Wins | X | <1% | 22% | 27% | 19% | 16% | 15% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Western Illinois (10‑18) vs UALR (17‑11) |
9 | Western Illinois Wins | X | 1% | 39% | 21% | 14% | 16% | 10% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 22% | 33% | 17% | 17% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ||
| UALR Wins | X | <1% | 18% | 35% | 18% | 18% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Eastern Illinois (9‑19) vs Morehead St. (14‑14) |
9 | Eastern Illinois Wins | X | <1% | 24% | 38% | 17% | 11% | 10% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 22% | 33% | 17% | 17% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Morehead St. Wins | X | <1% | 22% | 31% | 17% | 20% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ||
| Southern Indiana (9‑18) vs SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville (19‑9) |
4 | Southern Indiana Wins | X | 1% | 23% | 32% | 17% | 17% | 10% | ^ | ^ |
| Current Probabilities | X | <1% | 22% | 33% | 17% | 17% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ||
| SIU EdwardsvilleSIU Ed.ville Wins | X | X | 22% | 33% | 17% | 17% | 10% | ^ | ^ | ||