Tennessee St. Tigers What If?

	Regular Season Finish
	1^* First and Second Round Byes	2^* First and Second Round Byes	3^** First Round Bye	4^** First Round Bye	5	6	7	8	NT
Best Case Scenario	X	1%	40%	50%	7%	2%	^	^	^
Current Standings	X	<1%	22%	33%	17%	17%	10%	^	^
Worst Case Scenario	X	X	10%	23%	16%	24%	27%	^	^
Best Case Scenario Eastern Illinois beats Morehead St. Tennessee St. beats Tennessee Tech SE Missouri St. beats Lindenwood					Worst Case Scenario Morehead St. beats Eastern Illinois Tennessee Tech beats Tennessee St. Lindenwood beats SE Missouri St.

Notes
Only games from the current week are considered for inclusion into the scenarios
Only those games that meaningfully affect the playoff probabilities are included in the scenarios - maximum of three

Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	Resultant Record		Regular Season Finish
Remaining Games Won	Winning Percentage of Remaining Games	W	L	1^* First and Second Round Byes	2^* First and Second Round Byes	3^** First Round Bye	4^** First Round Bye	5	6	7	8	NT
3 of 3	100%	13	7	X	2%	69%	29%	^	^	^	^	^
2 of 3	67%	12	8	X	X	23%	61%	15%	1%	^	^	^
1 of 3	33%	11	9	X	X	1%	10%	43%	39%	7%	^	^
0 of 3	0%	10	10	X	X	X	X	X	27%	73%	^	^

Notes
^ means the team will finish better than this playoff spot
X means the team cannot win this playoff spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - green number indicates the team controls its destiny for this spot
50% - probability the team will win this playoff spot - red number indicates the team does not control its destiny for this spot
Table Sorting Method
* denotes first and second round byes in the post season conference tournament
** denotes first round bye in the post season conference tournament

Ohio Valley Basketball - Week 16 of 17